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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2018Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 32.7

Home Win Probability

Rutgers 3%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
3100720
RutgersRutgers
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-137-20
RutgersPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RUTPSRUTPSRUTPSRUTPSRUTPSRUTPSRUTPSPSRUTPSRUTPSRUTPSRUTPSRUTPSPUNT38ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydFG1371ydDOWNS1234ydPUNT615ydTO412ydPUNT613ydTO610ydTD428ydPUNT34ydFG879ydPUNT519ydDOWNS1582ydTO529ydTO522ydTD846ydTD965ydPUNT35ydPUNT410ydTO1240ydDOWNS40ydEND2-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Rutgers
StatisticPenn StateRutgers
Passing17-375-16
Pass Yards18346
Rush Yards139188
Total Yards322234
Turnovers23
3rd Down11-195-14
Penalties3-435-62
Possession27:4232:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
17/37, 183 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Miles Sanders
27 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
KJ Hamler
5 REC, 71 YDS
defense
Koa Farmer
1 TFL, 1 PD
Rutgers
passing
rushing
Raheem Blackshear
22 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bo Melton
3 REC, 29 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 5 yds to the PnSt 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 67 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for no gain to the Rutgr 20

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.43

Artur Sitkowski sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 10

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Artur Sitkowski sacked by Robert Windsor for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 12

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13

3rd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 12 yds to the Rutgr 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds , KJ Hamler returns for no gain to the PnSt 25 KJ Hamler fumbled, recovered by PnSt KJ Hamler , return for no gain to the PnSt 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the PnSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Miles Sanders run for 8 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.35

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 13 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Miles Sanders run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 32

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Sullivan-Brown, PENALTY RU pass interference (Young, Avery) 15 yards to the RU9, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 13

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Trace McSorley run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Jake Pinegar 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 37 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Artur Sitkowski sacked by Micah Parsons for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 39 Artur Sitkowski fumbled, , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shareef Miller) to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Jonathan Hilliman run for 3 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the PnSt 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the PnSt 41

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.81

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear, broken up by Koa Farmer

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the PnSt 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.10

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Miles Sanders

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 18

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 21

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

Jonathan Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.85

Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted John Reid return for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Miles Sanders run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Justin Shorter run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Miles Sanders run for no gain to the Rutgr 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 12

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Isaih Pacheco run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -1.80

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 33 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal use of hands (-15 Yards) to the Rutgr 18

1st & 24Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA +0.20

Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted Garrett Taylor return for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.39

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 23 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 26 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 5 yds to the Rutgr 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Miles Sanders

3rd & 5Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.72

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 35 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth, broken up by Kiy Hester

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Hamler, KJ (Hayes, Damon), PENALTY RU pass interference (Hayes, Damon) 12 yards to the RU2, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Miles Sanders run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson, broken up by Isaiah Wharton

3rd & 1Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.55

Jake Pinegar 19 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.74

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 20 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.66

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 28

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the PnSt 33

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson, broken up by Isaiah Wharton

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 51 yds, downed at the Rutgr 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 15

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 17

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Giovanni Rescigno run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Giovanni Rescigno run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the PnSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the PnSt 43

3rd & 3Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.85

Giovanni Rescigno run for 18 yds to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jan Johnson) to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Raheem Blackshear run for 10 yds to the PnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the PnSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jonathan Hilliman run for 1 yd to the PnSt 1

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jonathan Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Trey Sneed pass incomplete to Giovanni Rescigno

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 13 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the PnSt 23

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Miles Sanders run for 8 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.39

Trace McSorley pass intercepted Isaiah Wharton return for no gain to the Rutgr 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.06

Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Bo Melton for 17 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Giovanni Rescigno run for no gain to the Rutgr 44

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Rescigno, G. rush for 9 yards to the PSU47, out-of-bounds (Taylor, Garrett), PENALTY RU holding (Cole, Tariq) 10 yards to the RU34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.68

Raheem Blackshear run for 9 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Robert Windsor) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Rescigno, G. rush for 5 yards to the PSU37 (Johnson, Jan), PENALTY RU holding (Maietti, M.) 10 yards to the RU48, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 46 Isaih Pacheco fumbled, forced by Robert Windsor, recovered by PnSt Daniel Joseph

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ricky Slade run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.89

Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth, broken up by Damon Hayes

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 7 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 5 yds to the Rutgr 18

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 18 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36

2nd & 9Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.89

Raheem Blackshear run for 24 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Shameen Jones for 11 yds to the PnSt 31

4th & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.79

Jonathan Hilliman run for 23 yds to the PnSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the PnSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the PnSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 5 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Trace McSorley pass incomplete PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 70 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Raheem Blackshear run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the Rutgr 31

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Antonio Shelton for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 30

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+15 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 42 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 15 yds to the PnSt 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the PnSt 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Miles Sanders run for no gain to the PnSt 49

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.84

Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.23

Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 35

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Trace McSorley run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Miles Sanders run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 18

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.89

Miles Sanders run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 17 Miles Sanders fumbled, forced by Trevor Morris, recovered by Rutgr Saquan Hampton

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Shameen Jones

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.34

Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Bo Melton

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 21

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.11

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 24

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
64%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play