Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 4.4

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 34%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
076720
NorthwesternNorthwestern
1070017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-017-017-717-1017-1317-20
NorthwesternMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORPUNT3-1ydTD656ydPUNT31ydFG1037ydDOWNS621ydTD952ydTD779ydPUNT811ydPUNT442ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydEND16ydPUNT516ydFG1169ydPUNT513ydFG1156ydPUNT511ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT32ydTD1167ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT616ydEND629yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Northwestern
StatisticMichiganNorthwestern
Passing15-2416-29
Pass Yards196174
Rush Yards18028
Total Yards376202
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-165-13
Penalties11-1002-25
Possession34:4125:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
15/24, 196 YDS
rushing
Karan Higdon
30 CAR, 115 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Nico Collins
6 REC, 73 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
16/27, 174 YDS
rushing
John Moten IV
13 CAR, 36 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Flynn Nagel
6 REC, 65 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds to the Mich 22

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ronnie Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 20

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.23

Shea Patterson sacked by Joe Gaziano and Earnest Brown IV for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 16

4th & 11Punt+16 yds

Will Hart punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 44 , Riley Lees returns for 16 yds to the Nwest 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 7 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.52

Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.98

Clayton Thorson pass complete to John Moten IV for 9 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

John Moten IV run for 4 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.40

Clayton Thorson pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 36 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Will Hart punt for 54 yds , Riley Lees returns for 5 yds to the Nwest 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Solomon Vault run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 15 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.95

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 9 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Rashan Gary) to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Mich 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 7 yds to the Mich 14

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

John Moten IV run for no gain to the Mich 11

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Thorson, C. pass complete to Green, Cameron for 4 yards to the MICH7 (Hill, Lavert), PENALTY NU pass interference (Chiaokhiao) 15 yards to the MICH26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.74

John Moten IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 30

3rd & 29Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 3 yds to the Mich 27

4th & 26Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +2.45

Charlie Kuhbander 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for 9 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Nwest 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 1 yd to the Nwest 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Nwest 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to JJ Jefferson, broken up by Lavert Hill

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Moten IV run for 4 yds to the Mich 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.13

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 8 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 9 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.30

Solomon Vault run for 9 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Solomon Vault run for no gain to the Mich 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Cameron Green

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Thorson, C. pass incomplete to Skowronek, B. (Long, David), PENALTY MICH pass interference (Long, David) 15 yards to the MICH7, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Riley Lees run for 4 yds to the Mich 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

John Moten IV run for 3 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.48

Karan Higdon run for 18 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 5 yds to the Mich 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 21 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.10

Donovan Peoples-Jones run for 25 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Clayton Thorson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Riley Lees run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 35

3rd & 13Penalty+10 yds

Thorson, C. pass incomplete to Nagel, Flynn, PENALTY MICH holding (Hill, Lavert) 10 yards to the NU45, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Solomon Vault run for 3 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.49

Clayton Thorson sacked by Kwity Paye for a loss of 12 yards to the Nwest 36

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 42 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 36 MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (Karan Higdon) to the Mich 12

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.05

Karan Higdon run for 30 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive holding (Jordan Thompson) to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 7 yds to the Nwest 41

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Zach Gentry) to the Nwest 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

John Moten IV run for 4 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the Nwest 11

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 14

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 39 , Ronnie Bell returns for no gain to the Mich 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Patterson, Shea rush for 15 yards to the NU46, out-of-bounds (McGee, Jared), PENALTY MICH holding (Runyan, Jon) 10 yards to the MICH29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 17 yds to the Mich 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 6 yds to the Nwest 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 14 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 40

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

John Moten IV run for 9 yds to the Nwest 49

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.90

Clayton Thorson sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 41

4th & 11Punt+32 yds

Jake Collins punt for 32 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Shea Patterson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.03

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 36 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tru Wilson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.95

Quinn Nordin 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 8 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Solomon Vault run for 4 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Solomon Vault run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.87

Clayton Thorson sacked by Michael Onwenu for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 33

4th & 14Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (Khaleke Hudson) to the Nwest 38

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Jake Collins punt for 32 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 8 yds to the Mich 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Shea Patterson run for no gain to the Mich 49

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 24 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 9 yds to the Nwest 6

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones, broken up by JR Pace

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.97

Quinn Nordin 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 9 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Cameron Green, broken up by Devin Bush

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Cameron Green, broken up by Josh Ross

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Jake Collins punt for 40 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 13 yds to the Mich 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Patterson, Shea rush for 20 yards to the NU41, out-of-bounds (McGee, Jared), PENALTY MICH holding (Higdon, Karan) 10 yards to the MICH29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 7 yds to the Mich 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Hart, Will punt 54 yards to the NU10, Lees, Riley return to the NU13 (Wangler, Jared), PENALTY MICH illegal formation 5 yards to the MICH31, NO PLAY.

4th & 16Punt+15 yds

Will Hart punt for 56 yds , Riley Lees returns for 15 yds to the Nwest 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Clayton Thorson sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 30

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Shea Patterson pass complete to Jared Wangler for 9 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 13 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Nwest 40

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Shea Patterson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Nwest 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.22

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 22 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Nwest 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Brandon Watson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.26

Clayton Thorson sacked by Kwity Paye for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 15

4th & 20Punt+4 yds

Jake Collins punt for 45 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 4 yds to the Mich 19 MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Mich 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 35

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 38

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.24

Shea Patterson run for 8 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 46

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Nwest 49

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Nwest 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Will Hart punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 15 , Riley Lees returns for 10 yds to the Nwest 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 10 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 9 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

TEAM pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 15 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Clayton Thorson sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 44

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
46%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
31%
26 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play