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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 27.5

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 94%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
3301016
NorthwesternNorthwestern
7143024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-614-624-624-924-16
NorthwesternIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORPUNT834ydTD992ydFG1585ydPUNT3-12ydFG1349ydTD1175ydPUNT521ydTD980ydEND1-1ydFG1268ydPUNT32ydPUNT825ydFG1580ydPUNT37ydTD881ydPUNT34ydTO658ydEND747yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Northwestern
StatisticIllinoisNorthwestern
Passing23-3912-18
Pass Yards281110
Rush Yards154261
Total Yards435371
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-158-13
Penalties7-661-15
Possession31:0628:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
AJ Bush
23/39, 281 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Reggie Corbin
13 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Ricky Smalling
7 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
12/18, 110 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaiah Bowser
18 CAR, 166 YDS
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.63

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 6 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 33

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.67

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 30

3rd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.73

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 26 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 49

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

Bush,AJ pass complete to Davis,Trenard for 6 yards to the NU43 (Ruiz, Cameron), PENALTY ILL ineligible downfield on pass (Lowe,Vederian) 5 yards to the ILL46, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

AJ Bush Jr. run for 7 yds to the Nwest 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 9 yds to the Nwest 38

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Bush,AJ pass complete to Davis,Trenard for 16 yards to the NU22 (Whillock, T.), PENALTY ILL pass interference (Barker,Daniel) 15 yards to the ILL47, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.50

AJ Bush Jr. run for 9 yds to the Nwest 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds, downed at the Nwest 8

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.80

Isaiah Bowser run for 55 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Illin 33

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Chad Hanaoka run for 12 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds to the Illin 12

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Illin 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Illin 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Collins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 4 yds to the Illin 21

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.86

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 7 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

AJ Bush Jr. run for 1 yd to the Illin 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Reggie Corbin

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.54

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Caleb Reams for 14 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

AJ Bush Jr. run for 6 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 13 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.48

Reggie Corbin run for 18 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.78

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 18 yds to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Mays

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Alonzo Mayo

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Chase McLaughlin 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Clayton Thorson pass complete to JJ Jefferson for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 18

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 24

3rd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.22

Clayton Thorson sacked by Delano Ware for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 47 yds, downed at the Illin 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 4 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.16

AJ Bush Jr. run for 7 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 6 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Mays

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 3 yds to the Nwest 40

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Ra'Von Bonner run for 14 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

AJ Bush Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Mays

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 14 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Fred Wyatt

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

AJ Bush Jr. run for 9 yds to the Nwest 5

3rd & 1Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.88

AJ Bush Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 11

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.63

Chase McLaughlin 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 14 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Isaiah Bowser run for 13 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Chad Hanaoka run for 6 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 9 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Clayton Thorson run for 8 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds to the Illin 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Illin 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Illin 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Collins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 8 yds to the Illin 35

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Reggie Corbin run for 10 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

AJ Bush Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 42

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Mays

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the Illin 48

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 39 yds , Riley Lees returns for 7 yds to the Nwest 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 9 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.81

Chad Hanaoka run for 14 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.59

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 25 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 8 yds to the Illin 24

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.24

Chad Hanaoka run for 7 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 11 yds to the Illin 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chad Hanaoka run for 1 yd to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Collins KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 9 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Illin 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Chad Hanaoka run for 3 yds to the Illin 39

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.31

Isaiah Bowser run for 13 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Isaiah Bowser run for 14 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chad Hanaoka run for 3 yds to the Illin 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Cameron Green

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Chad Hanaoka run for 2 yds to the Illin 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.89

Jake Collins 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Mays

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Solomon Vault run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 4 yds to the Nwest 28

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

John Moten IV run for no gain to the Nwest 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.32

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 15 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Jelani Roberts run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 43

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Solomon Vault run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

Bush,AJ pass complete to Reams,Caleb for 3 yards to the ILL15 (Bergin, Chris), PENALTY ILL holding 6 yards to the ILL6, NO PLAY.

1st & 16Penalty+15 yds

Bush,AJ pass incomplete to Smalling,Ricky, PENALTY NU pass interference (Ruiz, Cameron) 15 yards to the ILL21, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 14 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Illin 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Alonzo Mayo

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

AJ Bush Jr. run for 9 yds to the Illin 48

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

AJ Bush Jr. run for 1 yd to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.26

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 28 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

AJ Bush Jr. run for 3 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

AJ Bush Jr. run for 4 yds to the Nwest 16

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.30

AJ Bush Jr. run for 3 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Trenard Davis, broken up by JR Pace

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Mays

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

AJ Bush Jr. run for 5 yds to the Nwest 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.86

Chase McLaughlin 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Solomon Vault run for 2 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Solomon Vault run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

TJ Green run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 47 yds, downed at the Illin 19

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Reggie Corbin run for 13 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.91

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Caleb Reams for 21 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.95

Reggie Corbin run for 24 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Bush,AJ pass incomplete to Corbin,Reggie, QB hurry by Brown IV, E., PENALTY ILL holding (Milan,Jamal) 10 yards to the NU33, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.51

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 18 yds to the Nwest 15

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

AJ Bush Jr. run for 3 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Nwest 10

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.99

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 10 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the Nwest 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 7 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Caleb Reams for 11 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 3 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 9 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.90

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 28 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -4.42

AJ Bush Jr. pass intercepted Paddy Fisher return for 12 yds to the Nwest 20

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 16

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 19

3rd & 11Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.23

John Moten IV run for 29 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.62

John Moten IV run for 5 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Del'Shawn Phillips) to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 31

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play