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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 13.2

Home Win Probability

Baylor 79%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
7137027
BaylorBaylor
172110755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-724-1038-1745-2048-2755-27
BaylorAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYACBAYACBAYACBAYACBAYACBAYACBAYACBAYACACBAYACBAYACBAYACBAYACBAYACBAYPUNT418ydPUNT37ydFG630ydPUNT613ydTD580ydTO413ydTD216ydTD375ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydTD667ydFG1258ydTD371ydTD275ydTD475ydFG754ydPUNT38ydTD685ydPUNT3-5ydTO3-1ydTD470ydFG741ydDOWNS1060ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydTD655ydPUNT623ydEND827yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and Baylor
StatisticAbilene ChristianBaylor
Passing27-4018-28
Pass Yards246311
Rush Yards220295
Total Yards466606
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-152-9
Penalties5-375-53
Possession30:0129:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Luke Anthony
25/38, 224 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Billy McCrary III
6 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
D.J. Fuller
9 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Baylor
passing
Jalan McClendon
10/13, 173 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
John Lovett
12 CAR, 115 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Denzel Mims
3 REC, 80 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

JaMycal Hasty run for 13 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 5 yds to the Bayl 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Drew Galitz punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AblCh 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 6 yds to the AblCh 19

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tracy James run for 2 yds to the AblCh 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Luke Anthony pass complete to Cody Ennis for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 20

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 36 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the AblCh 48 TEAM fumbled,

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.92

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 20 yds to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 15 yds to the AblCh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass complete to Platt,Chris for 12 yards to the ACU1, out-of-bounds (Richardson, K.), PENALTY BU pass interference (Hurd,Jalen) 15 yards to the ACU28, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Christoph Henle

3rd & 25Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 10 yds to the AblCh 18

4th & 15Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA +0.54

Connor Martin 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tracy James run for 6 yds to the AblCh 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tracy James run for 2 yds to the AblCh 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 6 yds to the AblCh 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Luke Anthony pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 38

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Luke Anthony pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 20 , Jalen Hurd returns for 13 yds to the Bayl 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Jalan McClendon pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 34 yds to the AblCh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 11 yds to the AblCh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Jalan McClendon pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 20 yds to the AblCh 15 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the AblCh 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 25 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Luke Anthony pass complete to Josh Fink for 7 yds to the AblCh 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Anthony pass complete to Chase Cokley for 2 yds to the AblCh 38

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Tracy James run for 4 yds to the AblCh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-28 ydsPPA -2.44

Luke Anthony pass intercepted Terrel Bernard return for 28 yds to the AblCh 16

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

John Lovett run for a loss of 4 yards to the AblCh 20

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.21

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Marques Jones for 20 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Luke Anthony pass complete to Josh Fink for 9 yds to the AblCh 34

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Tracy James run for 12 yds to the AblCh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 54 yds for a TD, (Oscar Hernandez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris Platt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 8 yds to the Bayl 31

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Drew Galitz punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chase Cokley at the AblCh 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Tracy James run for 1 yd to the AblCh 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Tracy James

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 2 yds to the AblCh 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 33

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Charlie Brewer run for 15 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Trestan Ebner, broken up by Adonis Davis

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.96

Trestan Ebner run for 12 yds to the AblCh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 18 yds to the AblCh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.18

John Lovett run for 19 yds to the AblCh 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Cody Ennis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 2 yds to the AblCh 27 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (Bravvion Roy) to the AblCh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kalin Sadler for 9 yds to the Bayl 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 9 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Billy McCrary run for 11 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Billy McCrary run for 2 yds to the Bayl 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tracy James run for 2 yds to the Bayl 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.09

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 9 yds to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (Chris Miller) to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tracy James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Tracy James run for 2 yds to the Bayl 7

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.89

Luke Anthony sacked by James Lockhart for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 12

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 17

4th & 0Field Goal Good+34 yds

Oscar Hernandez 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyquan Thornton run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.94

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Chris Platt for 14 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

JaMycal Hasty run for 54 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to D.J. Fuller

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Billy McCrary run for 75 yds for a TD, (Oscar Hernandez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 16 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Bayl 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.71

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 23 yds to the AblCh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

John Lovett run for 31 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Sema'J Davis run for 11 yds to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kalin Sadler for 7 yds to the AblCh 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Luke Anthony pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Anthony, L. pass complete to James, T. for 4 yards to the BU46 (Arnold,Grayland), PENALTY ACU holding (Laws, D.) 10 yards to the ACU40, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kalin Sadler for 5 yds to the AblCh 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Luke Anthony pass complete to Chase Cokley for 14 yds to the Bayl 41

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Luke Anthony run for 12 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA -1.21

Oscar Hernandez 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tracy James run for 6 yds to the AblCh 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Luke Anthony pass complete to Chase Cokley for 2 yds to the AblCh 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Chase Cokley ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 15 , TEAM returns for no gain to the Bayl 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Bayl Tony Nicholson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the Bayl 21

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

JaMycal Hasty run for 7 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.28

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 55 yds to the AblCh 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 7 yds to the AblCh 10

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

John Lovett run for 7 yds to the AblCh 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

John Lovett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Tracy James

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Billy McCrary run for no gain to the AblCh 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Kalin Sadler, broken up by Harrison Hand

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to John Lovett

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 34

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.06

Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Koy Richardson return for no gain to the AblCh 30

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.03

Billy McCrary run for 47 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Luke Anthony pass complete to Josh Fink for 14 yds to the Bayl 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tracy James run for 2 yds to the Bayl 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Luke Anthony pass complete to Chase Cokley for 7 yds for a TD, (Oscar Hernandez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

JaMycal Hasty run for 14 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Chris Platt for 8 yds to the Bayl 49

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.72

Trestan Ebner run for 17 yds to the AblCh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jalan McClendon run for no gain to the AblCh 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 2 yds to the AblCh 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Chris Platt

4th & 8Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +1.08

Connor Martin 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Sema'J Davis pass complete to Cody Ennis for 15 yds to the AblCh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Sema'J Davis pass complete to Chase Cokley for 7 yds to the AblCh 47

2nd & 3Penalty-12 yds

James, T. rush for 3 yards to the 50 yardline (Matiscik,Ross), PENALTY ACU personal foul (Parmelly, K.) 12 yards to the ACU35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.58

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for 27 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Billy McCrary run for 6 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Kalin Sadler

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Luke Anthony pass complete to Chase Cokley for 8 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, delay of game (Luke Anthony) to the Bayl 29

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for 5 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Luke Anthony pass complete to Billy McCrary for 4 yds to the Bayl 20

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tracy James run for 2 yds to the Bayl 18

4th & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -3.49

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for 3 yds to the Bayl 15

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

JaMycal Hasty run for 8 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 24

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.63

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Drew Galitz punt for 45 yds, downed at the AblCh 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Sema'J Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Luke Anthony pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Kalin Sadler, broken up by Jameson Houston

4th & 12Punt+21 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 43 yds , Tony Nicholson returns for 21 yds to the Bayl 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

John Lovett run for 7 yds to the AblCh 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.27

John Lovett run for 5 yds to the AblCh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Adonis Davis

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

John Lovett run for 6 yds to the AblCh 37

3rd & 4Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.80

John Lovett run for 30 yds to the AblCh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

John Lovett run for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sema'J Davis run for 1 yd to the AblCh 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyrese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 25

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Sema'J Davis run for 17 yds to the AblCh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Tyrese White run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.84

Sema'J Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Luke Anthony pass incomplete, broken up by James Lynch

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 12

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Josh Fleeks run for 6 yds to the Bayl 18

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Josh Fleeks run for 6 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.77

Jalan McClendon run for 7 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 39

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 40

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Garret McGuire run for 2 yds to the Bayl 42

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 37

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
67%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
70%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play