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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2018Week 12
USCUSC
27
-Final
34
UCLAUCLA
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 8.6

Home Win Probability

UCLA 28%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
10143027
UCLAUCLA
14701334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-1021-2421-2731-2734-27
UCLAUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLFG947ydTD875ydMISS652ydTD676ydTD675ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT526ydTO10ydTD1055ydTD575ydPUNT930ydPUNT38ydEND20ydTO635ydFG1177ydPUNT534ydPUNT1048ydTD797ydTO10ydFG953ydPUNT3-1ydFG521ydDOWNS943ydUncategorized1-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and UCLA
StatisticUSCUCLA
Passing20-3413-22
Pass Yards337166
Rush Yards112313
Total Yards449479
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-138-14
Penalties9-632-15
Possession29:1728:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
JT Daniels
20/34, 337 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Vavae Malepeai
15 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Michael Pittman Jr.
7 REC, 106 YDS
defense
Iman Marshall
2 TFL, 1 PD
UCLA
passing
Wilton Speight
13/22, 166 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Joshua Kelley
40 CAR, 289 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Theo Howard
5 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Krys Barnes
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.27

JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 20 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr., broken up by Quentin Lake

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the USC 44

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Vavae Malepeai run for 5 yds to the USC 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.38

JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 27 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the UCLA 20

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.68

JT Daniels sacked by Lokeni Toailoa for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 28

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. Brown

4th & 14Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.39

Michael Brown 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Theo Howard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 2 yds to the UCLA 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.60

Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 29 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Joshua Kelley run for 7 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.49

Wilton Speight pass complete to Christian Pabico for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 37

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the USC 33

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.51

Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 33 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 6 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.87

JT Daniels pass complete to Josh Falo for 37 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 9 yds to the UCLA 23

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Erik Krommenhoek

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns, broken up by Darnay Holmes

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Michael Brown 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Joshua Kelley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 31

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 31

1st & 15Rush+61 ydsPPA +3.92

Joshua Kelley run for 61 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Martell Irby run for 2 yds to the USC 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Wilton Speight run for 2 yds to the USC 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Wilton Speight run for 4 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Daniels, JT pass incomplete to Pittman, Michae (Gates, Elijah), PENALTY UCLA holding 10 yards to the USC39, 1ST DOWN USC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Michael Pittman Jr. run for 9 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the USC 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 5 yds to the USC 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

JT Daniels run for no gain to the USC 48

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Erik Krommenhoek run for 8 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 44 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 28

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.43

Wilton Speight sacked by Jordan Iosefa for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 19

4th & 16Blocked Punt0 yds

Stefan Flintoft punt blocked by Jake Russell blocked by Jake Russell

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.35

Joshua Kelley run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 49

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the USC 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Stefan Flintoft punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Vaughns at the USC 10

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.21

JT Daniels pass intercepted Nate Meadors return for no gain to the UCLA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 8 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Wilton Speight pass complete to Christian Pabico for 6 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Joshua Kelley run for 7 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the USC 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.46

Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 22 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 5

2nd & 5Penalty+3 yds

USC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (3 Yards) to the USC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Wilton Speight run for 1 yd to the USC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

JT Daniels pass complete to Aca'Cedric Ware for 6 yds to the USC 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

JT Daniels pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 19 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

JT Daniels pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 45 yds for a TD (Michael Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 8 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 46

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Wilton Speight run for 5 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Martell Irby run for 4 yds to the USC 45

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the USC 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Theo Howard

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Stefan Flintoft punt for 37 yds, downed at the USC 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 12

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 16

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the USC 16

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Reid Budrovich punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Theo Howard at the UCLA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Christian Pabico

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Joshua Kelley run for 10 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Martell Irby run for 2 yds to the UCLA 46

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Wilton Speight run for 14 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.81

Wilton Speight pass intercepted, touchback. Isaiah Langley return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 9 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.68

JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 37 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.27

Vavae Malepeai run for 15 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the UCLA 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the UCLA 8

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Vavae Malepeai run for 5 yds to the UCLA 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.08

Michael Brown 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 25

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Joshua Kelley run for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Wilson, Caleb, PENALTY USC pass interference 15 yards to the USC47, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the USC 39

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Stefan Flintoft punt for 28 yds, downed at the USC 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Vavae Malepeai run for 5 yds to the USC 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.85

JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 11 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the USC 24

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.89

JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 16 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns, broken up by Krys Barnes

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.54

JT Daniels pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 11 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.75

Vavae Malepeai run for 21 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

JT Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Daniels, JT pass complete to Vaughns, Tyler for loss of 3 yards to the UCLA33 (Holmes, Darnay), PENALTY USC holding 10 yards to the UCLA40, NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the UCLA 39

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Reid Budrovich punt for 36 yds, downed at the UCLA 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 6

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Wilton Speight pass complete to Theo Howard for 11 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 25

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Wilton Speight pass complete to Demetric Felton for 15 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Joshua Kelley run for 55 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

JT Daniels pass intercepted Darnay Holmes return for no gain to the UCLA 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Wilton Speight run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Wilton Speight pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 15 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Wilton Speight pass complete to Christian Pabico for 11 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the USC 24

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the USC 19

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Kelley, Joshua, PENALTY USC holding 10 yards to the USC9, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the USC 8

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the USC 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.15

JJ Molson 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.18

JT Daniels pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 11

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reid Budrovich punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 48

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Joshua Kelley run for 15 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the USC 37

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the USC 32

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the USC 31

4th & 4Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.49

JJ Molson 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

JT Daniels pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 24 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

JT Daniels pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 6 yds to the UCLA 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 3 yds to the UCLA 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

JT Daniels run for no gain to the UCLA 39

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.84

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr., broken up by Adarius Pickett

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Vavae Malepeai

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

JT Daniels pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 7 yds to the UCLA 29

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.81

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. Brown, broken up by Krys Barnes

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.34

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 25

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play

UCLA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
41%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
78%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play