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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2018Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 23.8

Home Win Probability

Michigan 93%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
003710
MichiganMichigan
201910756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-020-030-039-046-349-356-356-10
MichiganNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBNEBMICMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICMICNEBNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICTO433ydTD664ydPUNT3-13ydTD144ydPUNT3-3ydTD866ydDOWNS00ydPUNT613ydTO3-5ydFG43ydTD32ydTD1059ydTD3-20ydTD334ydSAF3-10ydDOWNS835ydPUNT818ydTD33ydFG855ydFG1155ydPUNT31ydTD256ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydPUNT510ydUncategorized425ydTD780ydUncategorized721yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Michigan
StatisticNebraskaMichigan
Passing13-2418-31
Pass Yards93206
Rush Yards39285
Total Yards132491
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-137-15
Penalties9-798-77
Possession24:3334:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Andrew Bunch
6/9, 71 YDS
rushing
Andrew Bunch
3 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Stanley Morgan Jr.
3 REC, 61 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
15/22, 120 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Karan Higdon
12 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ronnie Bell
1 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Greg Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.78

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 32 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.71

Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Josh Metellus return for no gain to the Mich 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for 7 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 3Rush+46 ydsPPA +1.91

Karan Higdon run for 46 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Neb 9

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Ben Mason run for 6 yds to the Neb 3

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ben Mason run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Neb 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Greg Bell

3rd & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.32

Adrian Martinez sacked by Jordan Glasgow for a loss of 14 yards to the Neb 12

4th & 23Punt+32 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the MICHIGAN 41 NEBRASKA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Cam Taylor) to the Neb 44

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Karan Higdon run for 44 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 2 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 5 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.87

Adrian Martinez sacked by Rashan Gary and Carlo Kemp for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds, downed at the Mich 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 15 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Shea Patterson pass complete to O'Maury Samuels for no gain to the Mich 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.52

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 21 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 33

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Neb 30

3rd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.24

Tru Wilson run for 26 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ben Mason run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Adrian Martinez run for 15 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 37

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.18

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for no gain to the Mich 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 8

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 57 yds , Tyjon Lindsey returns for no gain to the Neb 35 Tyjon Lindsey fumbled, forced by Jake McCurry, recovered by Mich Ambry Thomas

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

4th & 7Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +0.96

Quinn Nordin 50 yd FG GOOD

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 64 yds , JD Spielman return for 16 yds to the Neb 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Neb 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 19

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 40 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 23 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Neb 34

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Neb 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 10 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Neb 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 6 yds to the Neb 12

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.60

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ben Mason run for 4 yds to the Neb 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 20

2nd & 15Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.25

Adrian Martinez sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 8

3rd & 27Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.01

Adrian Martinez sacked by Devin Bush for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 5

4th & 30Punt+17 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 46 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 17 yds to the Neb 34

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.51

Karan Higdon run for 25 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Neb 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ben Mason run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

2nd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 62 yds , Maurice Washington return for 16 yds to the MICHIGAN 49 NEBRASKA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (9 Yards) to the Neb 10

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 12

1st & 20Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 11

2nd & 21Pass Reception-11 yds

Adrian Martinez pass complete for a SAFETY to Adrian Martinez for a loss of 11 yards for a SAFETY

2nd & 21Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Caleb Lightbourn kickoff for 61 yds , Lavert Hill return for 14 yds to the Mich 34 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Glasgow) to the Mich 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 5 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Mich 32

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Tru Wilson run for 9 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 14 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Neb 42

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.76

Shea Patterson sacked by Mohamed Barry for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 49

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tru Wilson for 9 yds to the Neb 42

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 5 yds to the Mich 18

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

O'Maury Samuels run for no gain to the Mich 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 9 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

O'Maury Samuels run for 9 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

O'Maury Samuels run for 6 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Tru Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.16

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 31

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt+3 yds

Will Hart punt for 57 yds , Tyjon Lindsey returns for 3 yds to the Neb 34 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dicaprio Bootle) to the Neb 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Andrew Bunch run for 4 yds to the Neb 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 11

4th & 7Punt+60 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 49 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 60 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.72

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 34

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 35

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Bunch, Andrew pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.18

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 27 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Mich 21

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Mich 20

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 15

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 18

4th & 5Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.41

Barret Pickering 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Dylan McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Mich 31 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 21

1st & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jake McCurry for 15 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

O'Maury Samuels run for 3 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Oliver Martin for 15 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

O'Maury Samuels run for 4 yds to the Neb 39

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.81

Dylan McCaffrey run for 17 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Neb 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jake McCurry

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

4th & 8Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.00

Quinn Nordin 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Maurice Washington run for no gain to the Neb 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Neb 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Jack Stoll

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 52 yds , Ronnie Bell returns for 7 yds to the Mich 33 NEBRASKA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Mich 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Ambry Thomas

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.53

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 56 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Greg Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Greg Bell

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 2 yds to the Neb 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 45 yds, downed at the Mich 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.72

O'Maury Samuels run for 1 yd to the Mich 31 O'Maury Samuels fumbled, recovered by Mich Andrew Vastardis

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jared Wangler

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 64 yds, downed at the Neb 5

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 4

2nd & 11Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Andrew Bunch run for 23 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 27

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Andrew Bunch run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 23

3rd & 14Penalty-8 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Block (-8 Yards) to the Neb 15

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Jaron Woodyard

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 45

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.76

Christian Turner run for 19 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Neb 25

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Neb 20

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.97

Brandon Peters pass intercepted, touchback. Deontai Williams return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 14 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Wyatt Mazour run for no gain to the Neb 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.05

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 21 yds to the MICHIGAN 45 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Khaleke Hudson) to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Wyatt Mazour run for 3 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.47

Wyatt Mazour run for 17 yds to the Mich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Mich 15

1st & 15Penalty+13 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the Mich 2

1st & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.39

Wyatt Mazour run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 7

2nd & 7Penalty+4 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Mich 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Wyatt Mazour run for 3 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.35

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 46

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
39%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays