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← Back to GamesOct 20, 2018Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 41%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 20, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
077721
Michigan StateMichigan State
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-21
Michigan StateMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMSMICMSMICMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICPUNT620ydPUNT720ydTD1484ydPUNT513ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT411ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydMISS540ydPUNT46ydPUNT30ydEND1-1ydPUNT544ydTO3-4ydTD27ydTO33ydTO523ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT4-7ydTD179ydPUNT30ydTD1384ydPUNT33ydPUNT913ydDOWNS548ydUncategorized45yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Michigan State
StatisticMichiganMichigan State
Passing14-257-28
Pass Yards21279
Rush Yards18315
Total Yards39594
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-180-12
Penalties9-994-40
Possession40:5818:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
14/25, 212 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Karan Higdon
33 CAR, 144 YDS
receiving
Donovan Peoples-Jones
1 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
5/25, 66 YDS
rushing
LJ Scott
10 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Darrell Stewart Jr.
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Andrew Dowell
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Shea Patterson run for 6 yds to the Mich 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 7 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ronnie Bell run for 3 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Brian Lewerke pass complete to LJ Scott for 15 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for 8 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.59

Brian Lewerke sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 40

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 45 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 1 yd to the Mich 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 9 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 8 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.69

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 10 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.97

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 25 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the MchSt 16

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the MchSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the MchSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the MchSt 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the MchSt 6

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Nico Collins 6 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Quinn Nordin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Connor Heyward

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding off-setting, PENALTY MICHIGANST Personal Foul off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Justin Layne

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Heyward run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mich 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 16 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.69

Ronnie Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Chris Evans, broken up by Naquan Jones

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 40

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the MchSt 7

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

4th & 9Punt+35 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 35 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the MchSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 5 yds to the MchSt 38

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the MchSt 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 42

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.94

Karan Higdon run for 38 yds to the MchSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the MchSt 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the MchSt 13

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.08

Shea Patterson sacked by Andrew Dowell for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 18

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Quinn Nordin 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 15

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 15 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Brian Lewerke sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 26

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 14Punt+16 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 38 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 16 yds to the MchSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for no gain to the MchSt 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones, broken up by Xavier Henderson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 38 yds, downed at the MchSt 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 9

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.29

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cam Chambers for 20 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Chase Winovich) to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.69

Connor Heyward run for 5 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Devin Bush) to the Mich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Justin Layne

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Brandon Sowards

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Layne, Justin, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Reid, Jordan) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN38, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Connor Heyward run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 39

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 11

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 9

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA +0.33

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 7 Chris Evans fumbled, forced by Raequan Williams, recovered by MchSt Brandon Bouyer-Randle

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the Mich 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Brian Lewerke 4 Yd pass from Darrell Stewart Jr. (Matt Coghlin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 15

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry, broken up by Khari Willis

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Will Hart punt for 50 yds , Shakur Brown returns for 10 yds to the MchSt 46 Shakur Brown fumbled, recovered by Mich Joe Hewlett

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Shea Patterson sacked by Kenny Willekes for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 47

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 10 yds to the MchSt 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.15

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 13 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.70

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 23 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by MchSt Tyriq Thompson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Lewerke run for no gain to the MchSt 22

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 20

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Will Hart punt for 37 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -3.27

LJ Scott run for no gain to the 50 yard line MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MchSt 35

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Brandon Sowards

2nd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Brandon Sowards for 8 yds to the MchSt 43

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 36 yds, downed at the Mich 21

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.33

Donovan Peoples-Jones 79 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Quinn Nordin Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Connor Heyward

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cam Chambers

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 59 yds, downed at the Mich 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.52

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 16 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.65

Karan Higdon run for 14 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the MchSt 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 8 yds to the MchSt 41

4th & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.38

Shea Patterson run for 11 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Shea Patterson run for 11 yds to the MchSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the MchSt 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Ben Mason 5 Yd Run (Quinn Nordin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Brandon Sowards

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 47 yds, downed at the Mich 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.96

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Andrew Stueber) to the Mich 45

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the MchSt 49

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the MchSt 47

4th & 4Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Mich 38

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 13

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.20

Rocky Lombardi run for 10 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Michael Onwenu) to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Stewart Jr., Darrell, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Thomas, Ambry) 14 yards to the MICHIGAN48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Stewart Jr., Darrell, PENALTY MICHIGAN substitution infraction 5 yards to the MICHIGAN43, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty+10 yds

Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Heyward, Connor, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer 10 yards to the MICHIGAN33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 9 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 1Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.64

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Devin Bush for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 35

3rd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Michael Onwenu for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Ben Mason run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 45

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
32 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
0%
6 plays
4th