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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
Iowa StateIowa State
14
-Final
17
TCUTCU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 10

Home Win Probability

TCU 72%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
070714
TCUTCU
077317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-714-714-1417-14
TCUIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUISTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUISISISTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUISTCUPUNT819ydDOWNS717ydPUNT37ydPUNT836ydTO1012ydTD422ydTD1083ydPUNT431ydPUNT1047ydEND1-5ydTD21ydPUNT44ydTO1652ydPUNT826ydPUNT39ydTD1178ydTO632ydPUNT36ydFG936ydDOWNS42ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and TCU
StatisticIowa StateTCU
Passing14-2821-29
Pass Yards79182
Rush Yards119117
Total Yards198299
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-1211-20
Penalties1-155-55
Possession24:2235:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Zeb Noland
14/28, 79 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
David Montgomery
21 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deshaunte Jones
3 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Willie Harvey
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
TCU
passing
Shawn Robinson
21/29, 182 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sewo Olonilua
16 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Jalen Reagor
6 REC, 67 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 6 yds to the TCU 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 37

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.48

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 9 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+4 yds

Andrew David punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 40 , Tarique Milton returns for 4 yds to the IowSt 47 TCU Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Zeb Noland pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 6 yds to the IowSt 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Zeb Noland pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 3 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Matthew Eaton

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the TCU 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Zeb Noland pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 4 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shawn Robinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jarrison Stewart, broken up by Willie Harvey

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Andrew David punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zeb Noland pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Zeb Noland pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 7 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.61

Zeb Noland pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 16 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

David Montgomery run for no gain to the TCU 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Tarique Milton, broken up by Markell Simmons

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 11 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Shawn Robinson run for 1 yd to the TCU 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.80

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 7 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Darius Anderson run for 12 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 45

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.07

Darius Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.05

Shawn Robinson sacked by Will McDonald for a loss of 11 yards to the TCU 22 Shawn Robinson fumbled, recovered by IowSt JaQuan Bailey , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the TCU 20

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Noland, Zeb pass incomplete to Butler, Hakeem, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Lewis, Julius) 10 yards to the TCU2, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Zeb Noland pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 5 yds to the TCU 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.27

Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 24 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Shawn Robinson run for 1 yd to the TCU 47

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Shawn Robinson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 46

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Sewo Olonilua run for 9 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds to the IowSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.28

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 19 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 9

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 10

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.99

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Zeb Noland pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Noland, Zeb pass incomplete to Milton, Tarique, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Scott, Vernon) 15 yards to the TCU49, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Johnnie Lang run for 2 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by Jeff Gladney

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zeb Noland pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 3 yds to the TCU 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 18

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.52

Darius Anderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 12

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 20 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 15 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 42

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Shawn Robinson run for 8 yds to the IowSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 5 yds to the IowSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by JaQuan Bailey

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Andrew David punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Zeb Noland pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 6 yds to the TCU 48

2nd & 4Sack+47 ydsPPA +2.87

Zeb Noland sacked by Innis Gaines for a loss of 6 yards Zeb Noland fumbled, recovered by TCU Ben Banogu , return for 0 yards , return for 47 yds (Jonathan Song KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Zeb Noland pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Zeb Noland sacked by Garret Wallow for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 28

2nd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Zeb Noland pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd to the IowSt 29

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Zeb Noland pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+11 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 39 , Jalen Reagor returns for 11 yds to the TCU 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds to the TCU 46

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Sewo Olonilua run for 8 yds to the IowSt 42

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 6 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the IowSt 29

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Darius Anderson run for no gain to the IowSt 29

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Brian Peavy

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Shawn Robinson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 16

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the IowSt 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -4.14

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 6 yds Artayvious Lynn fumbled, forced by D'Andre Payne, recovered by IowSt O'Rien Vance

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the IowSt 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the IowSt 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Zeb Noland pass complete to Landen Akers for 5 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zeb Noland pass complete to Tarique Milton for 3 yds to the IowSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by Julius Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Sheldon Croney Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Zeb Noland pass complete to David Montgomery for 3 yds to the IowSt 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 28

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shawn Robinson run for 5 yds to the TCU 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 4 yds to the TCU 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andrew David punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 22

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Noland, Zeb pass incomplete to Eaton, Matthew, PENALTY TCU holding (Lewis, Julius) 10 yards to the ISU32, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the TCU 48

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

David Montgomery run for no gain to the TCU 42

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Noland, Zeb pass complete to Butler, Hakeem for 6 yards to the TCU36 (Lewis, Julius;Issahaku, R.), PENALTY ISU pass interference (Jones, D.) 15 yards to the ISU43, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler

3rd & 25Rush+28 ydsPPA +4.37

Zeb Noland run for 28 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.32

David Montgomery run for 15 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the TCU 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the TCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

David Montgomery run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 5 yds to the TCU 34

3rd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.49

Sewo Olonilua run for 19 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Shawn Robinson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Shawn Robinson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.17

Shawn Robinson pass intercepted Braxton Lewis return for no gain to the IowSt 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Shawn Robinson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 39

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 5 yds to the IowSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.19

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 19 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Shawn Robinson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 10

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 11

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the IowSt 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.55

Jonathan Song 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Zeb Noland pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 2 yds to the IowSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Matthew Eaton

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Sheldon Croney Jr.

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.31

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by Jeff Gladney

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 21

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play