Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 17.2

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 84%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
007714
Iowa StateIowa State
71011028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-020-728-14
Iowa StateBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISPUNT1247ydTD1180ydMISS956ydTD880ydMISS1266ydFG1563ydEND112ydPUNT32ydPUNT43ydFG635ydTD1592ydTD457ydTD870ydPUNT415ydDOWNS1461ydPUNT630ydDOWNS763ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Iowa State
StatisticBaylorIowa State
Passing29-4818-25
Pass Yards359230
Rush Yards146125
Total Yards505355
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-157-11
Penalties7-704-30
Possession34:5925:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
26/36, 288 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Charlie Brewer
12 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Jalen Hurd
5 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
18/23, 230 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brock Purdy
12 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Matthew Eaton
3 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Marques Jones for 6 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Bayl 33

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.28

JaMycal Hasty run for 15 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 10 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 10 yds to the IowSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Hurd run for 17 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the IowSt 13

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Mims,Denzel, PENALTY BU holding (Henle,Christoph) 10 yards to the ISU23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.39

Charlie Brewer sacked by Mike Rose and Jamahl Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 31

3rd & 26Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for no gain to the IowSt 31

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Drew Galitz punt for 31 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 16 yds Deshaunte Jones fumbled, forced by Raleigh Texada, recovered by IowSt Deshaunte Jones for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 7 yds to the IowSt 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Brock Purdy run for no gain to the IowSt 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.06

Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 10 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for 16 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 34

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.11

Brock Purdy run for 19 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the Bayl 5

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 6

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Hakeem Butler) to the Bayl 11

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.01

Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Charlie Brewer run for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete, broken up by Willie Harvey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.17

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

John Lovett run for 2 yds to the IowSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.54

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 28 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the IowSt 10

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Connor Martin 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.73

David Montgomery run for 21 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for 4 yds to the IowSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.21

Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 8 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Brock Purdy run for 11 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.54

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 19 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Brock Purdy pass complete to Josh Johnson for 11 yds to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brock Purdy run for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.72

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 14 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds to the Bayl 42

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Brewer,Charlie rush for 13 yards to the ISU45, PENALTY BU holding (Galvin,Connor) 10 yards to the BU32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 12 yds to the Bayl 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 8 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.06

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 23 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Charlie Brewer run for 11 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 2 yds to the IowSt 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Marques Jones

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Connor Martin 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Brock Purdy run for 11 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for 5 yds to the IowSt 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.11

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 8 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew Eaton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds to the Bayl 48

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Bayl 39

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Bayl 35

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the Bayl 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.17

Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 12 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -1.08

Connor Assalley 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Charlie Brewer run for 12 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew Eaton

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 53 yds , Pooh Stricklin returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 20

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.86

John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 24 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalen Hurd) to the Bayl 14

1st & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 6 yds to the Bayl 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 3 yds to the Bayl 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Marques Jones

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Drew Galitz punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.18

David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (Chris Miller) to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

David Montgomery run for 10 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Hakeem Butler) to the Bayl 33

1st & 15Rush+1 yds

David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32 BAYLOR Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Bayl 32

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the Bayl 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 11 yds to the Bayl 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Assalley 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Charlie Brewer run for 13 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 19

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 20

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.99

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Pooh Stricklin for 15 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Pooh Stricklin for 25 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the IowSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal Hasty

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 5 yds to the IowSt 35

4th & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.40

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 16 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the IowSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the IowSt 12

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the IowSt 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

John Lovett run for 2 yds to the IowSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Brock Purdy run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.22

Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 38 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Johnnie Lang run for 8 yds for a TD (Deshaunte Jones pass to Brock Purdy for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the Bayl 38

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.93

Jalen Hurd run for 13 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Pooh Stricklin for 4 yds to the IowSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.38

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 23 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Marques Jones for 13 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the IowSt 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Pooh Stricklin for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 17 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Johnnie Lang run for 2 yds to the IowSt 42

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.68

Brock Purdy sacked by BJ Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 34

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 5 yds to the Bayl 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 15 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris Platt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Marques Jones for 4 yds to the IowSt 47

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the IowSt 45

4th & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.03

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Pooh Stricklin for 16 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris Platt

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the IowSt 20 BAYLOR Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Charlie Brewer) to the IowSt 35

3rd & 16Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.76

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 23 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Marques Jones, broken up by Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Jalen Hurd

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Marques Jones

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.38

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Pooh Stricklin, broken up by D'Andre Payne

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the IowSt 16

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 25 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 1 yd to the IowSt 41

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 3 yds to the IowSt 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Corey Dunn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Pooh Stricklin at the Bayl 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Jalen Hurd, broken up by Richard Bowens III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.91

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Chris Platt for 43 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 5 yds to the IowSt 30

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

McClendon,Jalan pass intercepted by Lewis, Braxton at the BU0, Lewis, Braxton return to the BU17 (Platt,Chris), PENALTY ISU personal foul (Tongamoa, Kamilo) 15 yards to the ISU15, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Jalen Hurd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Trestan Ebner

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Pooh Stricklin

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.18

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 14

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 13

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
53%
17 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play