Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 3, 2018Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 8.8

Home Win Probability

Michigan 70%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
00077
MichiganMichigan
77141442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-035-042-7
MichiganPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICMICPSMICPSMICPSPSMICPSMICPSMICPUNT411ydTD876ydPUNT39ydDOWNS831ydPUNT415ydMISS764ydTO113ydTD1048ydDOWNS3-1ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT944ydEND2-7ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydTD1390ydTD218ydPUNT36ydTD653ydTO10ydTD412ydTD1175ydUncategorized313yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Michigan
StatisticPenn StateMichigan
Passing8-1711-17
Pass Yards118144
Rush Yards66259
Total Yards184403
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-108-15
Penalties3-207-60
Possession20:4837:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
5/13, 83 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tommy Stevens
10 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Pat Freiermuth
3 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Jan Johnson
1 TFL, 1 PD
Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
11/17, 144 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Karan Higdon
20 CAR, 132 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nico Collins
2 REC, 53 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Miles Sanders run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.86

Trace McSorley sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 44

3rd & 16Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.53

Trace McSorley sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 36

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 25

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.47

Karan Higdon run for 10 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +2.68

Karan Higdon run for 50 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the PnSt 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the PnSt 8

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the PnSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Shea Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the PnSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Brandon Polk

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Trace McSorley run for 10 yds to the PnSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 11 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Karan Higdon

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the PnSt 43

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the PnSt 40

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.91

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 10 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Mich 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Mich 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Mich 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 8

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.53

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 47 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shea Patterson run for no gain to the PnSt 31

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the PnSt 31

4th & 4Blocked Field Goal+9 yds

Quinn Nordin 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nick Scott Garrett Taylor return for 9 yds to the PnSt 35

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McSorley, Trace pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -3.16

Trace McSorley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 48 Trace McSorley fumbled, recovered by Mich Chase Winovich

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the PnSt 46

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the PnSt 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 34

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the PnSt 29

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the PnSt 29

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.35

Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the PnSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the PnSt 23

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.39

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 23 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Trace McSorley run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 22

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 25

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Trace McSorley sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 18

4th & 15Punt+28 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 28 yds to the PnSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 6 yds to the PnSt 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 35

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 40

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 30 yds, downed at the PnSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 9 yds to the PnSt 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.16

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 19 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 20 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Trace McSorley sacked by Jordan Glasgow for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 46

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Shea Patterson sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 15

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.13

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 13

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 5 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Will Hart punt for 45 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 27 PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the PnSt 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the PnSt 21

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 26

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 37

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Mich 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Miles Sanders run for 1 yd to the PnSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 26

4th & 4Punt+84 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 74 yds for a touchback MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 1 yd to the Mich 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 14

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.09

Shea Patterson run for 11 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.62

Karan Higdon run for 19 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the PnSt 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Chris Evans run for no gain to the PnSt 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 24 yds to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 7

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 7 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Tommy Stevens run for 18 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-62 ydsPPA -9.99

Tommy Stevens pass intercepted for a TD Brandon Watson return for 62 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Stevens run for 2 yds to the PnSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy Stevens run for 1 yd to the PnSt 31

4th & 4Punt+26 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 26 yds to the Mich 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for 5 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 49

1st & 20Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.66

Chris Evans run for 32 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Shea Patterson run for 13 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the PnSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-15 ydsPPA -0.46

Trace McSorley pass intercepted David Long return for 15 yds to the PnSt 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the PnSt 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the PnSt 8

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.92

Dylan McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Chris Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miles Sanders run for no gain to the PnSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Tommy Stevens run for 16 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Journey Brown for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Journey Brown run for 8 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.63

Tommy Stevens sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Mich 46

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds to the Mich 34

4th & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.95

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 19 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tommy Stevens run for 3 yds to the Mich 12

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Mich 8

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Tommy Stevens run for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 38

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
30%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays