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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 26.8

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 95%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
3001720
Michigan StateMichigan State
01714031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-324-331-331-1031-1331-20
Michigan StateCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMCMMSCMMSFG543ydPUNT516ydPUNT36ydTO955ydPUNT39ydPUNT420ydTO630ydTD435ydPUNT411ydPUNT523ydPUNT32ydTD646ydTO30ydFG819ydEND2-9ydTD858ydPUNT3-2ydTD844ydTD1375ydFG626ydPUNT3-14ydTD869ydEND1367yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and Michigan State
StatisticCentral MichiganMichigan State
Passing20-3516-25
Pass Yards182185
Rush Yards63160
Total Yards245345
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-145-12
Penalties7-645-55
Possession22:2137:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Tommy Lazzaro
19/34, 153 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tommy Lazzaro
11 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Brandon Childress
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
16/25, 185 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
La'Darius Jefferson
13 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Felton Davis III
3 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.43

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Brandon Childress for 35 yds to the MICHIGANST 30 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Cameron Cole for 2 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Damon Terry run for 3 yds to the MchSt 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 3 yds to the MchSt 22

4th & 2Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA -0.44

Ryan Tice 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Connor Heyward run for 6 yds to the CMich 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Connor Heyward run for 7 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Connor Heyward run for 4 yds to the CMich 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for 4 yds to the CMich 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III, broken up by Sean Bunting

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Jamil Sabbagh at the CMich 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Jamil Sabbagh

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Brandon Childress for 4 yds to the CMich 18

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Lazzaro run for 2 yds to the CMich 20

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 43 yds , Cody White returns for no gain to the MchSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Laress Nelson for 8 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Connor Heyward run for no gain to the MchSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Connor Heyward run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Laress Nelson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Heyward run for 1 yd to the CMich 49

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Davis, Felton, PENALTY CMU pass interference 15 yards to the CMU34, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the CMich 25

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA -0.31

La'Darius Jefferson run for 15 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the CMich 8

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.32

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted, touchback. Sean Bunting return for no gain

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 15

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 14

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tommy Lazzaro run for 5 yds to the CMich 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Drayton Law for 10 yds to the CMich 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 49 yds, downed at the MchSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Brandon Sowards for 20 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.54

Brian Lewerke pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 42

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Connor Heyward

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 40 yds, downed at the CMich 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Devon Spalding for 3 yds to the CMich 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Mitch Stanitzek

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Drayton Law for 7 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LAZZARO, Tommy pass incomplete to CHILDRESS, B., PENALTY MSU pass interference 15 yards to the CMU43, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Sean Bunting, broken up by Gerald Owens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 5 yds to the CMich 48

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return-30 ydsPPA -1.45

Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted David Dowell return for 30 yds to the CMich 35

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Andre Welch run for 11 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 16 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the CMich 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Tommy Lazzaro run for 10 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.65

Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Raequan Williams and Jack Camper for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 26

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 5 yds to the CMich 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 3 yds to the CMich 34

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 36 yds , Cody White returns for 2 yds to the MchSt 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Connor Heyward run for 1 yd to the MchSt 33

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Davis, Felton, PENALTY CMU pass interference 15 yards to the MSU48, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMich 49

2nd & 7Penalty+4 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Davis, Felton, PENALTY CMU pass interference 4 yards to the CMU45, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Weston Bridges run for 2 yds to the CMich 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Brian Lewerke sacked by Nate Brisson-Fast for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jamil Sabbagh at the CMich 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy Lazzaro run for 2 yds to the CMich 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Jamil Sabbagh

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Devon Spalding

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 29 yds, downed at the CMich 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMich 43

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Brian Lewerke run for 9 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.42

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 24 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the CMich 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the CMich 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete, broken up by Mike Panasiuk

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA +0.09

Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted Justin Layne return for 6 yds to the CMich 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Laress Nelson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Brandon Sowards for 9 yds to the CMich 25

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.00

Connor Heyward run for 3 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Laress Nelson for 4 yds to the CMich 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 20

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the CMich 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.72

Matt Coghlin 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Kenny Willekes for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 29

2nd & 18Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Brandon Bouyer-Randle for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 28 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Connor Heyward run for 2 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Brian Lewerke run for 10 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Sokol for 6 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Connor Heyward run for 6 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Andre Welch run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.39

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 37 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Connor Heyward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Connor Heyward run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cameron Cole run for 1 yd to the CMich 26

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Tony Poljan

4th & 12Punt+24 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 45 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 24 yds to the CMich 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Laress Nelson for 19 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Weston Bridges run for 9 yds to the CMich 16

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.48

Weston Bridges run for 4 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Weston Bridges run for 4 yds to the CMich 8 Weston Bridges fumbled,

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMich 5

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.71

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Julian Hicks for 4 yds to the CMich 29

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Brandon Childress for 7 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jonathan Ward run for 16 yds to the MICHIGANST 37 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 47

1st & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Julian Hicks for 16 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Julian Hicks for 5 yds to the MchSt 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Cameron Cole for 16 yds to the MchSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LAZZARO, Tommy rush for 4 yards to the MSU7 (Dowell, Andrew), PENALTY CMU holding 10 yards to the MSU21, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Tommy Lazzaro run for 10 yds to the MchSt 11

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the MchSt 10

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Julian Hicks for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 4 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.12

Tommy Lazzaro run for 4 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MchSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Bernhard Raimann, broken up by Justin Layne

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan, broken up by Khari Willis

4th & 7Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.05

Ryan Tice 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Weston Bridges run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 36

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rocky Lombardi run for 4 yds to the MchSt 40

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.86

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Robi Stuart for a loss of 11 yards to the MchSt 29

4th & 19Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 24

4th & 24Punt+3 yds

Tyler Hunt punt for 48 yds , Jamil Sabbagh returns for 3 yds to the CMich 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tommy Lazzaro run for 2 yds to the CMich 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.28

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Julian Hicks for 6 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 49

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward, broken up by David Dowell

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Tommy Lazzaro run for 13 yds to the MchSt 37

4th & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.87

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Logan Hessbrook for 8 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Jonathan Ward pass complete to Tony Poljan for 29 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 14 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Heyward run for 5 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for 12 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Brandon Sowards

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the MchSt 45

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 15 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Weston Bridges run for 1 yd to the CMich 33

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Connor Heyward run for 6 yds to the CMich 27

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Heyward run for 1 yd to the CMich 26

4th & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for 2 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 25

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
19 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
10%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
44%
32 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
67%
3 plays