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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
LibertyLiberty
24
-Final
45
VirginiaVirginia

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 13.9

Home Win Probability

Virginia 78%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
7107024
VirginiaVirginia
141014745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-721-721-1031-2438-2445-24
VirginiaLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRLIBVIRTD1275ydTD455ydMISS1041ydTD766ydTO1257ydTD1077ydFG1155ydTO20ydTD17ydFG950ydUncategorized00ydTD00ydTD665ydPUNT426ydDOWNS49ydTD314ydTO410ydPUNT731ydTO2-5ydTD835ydPUNT617ydPUNT39ydPUNT518ydEND531yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Virginia
StatisticLibertyVirginia
Passing15-2714-22
Pass Yards149168
Rush Yards205221
Total Yards354389
Turnovers31
3rd Down7-155-9
Penalties3-301-10
Possession30:2944:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Stephen Calvert
15/27, 149 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Peytton Pickett
17 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
B.J. Farrow
3 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
14/22, 168 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Ellis
25 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Olamide Zaccheaus
7 REC, 86 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Zac Foutz for 5 yds to the Liber 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for 4 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 5 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Peytton Pickett run for 29 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.96

Peytton Pickett run for 18 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Virg 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Virg 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Virg 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.56

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 29 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the Liber 17

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 3 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 14 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Liber 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 18 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the Liber 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Virg 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Virg 48

4th & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 9 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Tim Harris

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Virg 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Alex Probert 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 15 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Liber 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 12 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Liber 30

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds to the Liber 13

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Bryce Perkins run for 13 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the Liber 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Zac Foutz for 5 yds to the Liber 35

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the Liber 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.92

Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 26 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 4 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Virg 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -3.83

Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Elliott Brown return for 2 yds to the Virg 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.28

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Tavares Kelly run for 11 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the Liber 30

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.37

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Bryce Perkins run for 15 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Liber 9

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.62

Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Liber 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Frankie Hickson run for 10 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 16 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Frankie Hickson run for 10 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Frankie Hickson run for 8 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Virg 23

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Virg 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 3 yds to the Virg 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.28

Alex Probert 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-33 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Bejour Wilson return for 33 yds to the Virg 7

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.76

Bryce Perkins run for 18 yds to the VIRGINIA 32 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Juwan Wells) to the Liber 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Liber 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Liber 8

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Liber 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Jeremy Peters

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, HOLD (Jordan Ellis) to the Liber 15

2nd & 15Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.90

Brian Delaney 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
No play data available
1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds to the Liber 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 20 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Zac Foutz for 16 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Peytton Pickett run for 18 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 23 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Liber 38

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Olamide Zaccheaus run for no gain to the Liber 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 6

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 7

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 7 yds to the Liber 14

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.19

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Brenton Nelson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 5 yds to the Liber 9

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Liber 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.76

Stephen Calvert pass intercepted De'Vante Cross return for no gain to the Virg 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 31

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.55

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 17 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 3 yds to the Liber 42

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 1 yd to the Liber 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 35 yds, downed at the Liber 6

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Stephen Calvert sacked by Robert Snyder for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 1

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.33

Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Juan Thornhill return for no gain to the Liber 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds to the Liber 29

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Liber 27

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Liber 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Corbin Jackson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the Liber 12

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Liber 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the Liber 25

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Liber 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.15

Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 5 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Liber 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds, downed at the Virg 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 25

4th & 1Punt-6 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 44 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Frankie Hickson run for 8 yds to the Liber 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chuck Davis at the Virg 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Lamont Atkins run for 9 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 39

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.93

Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
69%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
56%
27 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play