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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 10.1

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 72%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
0100717
Notre DameNotre Dame
1473024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-321-321-1024-1024-17
Notre DameMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDTD775ydPUNT622ydTD796ydPUNT1047ydPUNT3-4ydFG1131ydTD1575ydTD00ydPUNT828ydEND15ydDOWNS648ydTO23ydDOWNS46ydPUNT30ydPUNT36ydFG1041ydTO423ydPUNT63ydDOWNS1452ydPUNT413ydTD780ydPUNT38ydTO412ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Notre Dame
StatisticMichiganNotre Dame
Passing24-3612-22
Pass Yards249170
Rush Yards58132
Total Yards307302
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-137-15
Penalties7-524-40
Possession31:3328:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
20/30, 227 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Karan Higdon
21 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nico Collins
3 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Brandon Wimbush
12/22, 170 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Wimbush
19 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Chris Finke
3 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase Claypool, broken up by Lavert Hill

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 16 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.82

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Miles Boykin for 28 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.87

Brandon Wimbush run for 5 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Tyree Kinnel) to the Mich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jafar Armstrong 13 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 8 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 44

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the NDame 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 39 yds, downed at the NDame 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the NDame 6

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 5

3rd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.18

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Alize Mack for 26 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Metellus) to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down. Metellus ejected for Targeting.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the NDame 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.15

Brandon Wimbush run for 7 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Chris Finke 43 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Jonathan Doerer) to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Donovan Peoples-Jones run for 7 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 4 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 6 yds to the Mich 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 8 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 7 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.34

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 12 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the NDame 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon, broken up by Alohi Gilman

3rd & 6Sack-16 ydsPPA -3.50

Shea Patterson sacked by Khalid Kareem for a loss of 16 yards to the NDame 41

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Avery Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Cole Kmet for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 25 yds, downed at the NDame 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 3 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the NDame 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 6 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 8 yds to the NDame 7

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the NDame 2

2nd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.01

Shea Patterson sacked by Jerry Tillery for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Gentry, broken up by Alohi Gilman

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinn Nordin 28 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the NDame 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Tony Jones Jr. run for 12 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to Davis, Avery, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Ross, Josh) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wimbush, Brandon pass complete to Davis, Avery for 15 yards to the MICHIGAN20, PENALTY NOTREDAME illegal shift (Mack, Alize) 5 yards to the MICHIGAN40, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Brandon Wimbush run for 11 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chris Finke for 9 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the Mich 17

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Avery Davis run for no gain to the Mich 17

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds to the Mich 11

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.83

Brandon Wimbush sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 17

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 9 yds to the Mich 8

3rd & 8Penalty+4 yds

Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to Boykin, Miles, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer (Winovich, Chase) 4 yards to the MICHIGAN4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jafar Armstrong 4 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Ambry Thomas 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Quinn Nordin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jafar Armstrong run for 8 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Avery Davis for 4 yds to the NDame 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.38

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brandon Wimbush run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Avery Davis, broken up by Brad Hawkins

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chris Finke

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 46 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.06

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 52 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 12 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry, broken up by Adetokunbo Ogundeji

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

4th & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -3.11

Will Hart run for a loss of 11 yards to the NDame 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -0.75

Brandon Wimbush pass intercepted Brandon Watson return for 19 yds to the Mich 49

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 45

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 10 yds to the NDame 45

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin Austin

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds to the Mich 27

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 26

4th & 4Punt+46 yds

Will Hart punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NOTREDAME 23 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NDame 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.96

Brandon Wimbush sacked by Devin Bush for a loss of 10 yards to the NDame 20

3rd & 18Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.76

Brandon Wimbush run for 22 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Tony Jones Jr. run for 11 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 19 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.95

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 29

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mich 26

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Wimbush, Brandon pass complete to Boykin, Miles for 26 yards to the MICHIGAN0, PENALTY NOTREDAME ineligible downfield on pass (Kmet, Cole) 5 yards to the MICHIGAN31, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brandon Wimbush run for no gain to the Mich 31

4th & 16Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +1.88

Justin Yoon 48 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 6 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Shea Patterson run for 9 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.50

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Julian Okwara return for no gain to the NDame 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jafar Armstrong run for 6 yds to the NDame 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chris Finke for 3 yds to the NDame 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 43

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize Mack, broken up by Josh Uche

3rd & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 39

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 57 yds, downed at the Mich 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 6

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Karan Higdon run for 10 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 2 yds to the Mich 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Grant Perry for 6 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Dylan McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.56

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Grant Perry for 10 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Oliver Martin for 1 yd to the NDame 46

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Dylan McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the NDame 44

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Karan Higdon

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Tony Jones Jr. run for 10 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Wimbush run for no gain to the Mich 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McCaffrey, Dylan pass incomplete, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Tranquill, Drue) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 13 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.24

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 24 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Chris Evans

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 21 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the NDame 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Karan Higdon 3 Yd Run (Quinn Nordin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the NDame 29

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brandon Wimbush run for 4 yds to the NDame 33

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 6 yds to the Mich 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 4 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.92

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 16 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

2nd & 10Sack+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Shea Patterson sacked by Jerry Tillery for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 29 Shea Patterson fumbled, forced by Jerry Tillery, recovered by NDame Te'von Coney , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds to the Mich 29

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 31

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 33

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
56%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
21%
14 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play