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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 12.2

Home Win Probability

California 78%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
0714021
CaliforniaCalifornia
2133633

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-021-724-724-1427-2133-21
CaliforniaColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLCOLCOLCALCALCOLCALCOLCALCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALTD36ydTD3-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-4ydTD829ydPUNT825ydPUNT515ydTD969ydPUNT36ydFG48ydTO925ydPUNT613ydPUNT46ydPUNT39ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-1ydTD960ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydFG634ydTD1079ydTD1172ydPUNT522ydPUNT825ydDOWNS940ydUncategorized2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and California
StatisticColoradoCalifornia
Passing16-3314-26
Pass Yards170116
Rush Yards14895
Total Yards318211
Turnovers50
3rd Down9-191-17
Penalties7-549-75
Possession28:5129:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
Steven Montez
16/33, 170 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Travon McMillian
21 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
defense
Dante Wigley
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
California
passing
Chase Garbers
14/26, 116 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chase Garbers
12 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Vic Wharton III
6 REC, 61 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the Colo 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 31

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown-34 ydsPPA -7.39

Steven Montez pass intercepted for a TD Elijah Hicks return for 34 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Steven Montez sacked by Luc Bequette for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.

3rd & 11Interception Return Touchdown-35 ydsPPA -6.83

Steven Montez pass intercepted for a TD Ashtyn Davis return for 35 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Travon McMillian run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 19

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Travon McMillian run for 8 yds to the Colo 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 47 yds, downed at the Cal 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 6 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 35

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 30

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.54

Chase Garbers sacked by Carson Wells for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 22

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 47 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for no gain to the Colo 29 Ronnie Blackmon fumbled, forced by Traveon Beck, recovered by Cal Quentin Tartabull

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Colo 28

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Colo 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Colo 20

4th & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Chase Garbers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 10 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton III

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Colo 8

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Garbers, Chase rush for 2 yards to the COLO6, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CAL holding (Curhan, Jake) 10 yards to the COLO18, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the Colo 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the Colo 39

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.62

Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Cal 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Steven Montez pass incomplete, broken up by Alex Funches

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 14 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton III, broken up by Evan Worthington

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, downed at the Colo 31

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 1 yd to the Colo 29

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Nixon, K.D., PENALTY CAL offside (Funches, Alex) 5 yards to the COLO34, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.53

Steven Montez pass complete to Kabion Ento for 26 yds to the CALIFORNIA 40 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.19

Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 22 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Cal 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Cal 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kyle Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ian Bunting

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ian Bunting

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 6 yds to the Cal 34

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 50 yds , K.D. Nixon returns for no gain to the Colo 15 K.D. Nixon fumbled, recovered by Cal Daniel Scott

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Colo 11

2nd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Chase Garbers sacked by Israel Antwine and Javier Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 14

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Colo 7

4th & 2Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -1.05

Greg Thomas 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Kyle Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 30

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Steven Montez run for 14 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Steven Montez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 42

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Colo 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Cal 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-34 ydsPPA -2.13

Steven Montez pass intercepted Ashtyn Davis return for 24 yds to the Cal 18 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Alftin) to the Cal 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 34

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 33

3rd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.83

Chase Garbers run for 13 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chase Garbers pass incomplete, broken up by Terrance Lang

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Travon McMillian run for 11 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Colo 27

2nd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Steven Montez sacked by Evan Weaver for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 26

3rd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.25

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 21

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 1 yd to the Cal 41

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Chase Garbers run for 8 yds to the Cal 49

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice Ways

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 47 yds, downed at the Colo 4

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 3

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Cal 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice Ways

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 4 yds to the Cal 19

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 14

4th & 11Punt-3 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Colo 46

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Steven Montez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the Cal 44

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Cal 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Cal 31

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.10

Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 24 yds for a TD Stefanou, James kick attempt good, PENALTY COLO false start (Winfree, Juwann) 5 yards to the CAL8, NO PLAY. (James Stefanou KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Biaggio Ali Walsh run for 5 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Biaggio Ali Walsh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 35

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Garbers sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 57 yds, downed at the Colo 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 11

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 12 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Dante Wigley) to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Biaggio Ali Walsh run for 4 yds to the Colo 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Biaggio Ali Walsh

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.44

Greg Thomas 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 11 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Cal 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.34

Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 24 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Cal 19

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Cal 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Cal 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Cal 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 3 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.56

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 30 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the Colo 40

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Colo 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 4 yds to the Colo 36

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.10

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.29

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 15 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 10 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Patrick Laird run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 9

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.93

Chase Garbers pass complete to Brandon McIlwain for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 18

3rd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Colo 14

4th & 14Penalty+7 yds

COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Drew Lewis) to the Colo 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Steven Montez pass complete to Travon McMillian for 1 yd to the Colo 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.39

Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 18 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Colo 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for no gain to the Colo 49

4th & 7Punt+34 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the CALIFORNIA 12 COLORADO Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Cal 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 20

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Patrick Laird run for 8 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Cal 28

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Patrick Laird run for 9 yds to the Cal 37

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 32

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Garbers, Chase pass complete to Remigio, Nikko for 25 yards to the COLO43 (Fisher, Nick), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Bunting, Ian) 15 yards to the CAL17, NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Cal 22

4th & 16Penalty+15 yds

Coutts, Steven punt 40 yards to the COLO38, downed, PENALTY COLO roughing the kicker (Fontenot, Alex) 15 yards to the CAL37, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 39

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice Ways, broken up by Dante Wigley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for no gain to the Colo 10 Ronnie Blackmon fumbled, recovered by Colo Ronnie Blackmon

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Steven Montez sacked by Alex Funches for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 5

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.

4th & 15Penalty-2 yds

COLORADO Penalty, false start (K.D. Nixon) to the Colo 3

4th & 17Penalty+15 yds

Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Nixon, K.D., PENALTY CAL pass interference (Bynum, Camryn) 15 yards to the COLO18, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann Winfree

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.85

Steven Montez run for 18 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down Laviska Shenault Jr. for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Steven Montez pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann Winfree, broken up by Ashtyn Davis

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 48

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 46

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
30 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays