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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Rutgers by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Rutgers 79%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
00707
RutgersRutgers
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-735-7
RutgersTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RUTTSRUTTSRUTTSRUTTSRUTTSTSTSRUTTSRUTRUTTSRUTTSRUTTSTSRUTTSRUTTD1171ydMISS1559ydTD854ydTO10ydPUNT515ydTO30ydTD23ydPUNT743ydTO982ydEND515ydPUNT46ydPUNT31ydPUNT39ydPUNT31ydTD422ydTD1375ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-4ydTO315ydTD2-3ydPUNT418ydDOWNS750ydPUNT38ydEND743yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Rutgers
StatisticTexas StateRutgers
Passing9-2420-29
Pass Yards100205
Rush Yards69218
Total Yards169423
Turnovers34
3rd Down1-138-13
Penalties15-1197-50
Possession24:2835:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Willie Jones III
6/19, 79 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Willie Jones III
14 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
JahMarae Sheread
1 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Rutgers
passing
Artur Sitkowski
20/29, 205 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Isaih Pacheco
11 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Bo Melton
4 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Trevor Morris
0.5 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 11 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Shameen Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSt 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Artur Sitkowski run for 2 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the TexSt 19

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the TexSt 19

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 10 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Raheem Blackshear run for 9 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Willie Jones III run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 6

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Willie Jones III run for 4 yds to the TexSt 10

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

JonesIII,Willie pass incomplete to Haydel,Jeremiah (Hayes, Damon), PENALTY RU holding (Wharton, Isaiah) 10 yards to the TXST20, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Willie Jones III sacked by Elorm Lumor for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 14

2nd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.56

Willie Jones III pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for 16 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Willie Jones III run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Caleb Twyford run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 40

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the Rutgr 40

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JonesIII,Willie rush for no gain to the RU35, out-of-bounds (Lumor, Elorm), QB hurry by Morris, Trevor, PENALTY TXST holding (Brewer,Aaron) 10 yards to the RU45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.55

Willie Jones III sacked by Blessuan Austin for a loss of 15 yards to the RUTGERS 40 TEXAS STATE Penalty, intentional grounding (Willie Jones III) to the TexSt 40

2nd & 35Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Watts run for 3 yds to the TexSt 43

3rd & 32Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Willie Jones III run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 49

4th & 24Penalty+15 yds

Stewart,Clayton punt 49 yards to the RU0, touchback, PENALTY RU personal foul (Stevens, L.) 15 yards to the RU34, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Willie Jones III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Willie Jones III pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+51 yds

Chris Kessler 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Elorm Lumor Isaiah Wharton return for no gain to the Rutgr 46

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.79

Artur Sitkowski sacked by Frankie Griffin for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 35

2nd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 11 yds to the Rutgr 46

3rd & 10Penalty+14 yds

Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete to Jabbie, Mohamed, PENALTY TXST roughing passer (Vinson,Hal) 14 yards to the TXST40, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the TexSt 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 12 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jonathan Hilliman run for 3 yds to the TexSt 24

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jonathan Hilliman run for 4 yds to the TexSt 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 17 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jonathan Hilliman run for 3 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -0.92

Willie Jones III pass intercepted Blessuan Austin return for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Raheem Blackshear run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear, broken up by Bryan London II

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 6 yds to the TexSt 45

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the TexSt 17

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 15

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Willie Jones III run for 6 yds to the TexSt 3 Willie Jones III fumbled, forced by Rashawn Battle, recovered by Rutgr Elorm Lumor , return for 14 yds to the TexSt 3

1st & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.28

Jonathan Hilliman run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 9 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.69

Willie Jones III pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 37 yds to the RUTGERS 38 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Willie Jones III run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Anthony D. Taylor run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 22

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 5 yds to the Rutgr 22

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

JonesIII,Willie rush for 5 yards to the RU17 (Fogg, Tyshon), QB hurry by Fatukasi, O., PENALTY TXST holding (Rowland,Jacob) 10 yards to the RU32, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 31 yds, downed at the Rutgr 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jonathan Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 3

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 6

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 8 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.16

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 24 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 12 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Sitkowski, A. pass complete to Blackshear, R. for loss of 7 yards to the RU47, out-of-bounds (Griffin,Frankie), PENALTY TXST offside defense (Hines,Kumonde) 5 yards to the TXST41, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA -0.04

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jerome Washington for 29 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Eddie Lewis

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.84

Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted, touchback. Jarron Morris return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Willie Jones III pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 23 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Caleb Twyford

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.33

Willie Jones III run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 44

1st & 15Penalty-15 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexSt 41

1st & 30Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.54

Willie Jones III pass complete to Caleb Twyford for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 35

0th & 30End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Anthony D. Taylor run for 10 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 31

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel, broken up by Avery Young

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 29 yds , Raheem Blackshear returns for no gain to the Rutgr 39 Raheem Blackshear fumbled, recovered by TexSt Dennis Johnson Jr.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 37

2nd & 8Penalty-6 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Aaron Brewer) to the Rutgr 43

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Willie Jones III run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Jah'Marae Sheread, broken up by Damon Hayes

4th & 9Punt+20 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 25 yds, downed at the Rutgr 13 TEXAS STATE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo Melton, broken up by Anthony J. Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jonathan Hilliman for 4 yds to the Rutgr 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, downed at the TexSt 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Willie Jones III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 31

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Jah'Marae Sheread run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 49 yds, downed at the Rutgr 24

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Jonathan Hilliman run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonathan Hilliman run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jonathan Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46

3rd & 3Interception Return Touchdown-51 ydsPPA -8.56

Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted for a TD Kordell Rodgers return for 51 yds for a TD (Chris Kessler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Jerome Washington

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.34

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Hunter Hayek for 10 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the TexSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Jonathan Hilliman run for 4 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jerome Washington for 3 yds to the TexSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jonathan Hilliman run for 4 yds to the TexSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 10 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jonathan Hilliman run for 7 yds to the TexSt 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jonathan Hilliman run for 2 yds to the TexSt 8

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.53

Jonathan Hilliman run for 8 yds for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 7

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Willie Jones III run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 6

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Caleb Twyford

4th & 12Penalty-6 yds

Stewart,Clayton punt 39 yards to the TXST45, fair catch by Young, Avery, PENALTY RU roughing the kicker 5 yards to the TXST11, NO PLAY, PENALTY TXST personal foul 6 yards to the TXST5, NO PLAY.

4th & 13Punt-2 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 60 yds , Avery Young returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41

4th & 2Punt+48 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 38 yds , Hutch White returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 40 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexSt 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony D. Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexSt 15

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.63

Willie Jones III sacked by Mike Tverdov for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 6

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Willie Jones III pass incomplete, broken up by Mike Tverdov

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 47 yds, downed at the Rutgr 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 15 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the TexSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.12

Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted Kordell Rodgers return for no gain to the TexSt 3

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony D. Taylor run for 10 yds to the TexSt 13 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Aaron Brewer) to the TexSt 7

1st & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Olakunle Fatukasi for a TD (Justin Davidovicz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 12 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Javen Banks for 3 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Keenen Brown, broken up by Trevor Morris

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Vitt run for 3 yds to the TexSt 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 26

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.83

Isaih Pacheco run for 28 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Isaih Pacheco run for 11 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Trey Sneed run for 2 yds to the TexSt 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Daevon Robinson

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -2.89

Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the TexSt 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Mason Hays

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the TexSt 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Mason Hays for 6 yds to the TexSt 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 12 yds, downed at the TexSt 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the TexSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the TexSt 40

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Isaih Pacheco run for 14 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Charles Snorweah run for 6 yds to the TexSt 20

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Charles Snorweah run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 22

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Charles Snorweah run for 9 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Charles Snorweah run for 8 yds to the TexSt 5

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
4th

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play