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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2018Week 1
ArmyArmy
14
-Final
34
DukeDuke

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 5.8

Home Win Probability

Duke 65%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
0014014
DukeDuke
31471034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-017-724-731-1434-14
DukeArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKPUNT36ydTO214ydFG725ydMISS1359ydTD980ydTO846ydTD371ydPUNT1032ydEND635ydPUNT4-2ydTO30ydTD1155ydTD768ydTD575ydTD669ydMISS1447ydFG523ydPUNT30ydEND519yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Duke
StatisticArmyDuke
Passing10-2113-17
Pass Yards197197
Rush Yards168184
Total Yards365381
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-142-9
Penalties7-694-30
Possession36:0623:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Kelvin Hopkins Jr.
10/21, 197 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Calen Holt
7 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Camden Harrison
3 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Duke
passing
Daniel Jones
13/17, 197 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brittain Brown
11 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aaron Young
4 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 33

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Duke 28

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 13 yds to the Duke 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Young

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mike Reynolds at the Army 18

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Glen Coates for 12 yds Glen Coates fumbled, forced by Dylan Singleton, recovered by Army for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.31

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 32 Darnell Woolfolk fumbled, forced by Victor Dimukeje, recovered by Duke Marquis Waters

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Army 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Daniel Jones run for 14 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (Christian Harris) to the Army 17

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Daniel Jones run for 9 yds to the Army 8

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Daniel Jones run for no gain to the Army 8

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the Army 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.89

Collin Wareham 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Calen Holt run for 8 yds to the Army 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Connor Slomka run for 8 yds to the Army 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Duke 48

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Calen Holt run for 14 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Duke 33

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Calen Holt run for 6 yds to the Duke 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Duke 19

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Duke 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Glen Coates

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Landon Salyers 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 35 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.12

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.66

Brittain Brown run for 16 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Daniel Jones run for 2 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Army 27

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Young

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Brittain Brown run for 11 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Brittain Brown 12 Yd Run (Collin Wareham Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.12

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 29 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Darnell Woolfolk run for 7 yds to the Duke 37

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Calen Holt run for 2 yds to the Duke 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Slomka run for no gain to the Duke 35

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.53

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Calen Holt run for 4 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.00

Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the Duke 29 Kell Walker fumbled, recovered by Duke Michael Carter II

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Deon Jackson run for 9 yds to the Duke 38

2nd & 1Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.50

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 61 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Daniel Jones 1 Yd Run (Collin Wareham Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Army 30 Kelvin Hopkins Jr. fumbled, forced by Trevon McSwain, recovered by Army Austin Schuffert

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cam Thomas run for 4 yds to the Army 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Glen Coates for 4 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Duke 44

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Duke 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Camden Harrison

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zach Potter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.60

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 15 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 8 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 3 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Daniel Jones run for 7 yds to the Duke 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Daniel Jones run for 2 yds to the Duke 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 42

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the Army 17

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the Army 24

3rd & 2Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.79

Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 28 ARMY Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the Army 14

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+15 yds

Nick Schrage punt for 46 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 15 yds to the Army 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Brittain Brown

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Army 39

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.23

Daniel Jones sacked by James Gibson for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 45 Daniel Jones fumbled, forced by James Gibson, recovered by Army Wunmi Oyetuga , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (Glen Coates) to the Army 40

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the Army 40

2nd & 15Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.84

Kell Walker run for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 34

3rd & 21Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +4.29

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 32 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 3 yds to the Duke 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.54

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Duke 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Duke 21

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Duke 15

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Duke 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the Duke 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. 3 Yd Run (Landon Salyers Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 14 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ryan Parker) to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Army 36

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Brittain Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 40

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.16

Daniel Jones run for 10 yds to the Army 30

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.33

Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 18 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Deon Jackson 7 Yd Run (Collin Wareham Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hopkins Jr., Kelvin pass incomplete to Coates, Glen, PENALTY ARMY holding (Schuffert, Austin) 10 yards to the ARMY15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Glen Coates

2nd & 20Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.84

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 28 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 45

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Sandon McCoy run for 10 yds to the Duke 45 Sandon McCoy fumbled, forced by Damani Neal, recovered by Army for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Camden Harrison 45 Yd pass from Kelvin Hopkins Jr. (Landon Salyers Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brittain Brown run for 11 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 42

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.42

T.J. Rahming run for 16 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Army 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.70

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 13 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Aaron Young 25 Yd pass from Daniel Jones (Collin Wareham Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Calen Holt run for 7 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the Army 32

4th & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.70

Calen Holt run for 13 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Army 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.57

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 19 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (Kell Walker) to the Duke 37

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Glen Coates for 7 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Glen Coates

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 35

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Glen Coates

4th & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.34

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 18 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Asberry

2nd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.67

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 13 yards to the Duke 30

3rd & 23Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Duke 28

4th & 21Blocked Field Goal+45 yds

Landon Salyers 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Drew Jordan Dylan Singleton return for 33 yds to the Army 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Jones, Daniel pass incomplete to Taylor, Chris, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Bourdeau, Javhari) 15 yards to the ARMY15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Army 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 16

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Daniel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 12

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.58

Collin Wareham 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Glen Coates

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Kell Walker

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Glen Coates

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

Nick Schrage punt for 46 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 8 yds to the Duke 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marvin Hubbard III run for 5 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Marvin Hubbard III run for 5 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Marvin Hubbard III run for 2 yds to the Duke 49

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Marvin Hubbard III run for 3 yds to the Army 48

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Duke 47

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Quentin Harris run for 9 yds to the Army 44

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
58%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play