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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 14.9

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 79%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
03003
MinnesotaMinnesota
7127026

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-319-326-3
MinnesotaMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(MINMINM(MINM(M(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINM(MINPUNT3-4ydFG621ydTD1366ydTO515ydPUNT5-2ydPUNT736ydFG946ydPUNT735ydSAF3-2ydTD568ydEND321ydPUNT528ydPUNT735ydPUNT3-2ydTO10ydTD312ydPUNT37ydPUNT514ydTO27ydTO415ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-18ydPUNT624ydTO1164ydPUNT37ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Minnesota
StatisticMiami (OH)Minnesota
Passing11-2314-26
Pass Yards108177
Rush Yards91118
Total Yards199295
Turnovers32
3rd Down5-146-14
Penalties6-555-52
Possession25:2934:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Gus Ragland
11/20, 108 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Davion Johnson
9 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Jack Sorenson
3 REC, 27 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Zack Annexstad
12/20, 142 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Bryce Williams
33 CAR, 141 YDS
receiving
Tyler Johnson
9 REC, 133 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.22

Gus Ragland sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 17

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryce Williams run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Bryce Williams run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.92

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 27

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26

4th & 10Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.74

Emmit Carpenter 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for no gain to the Minn 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 11 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.35

Zack Annexstad sacked by De'Andre Montgomery for a loss of 13 yards to the Minn 43

2nd & 23Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 21Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.53

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 20 yds to the MiaOh 35

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.53

Seth Green run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 16

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 3 yds to the MiaOh 33

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Gus Ragland run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 39

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.48

Davion Johnson run for 14 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -3.89

Gus Ragland run for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 40 Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by Minn Antoine Winfield Jr.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.29

Bryce Williams run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Bryce Williams run for no gain to the MiaOh 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 10Penalty-15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 42

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 3

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.57

Maurice Thomas run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Alonzo Smith

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 18 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+31 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 39 yds , Antoine Winfield Jr. returns for 31 yds to the MiaOh 47

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Davion Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.55

Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 15 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 5 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to SORENSON, Jack, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Shenault, A) 15 yards to the MINN26, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 31

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.00

Davion Johnson run for 13 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 17

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, Alonzo rush for 2 yards to the MINN15 (Barber, Thomas), PENALTY MIAMI holding (GODLEVSKE, D.) 10 yards to the MINN27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 8 yds to the Minn 19 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.52

Samuel Sloman 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.99

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 27 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.82

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 35

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 40

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaOh 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 2

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 2

3rd & 10Safety-2 ydsPPA -1.67

Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Zack Annexstad sacked by Doug Costin and Pasquale Calcagno for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.59

Zack Annexstad sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 25 Zack Annexstad fumbled, , return for 0 yards

3rd & 17Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +4.09

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryce Williams for 35 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Annexstad, Zack pass incomplete to Bateman, Rashod, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 15 yards to the MIAMI25, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Seth Green pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 15 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.32

Gus Ragland sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 20Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Alonzo Smith run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 46

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Bryce Williams run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 47

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Davion Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 8

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Dom, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Smith, Terell) 12 yards to the MIAMI20, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 27

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Mayock at the MiaOh 36

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-42 ydsPPA -1.85

Gus Ragland pass intercepted Antonio Shenault return for 42 yds to the MiaOh 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 5

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 37

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Luke Mayock at the MiaOh 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds Jack Sorenson fumbled, forced by Jacob Huff, recovered by Minn Esezi Otomewo

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 18

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 16

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -4.80

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Brad Koenig return for 6 yds to the MiaOh 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Jacob Huff

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Davion Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 11

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 9 yds to the MiaOh 20

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 41

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 18 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Bryce Williams

3rd & 32Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 22

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Mayock at the MiaOh 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Davion Johnson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Alex Malzone pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Davion Johnson run for 15 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alex Malzone pass incomplete to Quentin Hardy

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Alex Malzone pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 22

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.51

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 34

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Bateman, Rashod, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (KOIKOI, Allan) 15 yards to the MIAMI46, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 47

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.23

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 28 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Doug Costin

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.03

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 22 Bryce Williams fumbled, forced by Doug Costin, recovered by MiaOh Myles Reid

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Kahn run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Kahn run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 27

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Zach Kahn run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 64 yds, downed at the Minn 7

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 6

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
20 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
32 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play