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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3
MiamiMiami
49
-Final
24
ToledoToledo

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Toledo 54%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MiamiMiami
714141449
ToledoToledo
0714324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-2114-2121-3524-3524-49
ToledoMiami

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIAMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIATOLMIAPUNT518ydTD1276ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydDOWNS521ydPUNT35ydPUNT514ydTD561ydMISS950ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-5ydTD758ydTD865ydEND1-1ydPUNT413ydTD781ydTD575ydTD365ydTD1470ydFG631ydTD575ydTO10ydTD635ydPUNT3-19ydPUNT515ydPUNT35ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami and Toledo
StatisticMiamiToledo
Passing13-2313-23
Pass Yards205222
Rush Yards268112
Total Yards473334
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-152-11
Penalties0-05-38
Possession35:2924:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami
passing
Malik Rosier
13/23, 205 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
DeeJay Dallas
17 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeff Thomas
5 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Toledo
passing
Mitchell Guadagni
13/21, 222 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mitchell Guadagni
15 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Diontae Johnson
6 REC, 119 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.86

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 24 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 46

3rd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Art Thompkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 43

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Rosier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 9 yds to the MiaFl 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Malik Rosier run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell Langham

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Malik Rosier pass complete to Darrell Langham for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Travis Homer run for 9 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.26

Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the Toled 34

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.84

Jeff Thomas run for 19 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

DeeJay Dallas run for 11 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Malik Rosier run for 5 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Mitchell Guadagni sacked by Sheldrick Redwine for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 52 yds, downed at the MiaFl 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Jeff Thomas

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Zach Feagles punt for 41 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 9 yds to the Toled 33

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Art Thompkins run for 13 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 5 yds to the MiaFl 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Art Thompkins for 1 yd to the MiaFl 48

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mitchell Guadagni run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 45

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.57

Mitchell Guadagni run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 46

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Lorenzo Lingard run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Malik Rosier pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Malik Rosier run for 7 yds to the Toled 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zach Feagles punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Danzel McKinley-Lewis at the Toled 11

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mitchell Guadagni run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 9

2nd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Mitchell Guadagni run for 12 yds to the Toled 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Toled 11

1st & 20Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Art Thompkins run for 14 yds to the Toled 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Toled 27

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mitchell Guadagni sacked by Scott Patchan for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 39

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Malik Rosier run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Malik Rosier pass complete to Brian Hightower for 8 yds to the Toled 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Malik Rosier pass complete to Mike Harley for 1 yd to the Toled 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Trayone Gray run for 3 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 38 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.24

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 31 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 44

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mitchell Guadagni run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.07

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Cody Thompson for 13 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 32

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 2 yds to the MiaFl 33

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Mitchell Guadagni run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 25

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jameson Vest 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 6 yds to the MiaFl 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Malik Rosier pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

Zach Feagles punt for 43 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 9 yds to the Toled 41 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Toled 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.48

Mitchell Guadagni sacked by Gerald Willis III for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 19

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 42

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 47

1st & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.20

DeeJay Dallas run for 19 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

DeeJay Dallas run for 4 yds to the Toled 30

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

DeeJay Dallas run for 7 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Will Mallory

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.76

DeeJay Dallas run for 15 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the Toled 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Malik Rosier run for 2 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Mitchell Guadagni run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Cody Thompson for 6 yds to the MiaFl 44

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA -0.06

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 18 yds to the MiaFl 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.84

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Travis Homer run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Malik Rosier pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zach Feagles punt for 43 yds, downed at the Toled 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the Toled 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 10 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.51

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 34 yds to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Mitchell Guadagni run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.06

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Art Thompkins for 31 yds to the MiaFl 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 11 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.15

Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 41 yds to the Toled 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

DeeJay Dallas run for 19 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Mitchell Guadagni run for 12 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Mitchell Guadagni run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 40 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

DeeJay Dallas run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Trayone Gray run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Malik Rosier pass complete to Mike Harley for 1 yd to the MiaFl 42

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the MiaFl 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.69

Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 30 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the Toled 20

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Travis Homer run for no gain to the Toled 20

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.88

Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Brevin Jordan

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the Toled 13

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Malik Rosier pass complete to Darrell Langham for 8 yds to the Toled 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 5 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Mitchell Guadagni run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Bryant Koback run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 29

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.07

Jameson Vest 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Will Mallory

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.74

Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 32 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.46

Malik Rosier run for 37 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Mitchell Guadagni pass intercepted Trajan Bandy return for no gain to the Toled 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

DeeJay Dallas run for 9 yds to the Toled 26

2nd & 1Rush+18 yds

Malik Rosier run for 10 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the Toled 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the Toled 7

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik Rosier run for 6 yds to the Toled 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Trayone Gray run for 1 yd for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 22

2nd & 13Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.31

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 17

3rd & 18Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.06

Mitchell Guadagni sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 11 yards to the Toled 6

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 52 yds, downed at the MiaFl 42

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

DeeJay Dallas run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

DeeJay Dallas run for 7 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the Toled 44

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 48

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the Toled 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Zach Feagles punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Eli Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the Toled 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 37

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 32

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.20

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 29

Situational Analysis

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
39%
31 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays