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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2018Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 9.1

Home Win Probability

California 71%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
7217742
CaliforniaCalifornia
377724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-710-1410-2117-3524-3524-42
CaliforniaOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALCALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALCALOREFG1572ydTD874ydTO10ydPUNT924ydTD1190ydTD875ydPUNT38ydTD481ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT436ydTD311ydEND15ydTD375ydTD665ydTO416ydTO411ydMISS1057ydDOWNS1173ydPUNT1149ydTD797ydPUNT32ydTD27ydTO624ydUncategorized1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and California
StatisticOregonCalifornia
Passing16-2216-31
Pass Yards225186
Rush Yards260241
Total Yards485427
Turnovers15
3rd Down8-137-13
Penalties7-723-25
Possession29:1830:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Justin Herbert
16/22, 225 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Travis Dye
20 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dillon Mitchell
7 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Troy Dye
1.5 TFL
California
passing
Brandon McIlwain
11/21, 128 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Brandon McIlwain
15 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Vic Wharton III
6 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 9 yds to the Cal 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Chase Garbers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 29 Chase Garbers fumbled, recovered by Cal Chase Garbers

2nd & 13Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.81

Chase Garbers run for 19 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Patrick Laird pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 14 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Oregn 31

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.58

Brandon McIlwain run for 6 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Brandon McIlwain run for 9 yds to the Oregn 15

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Oregn 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik McMorris run for 2 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brandon McIlwain run for 5 yds to the Oregn 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Ian Bunting

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.86

Greg Thomas 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 9 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Herbert run for 5 yds to the Oregn 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 12 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 9 yds to the Cal 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.37

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 30 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chase Garbers pass intercepted Ugochukwu Amadi return for no gain to the Oregn 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Kano Dillon

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.39

Justin Herbert run for 8 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 49

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Cal 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.48

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 7 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Justin Herbert pass complete to Ryan Bay for no gain to the Cal 38

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Justin Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 39

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Herbert pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Haki Woods Jr.) to the Cal 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Cal 29

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 24

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Brandon McIlwain run for 8 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.32

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 24 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Brandon McIlwain run for 7 yds to the Oregn 37 Brandon McIlwain fumbled, recovered by Cal Brandon McIlwain

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.68

Brandon McIlwain run for 28 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Justin Herbert run for 9 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 39

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Kunaszyk) to the Oregn 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Justin Herbert run for 2 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Cal 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Cal 45

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.23

Travis Dye run for 45 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 5 yds to the Cal 40

4th & 2Punt+4 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 45 yds , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for 4 yds to the Oregn 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.75

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 33 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Cal 43

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 36 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Garbers sacked by Drayton Carlberg for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 17

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 73 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.33

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 33 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Kano Dillon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 3 yds to the Oregn 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell

4th & 7Punt+35 yds

Tom Snee punt for 39 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 35 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Brandon McIlwain run for 11 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Brandon McIlwain run for 11 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+61 yds

Brandon McIlwain sacked by Drayton Carlberg for a loss of 11 yards Brandon McIlwain fumbled, forced by Drayton Carlberg, recovered by Oregn La'Mar Winston Jr. , return for 0 yards , return for 61 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 5 yds to the Cal 47

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+74 ydsPPA +5.14

CJ Verdell run for 74 yds to the Cal 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the Cal 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 37

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Chase Garbers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 36

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.58

Chase Garbers run for 10 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Patrick Laird run for 19 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.46

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 25 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Patrick Laird run for 10 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Travis Dye run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 11 yds to the Oregn 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.76

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 41 Travis Dye fumbled, forced by Jordan Kunaszyk, recovered by Cal Rusty Becker

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Oregn 35

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Oregn 30

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.63

Chase Garbers pass intercepted, touchback. Jevon Holland return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Verdell, CJ rush for 2 yards to the OREGON35, PENALTY OREGON holding (Bay, Ryan) 10 yards to the OREGON23, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 6 yds to the Oregn 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.86

Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 19 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Cal 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden Schooler

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Drayden) to the Cal 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Cal 28

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Cal 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Adam Stack 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Cal 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 4 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.20

Brandon McIlwain run for 27 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 9 yds to the Oregn 30

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 17 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty+7 yds

McIlwain, Brandon pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON pass interference 7 yards to the OREGON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Patrick Laird run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 4 yds to the Oregn 1

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.21

Brandon McIlwain run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 4

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 7

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 7 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 19

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Travis Dye run for 16 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 6 yds to the Oregn 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the Oregn 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 3 yds to the Oregn 49

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Justin Herbert run for 8 yds to the Cal 43

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 45 yds, downed at the Cal 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brandon McIlwain run for 7 yds to the Cal 10

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

McIlwain, Brandon pass incomplete to Noa, Kanawai, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Amadi, Ugochukwu) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.26

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Ian Bunting for 45 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Maurice Ways for 13 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Maurice Ways

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Brandon McIlwain run for 9 yds to the Oregn 8

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.59

Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 46

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Cal 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 7 yds to the Cal 38

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 7 yds to the Cal 25

2nd & 3Interception Return Touchdown-32 ydsPPA -8.01

Brandon McIlwain pass intercepted for a TD Ugochukwu Amadi return for 32 yds for a TD (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Patrick Laird for 1 yd to the Oregn 41

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Brandon McIlwain run for 6 yds to the Oregn 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Brandon McIlwain run for 2 yds to the Oregn 33

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.65

Patrick Laird run for 12 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 3 yds to the Oregn 18

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -4.25

Brandon McIlwain pass intercepted Jevon Holland return for 6 yds to the Oregn 11

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.51

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 7

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
61%
33 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play