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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Duke 79%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
3147731
DukeDuke
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-107-177-2414-31
DukeVirginia Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTPUNT723ydDOWNS730ydTO38ydFG938ydTD975ydTD976ydTO37ydTD487ydMISS1250ydPUNT44ydPUNT712ydPUNT37ydEND1-1ydPUNT36ydDOWNS834ydTD550ydPUNT413ydPUNT67ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-9ydTD949ydTD1075ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydDOWNS742ydEND411yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia Tech and Duke
StatisticVirginia TechDuke
Passing17-2825-39
Pass Yards332256
Rush Yards8171
Total Yards413327
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-164-16
Penalties4-263-15
Possession30:5229:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia Tech
passing
Ryan Willis
17/27, 332 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Steven Peoples
16 CAR, 47 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dalton Keene
2 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Duke
passing
Daniel Jones
23/35, 226 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brittain Brown
12 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Chris Taylor
5 REC, 58 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 8 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 10 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (Robert Kraeling) to the Duke 45

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 32 yds, downed at the VTech 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ryan Willis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.44

Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 16 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Damon Hazelton) to the VTech 39

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.88

Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 13 yds to the Duke 47

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.61

Steven Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 49

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.97

Caleb Farley run for 2 yds to the Duke 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the VTech 45

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -2.59

Daniel Jones pass intercepted Reggie Floyd return for 4 yds to the Duke 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Deshawn McClease run for 12 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the Duke 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 18 yds to the Duke 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the Duke 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Sean Savoy

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric Kumah

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.55

Brian Johnson 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 1 yd to the Duke 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Daniel Jones pass complete to Noah Gray for 15 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Daniel Jones run for 10 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 15 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the VTech 33

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Daniel Jones run for 10 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Daniel Jones pass complete to Noah Gray for 23 yds for a TD, (Collin Wareham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 11 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Hezekiah Grimsley

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 18 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Duke 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 13 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Terius Wheatley run for 4 yds to the Duke 27

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.89

Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 27 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Daniel Jones sacked by Ricky Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.79

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 15 yds to the Duke 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 32

4th & 3Punt-2 yds

Austin Parker punt for 53 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 13 Damon Hazelton fumbled, recovered by VTech Jovonn Quillen

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.59

Sean Savoy run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 8

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Terius Wheatley run for 1 yd to the VTech 9

3rd & 14Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.92

Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 24 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 67 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 11 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Duke 44

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 7 yds to the VTech 47

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.49

Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 14 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.95

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 12 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (Daniel Helm) to the VTech 27

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Scott Bracey

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the VTech 25

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Collin Wareham 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 17 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Braxton Pfaff) to the VTech 32

1st & 20Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 28

2nd & 24Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Willis pass complete to Deshawn McClease for no gain to the VTech 28

3rd & 24Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Ryan Willis run for 1 yd to the VTech 29

4th & 23Punt+1 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 49 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 1 yd to the Duke 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Duke 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 9 yds to the Duke 32

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.44

Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Duke 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 32

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Daniel Jones run for 3 yds to the Duke 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan Lloyd

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Austin Parker punt for 55 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 7 yds to the VTech 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 22

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Steven Peoples run for no gain to the VTech 22

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 24

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 45 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Ryan Willis pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 6 yds to the VTech 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Duke 20

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.64

Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 24

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.27

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 17 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Duke 41

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ryan Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.94

Steven Peoples run for 14 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-6 ydsPPA -1.93

Sean Savoy pass incomplete VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Sean Savoy) to the Duke 42

2nd & 16Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.89

Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 36 yds to the Duke 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Steven Peoples run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 13 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Daniel Jones sacked by Houshun Gaines for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 4 yds to the Duke 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Willis run for 5 yds to the VTech 28

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 8 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 37

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ryan Willis run for 3 yds to the VTech 40

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.84

Ryan Willis sacked by Lummie Young IV for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 30

4th & 18Punt-2 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 5 yds to the Duke 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis Koppenhaver

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 49 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 18

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Ryan Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 15

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric Kumah

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Yosuah Nijman) to the VTech 10

3rd & 18Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.03

Steven Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 9 Steven Peoples fumbled, recovered by VTech Steven Peoples

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 40 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for no gain to the VTech 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 9 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for no gain to the VTech 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Marvin Hubbard III run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 40

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Deon Jackson run for 9 yds to the VTech 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.15

Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 29 yds to the VTech 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the VTech 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Wareham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.75

Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 33 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the Duke 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.72

Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 15 yds to the Duke 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Steven Peoples run for 7 yds to the Duke 13

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the Duke 11

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Willis run for no gain to the Duke 11

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.48

Ryan Willis run for 1 yd to the Duke 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 10 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (Robert Kraeling) to the Duke 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 3 yds to the Duke 28

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.44

Daniel Jones sacked by Houshun Gaines and Ricky Walker for a loss of 10 yards to the Duke 18

4th & 17Punt+2 yds

Austin Parker punt for 54 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 2 yds to the VTech 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 31

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ryan Willis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 44 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 1 yd to the Duke 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Quentin Harris run for 4 yds to the Duke 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.42

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jake Bobo for 31 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the VTech 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Quentin Harris pass complete to Marvin Hubbard III for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.77

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Scott Bracey

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 38

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 39

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Ryan Willis run for 6 yds to the VTech 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Ryan Willis run for 2 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
64%
11 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play