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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2018Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 1.1

Home Win Probability

Illinois 46%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
71001431
IllinoisIllinois
1410211055

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-717-1424-1431-1738-1745-1748-1755-2455-31
IllinoisMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINMINILLMINILLMINILLMINMINILLMINILLMINILLTD273ydTD1275ydTD275ydPUNT412ydPUNT529ydPUNT37ydFG730ydTD1077ydTD367ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydDOWNS851ydTO425ydFG641ydTO01ydEND10ydPUNT32ydTD769ydTO25ydTD130ydPUNT733ydTD489ydPUNT37ydTO37ydFG954ydTD375ydTD1275ydTD377ydEND33yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Illinois
StatisticMinnesotaIllinois
Passing15-2818-25
Pass Yards260216
Rush Yards178430
Total Yards438646
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-154-9
Penalties2-157-70
Possession32:5027:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
14/27, 258 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
18 CAR, 98 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Rashod Bateman
7 REC, 175 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Illinois
passing
AJ Bush
18/25, 216 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Reggie Corbin
13 CAR, 213 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ricky Smalling
4 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tony Adams
1 TFL, 3 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 28

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.57

Reggie Corbin run for 72 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Tony Adams

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Illin 42

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.45

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Tanner Morgan run for 9 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Seth Green run for 6 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.37

Dre Brown run for 72 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Seth Green run for no gain to the Minn 34

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius Douglas

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.93

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 20 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

AJ Bush Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 49

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Stampley

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 7 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius Douglas

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Reggie Corbin run for 14 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 8 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.21

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Caleb Reams for 8 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 21

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 3 yds to the Minn 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.03

Chase McLaughlin 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Seth Green run for 13 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Seth Green pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 2 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Calvin Avery) to the Illin 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 9 yds to the Illin 8

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Seth Green run for 7 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 7 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Bush,AJ pass complete to Brown,Dre for 31 yards to the MINN26 (Howden, Jordan), PENALTY ILL holding (Lowe,Vederian) 10 yards to the ILL33, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.55

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 67 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 8 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Reggie Corbin

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 49 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for no gain to the Minn 24

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.59

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 31 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Del'Shawn Phillips

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.16

Tanner Morgan sacked by Del'Shawn Phillips and Bobby Roundtree for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 34

4th & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Illin 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 9 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

AJ Bush Jr. run for 11 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.83

AJ Bush Jr. pass intercepted Coney Durr return for no gain to the Minn 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Tony Adams for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.49

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 25 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Illin 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Tony Adams

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.55

Emmit Carpenter 28 yd FG GOOD

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for no gain to the Minn 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 5 yds to the Minn 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Holmes at the Illin 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

AJ Bush Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 37

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.52

AJ Bush Jr. run for 14 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Stampley, broken up by Chris Williamson

2nd & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.97

AJ Bush Jr. run for 44 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.18

AJ Bush Jr. run for 3 yds to the Minn 3 AJ Bush Jr. fumbled, forced by Chris Williamson, recovered by Illin Kendrick Green

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

AJ Bush Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Minn 25

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.22

Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Minn 30 Seth Green fumbled, forced by Del'Shawn Phillips, recovered by Illin Kenyon Jackson

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Daniel Barker for 30 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MINN9 (Avery,Calvin), PENALTY ILL face mask (Avery,Calvin) 15 yards to the MINN32, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Tanner Morgan sacked by Tony Adams for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.30

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Holmes at the Illin 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Illin 18

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Illin 20

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.54

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 3 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.21

Reggie Corbin run for 77 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 37 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Tanner Morgan , return for 2 yds to the Minn 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds , Jartavius Martin returns for no gain to the Illin 23 Jartavius Martin fumbled, recovered by Minn Payton Jordahl

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for no gain to the Illin 23

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the Illin 20

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -3.75

Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the Illin 16 Tanner Morgan fumbled, forced by Jake Hansen, recovered by Illin Jake Hansen

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Illin 24

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

AJ Bush Jr. run for 11 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 7 yds to the Illin 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.35

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 4 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Reggie Corbin run for 20 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

AJ Bush Jr. run for 8 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Dre Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 27

3rd & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.42

AJ Bush Jr. sacked by Jamaal Teague for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 30

4th & 6Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.64

Chase McLaughlin 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 61 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Illin 20

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Dre Brown run for 10 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 6 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

AJ Bush Jr. run for 7 yds to the Illin 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 9 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

AJ Bush Jr. run for 5 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

3rd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.99

AJ Bush Jr. run for 18 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 5 yds to the Minn 20

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 17

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.58

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Austin Roberts for 10 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Stampley

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 12

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.91

AJ Bush Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Kerby Joseph

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Morgan sacked by Marc Mondesir for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 14

3rd & 19Passing Touchdown+86 ydsPPA +7.36

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 86 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 43

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 41

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
31 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
72%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
55%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play