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← Back to GamesOct 20, 2018Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 29.4

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 96%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 20, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
0107320
WisconsinWisconsin
141414749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-014-728-1035-1742-1742-2049-20
WisconsinIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISTD1175ydTO527ydTD225ydPUNT632ydPUNT424ydTO827ydPUNT735ydTO32ydMISS635ydTD180ydPUNT33ydTO3-3ydTD127ydTO25ydTD335ydPUNT3-3ydTO519ydFG25ydPUNT416ydTO310ydTD243ydTD675ydPUNT3-4ydTD856ydFG967ydTD1186ydPUNT35ydPUNT517ydPUNT516ydEND213yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Wisconsin
StatisticIllinoisWisconsin
Passing9-2113-22
Pass Yards90188
Rush Yards210357
Total Yards300545
Turnovers52
3rd Down2-123-8
Penalties3-255-50
Possession22:0837:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
M.J. Rivers II
7/13, 80 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Reggie Corbin
9 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trenard Davis
3 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
13/22, 188 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
27 CAR, 159 YDS
receiving
Jake Ferguson
3 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 6 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Taiwan Deal run for 13 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Garrett Groshek run for 17 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Illin 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Illin 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.00

AJ Bush Jr. run for 16 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 8 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return-28 ydsPPA -2.30

AJ Bush Jr. pass intercepted T.J. Edwards return for 28 yds to the Illin 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 2 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Aron Cruickshank run for 23 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

AJ Bush Jr. run for 13 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Mike Epstein run for 11 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Wisc 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.99

Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

4th & 4Punt-2 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 13 yds , Jimmy Marchese returns for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ra'Von Bonner run for 4 yds to the Wisc 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

AJ Bush Jr. run for 6 yds to the Wisc 33

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

AJ Bush Jr. run for 10 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dominic Stampley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 25 Dominic Stampley fumbled, forced by Evan Bondoc, recovered by Illin AJ Bush Jr.

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.71

AJ Bush Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 2 yds Reggie Corbin fumbled, forced by Jack Sanborn, recovered by Wisc Chris Orr

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 24

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.22

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Illin 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

AJ Bush Jr. run for 2 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

AJ Bush Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.12

AJ Bush Jr. pass intercepted Evan Bondoc return for no gain to the Illin 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kendric Pryor run for 3 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.20

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Alec Ingold for 29 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 9

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Rafael Gaglianone 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Reggie Corbin run for 80 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 25

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Bobby Roundtree for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Wisc 28

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 37 yds , Carlos Sandy returns for 3 yds to the Illin 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Rivers,M.J. pass complete to Smalling,Ricky for 7 yards to the ILL45 (Williams, C.), PENALTY ILL ineligible downfield on pass (Palczewski,Alex) 5 yards to the ILL33, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 33

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

M.J. Rivers II run for 2 yds to the Illin 35 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.00

M.J. Rivers II pass intercepted Olive Sagapolu return for 4 yds to the Illin 27

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 27 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.76

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 35 Reggie Corbin fumbled, forced by Eric Burrell, recovered by Wisc Rachad Wildgoose

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Illin 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 11 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.28

M.J. Rivers II sacked by Matt Henningsen for a loss of 14 yards to the Illin 11

2nd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.11

M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 11 yds to the Illin 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 33 yds, downed at the Wisc 45

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 40

1st & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.45

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 23 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Garrett Groshek run for 11 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hornibrook, A. pass complete to Ferguson, Jake for 21 yards to the ILL5 (Hansen,Jake), PENALTY WIS holding (Deiter, Michael) 10 yards to the ILL36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

2nd & 20Pass Interception Return-49 ydsPPA -2.17

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Stanley Green return for 49 yds to the Wisc 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Daniel Barker for 5 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 5Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA -0.90

Chase McLaughlin 52 yd FG GOOD

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

M.J. Rivers II run for 6 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Connelly) to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Illin 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Carmoni Green for 3 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.90

M.J. Rivers II sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 41

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -2.24

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Jimmy Marchese return for 3 yds to the Wisc 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.76

M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Trenard Davis for 25 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Ra'Von Bonner run for 18 yds for a TD (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 25

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.48

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 22 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Taiwan Deal run for 39 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ra'Von Bonner run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

M.J. Rivers II run for 1 yd to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.61

M.J. Rivers II sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 21

4th & 14Punt+35 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 35 yds, downed at the WISCONSIN 44 ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Wisc 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.27

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the WISCONSIN 45 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (Michael Deiter) to the Wisc 45

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Illin 47

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Alec Ingold run for 5 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Taiwan Deal run for 8 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Alec Ingold for 19 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Dre Brown run for 11 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.10

M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Carmoni Green for 25 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Wisc 33

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.88

M.J. Rivers II run for 8 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive holding (Rachad Wildgoose) to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Rivers,M.J. pass incomplete to Smalling,Ricky (Williams, C.), PENALTY ILL ineligible downfield on pass (Roberts,Austin) 5 yards to the WIS20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Trenard Davis for 2 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

M.J. Rivers II run for 10 yds to the Wisc 8

4th & 3Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.97

Chase McLaughlin 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 13

2nd & 11Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 3Rush+19 yds

Jonathan Taylor run for 19 yds to the WISCONSIN 44 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Taiwan Deal run for 8 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Illin 26

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Alec Ingold run for 6 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Illin 14

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Taiwan Deal run for 8 yds to the Illin 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Alexander Smith

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Dominic Stampley

4th & 5Punt+15 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 15 yds to the Wisc 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mason Stokke run for 4 yds to the Illin 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Chris James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 46

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 43 yds, downed at the Illin 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

M.J. Rivers II pass complete to Jordan Holmes for 9 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.30

Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dre Brown run for no gain to the Illin 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

M.J. Rivers II pass incomplete to Carmoni Green

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wisc 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris James run for 5 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Chris James run for 8 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
57%
37 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th