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← Back to GamesOct 13, 2018Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Michigan 51%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 13, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
070613
MichiganMichigan
01381738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-713-721-724-731-738-13
MichiganWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICMICWISMICWISMICWISWISMICWISMICPUNT521ydMISS1355ydPUNT834ydTD386ydTD471ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydFG744ydTO10ydFG40ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS513ydTD1075ydPUNT616ydPUNT527ydPUNT549ydFG1163ydTD38ydPUNT38ydTD668ydTD875ydEND633yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Michigan
StatisticWisconsinMichigan
Passing7-2014-20
Pass Yards100124
Rush Yards183320
Total Yards283444
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-115-13
Penalties3-301-15
Possession22:5937:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
7/20, 100 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
17 CAR, 101 YDS
receiving
Jake Ferguson
2 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
14/20, 124 YDS
rushing
Karan Higdon
19 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nico Collins
4 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the Wisc 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 3 yds to the Wisc 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 7 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Shea Patterson sacked by Olive Sagapolu for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 32

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Mich 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for 15 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 11 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Joe Milton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 5 yds to the Wisc 24

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Shea Patterson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Quinn Nordin 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Mich 41

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Devin Bush for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 29 yds, downed at the Mich 14

1st & 10Rush+81 ydsPPA +4.78

Shea Patterson run for 81 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.47

Jonathan Taylor run for 23 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Kendric Pryor run for 33 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ambry Thomas for no gain to the Mich 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds to the Mich 30

4th & 5Punt+15 yds

Will Hart punt for 47 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 15 yds to the Wisc 38

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.95

Alex Hornibrook run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 45 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, recovered by Wisc Alex Hornibrook

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.66

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 36

4th & 12Punt+6 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 38 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 6 yds to the Mich 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 9 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.68

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 28 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 28

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.09

Shea Patterson sacked by T.J. Edwards for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 35

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 11 yds to the Wisc 24

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.01

Quinn Nordin 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-31 ydsPPA -0.92

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Josh Metellus return for 31 yds to the Wisc 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Wisc 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.18

Quinn Nordin 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+26 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 52 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 26 yds to the Wisc 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 17 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.46

Shea Patterson sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 15 yards to the Wisc 47 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Mich

2nd & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Wisc 40

3rd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 4 yds to the Wisc 36

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Quinn Nordin 54 yd FG MISSED

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Peoples-Jones run for 5 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 49

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 44 Karan Higdon fumbled, forced by Reggie Pearson, recovered by Mich

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.55

Karan Higdon run for 25 yds to the Wisc 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Wisc 12

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Wisc 7

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.52

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Shea Patterson pass to Nico Collins for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Wisc 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.09

Karan Higdon run for 17 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 13

2nd & 6Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.03

Danny Davis III run for 37 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kendric Pryor run for 2 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Karan Higdon run for 16 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Chris Evans run for 6 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Karan Higdon run for 12 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Shea Patterson run for 12 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Wisc 21

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 22

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 5 yds to the Wisc 17

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.55

Quinn Nordin 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 21

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown-21 ydsPPA -7.25

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Lavert Hill return for 21 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Wisc 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, downed at the Mich 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tru Wilson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.82

Dylan McCaffrey run for 44 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.15

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 36 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 9 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.67

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 27 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Christian Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Christian Turner run for 10 yds to the Wisc 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

O'Maury Samuels run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Christian Turner run for no gain to the Wisc 37

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.26

Joe Milton run for 23 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 15

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
20 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play