Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 23, 2018Week 4
StanfordStanford
38
-Final
31
OregonOregon
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Oregon 33%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
StanfordStanford
071410738
OregonOregon
71707031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-721-724-724-1424-2131-2131-2831-31
OregonStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAORESTAORESTAORESTAORESTAORESTAOREORESTAORESTAORESTAORESTASTAOREPUNT615ydTD682ydPUNT630ydTD1488ydTD764ydTD475ydPUNT38ydFG1159ydEND69ydPUNT1040ydPUNT39ydTD929ydPUNT37ydTD365ydPUNT32ydDOWNS635ydTD1170ydTD379ydTO635ydEND746ydTD225ydUncategorized615yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Oregon
StatisticStanfordOregon
Passing19-2626-33
Pass Yards327346
Rush Yards71178
Total Yards398524
Turnovers03
3rd Down5-109-16
Penalties5-234-32
Possession23:2736:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
K.J. Costello
19/26, 327 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Bryce Love
19 CAR, 89 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kaden Smith
6 REC, 95 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Justin Herbert
26/33, 346 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
CJ Verdell
20 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dillon Mitchell
14 REC, 239 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 27

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.74

Bryce Love run for 11 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 3 yds to the Stanf 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Love, Bryce rush for 3 yards to the STANFORD48, PENALTY STANFORD holding (Burkett, Jesse) 10 yards to the STANFORD35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson, broken up by Troy Dye

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ugochukwu Amadi at the Oregn 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 8 yds to the Oregn 26

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Justin Herbert run for 14 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 1 yd to the Oregn 41

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.44

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 53 yds to the Stanf 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Tony Brooks-James run for 7 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.23

K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 8 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 44

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.29

K.J. Costello sacked by Ugochukwu Amadi and Kaulana Apelu for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ugochukwu Amadi at the Oregn 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tony Brooks-James run for 4 yds to the Oregn 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Herbert run for 4 yds to the Oregn 20

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 6 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.12

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 18 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

CJ Verdell run for 10 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.37

Justin Herbert sacked by Bobby Okereke for a loss of 13 yards to the Oregn 45

2nd & 23Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 9 yds to the Stanf 46

3rd & 14Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.47

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 28 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Herbert run for 7 yds to the Stanf 11

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Justin Herbert run for 3 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to CJ Verdell

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 7 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.35

K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 13 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for no gain to the Stanf 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.61

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 40 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 13

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.89

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 13 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 13 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 7 yds to the Oregn 47

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

Verdell, CJ rush for 1 yard to the OREGON48, PENALTY STANFORD offside (Fox, Jordan) 5 yards to the STANFORD48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

CJ Verdell run for 48 yds for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 22

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 24

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

K.J. Costello pass incomplete, broken up by Ugochukwu Amadi

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tony Brooks-James run for 8 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Justin Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 27

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Jake Hanson) to the Oregn 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.26

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 17 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 3 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.47

Justin Herbert run for 28 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tony Brooks-James run for 6 yds to the Stanf 24

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.06

CJ Verdell run for 11 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Justin Herbert run for no gain to the Stanf 13

3rd & 11Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.91

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 21

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 14

4th & 18Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +1.17

Adam Stack 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 5 yds to the Stanf 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.11

K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 8 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden Smith, broken up by Jordon Scott

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Bryce Love run for 9 yds to the Oregn 42

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.91

Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-18 ydsPPA -3.87

K.J. Costello sacked by Justin Hollins for a loss of 18 yards to the Stanf 45 K.J. Costello fumbled, forced by Justin Hollins, recovered by Stanf Jesse Burkett , return for 0 yards

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tony Brooks-James run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 21 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Stanf 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.17

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 14 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Stanf 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Stanf 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Stanf 22

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

CJ Verdell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 26

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.49

Justin Herbert sacked by Jordan Fox for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 35

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 6

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Walker Little) to the Stanf 3

1st & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Stanf 11

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 15

4th & 1Punt+10 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 44 yds , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for 10 yds to the Stanf 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Stanf 32

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Stanf 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 13 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Jaylon Redd run for 16 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.86

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 10 Cyrus Habibi-Likio fumbled, recovered by Oregn Justin Herbert

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Stanf 4

3rd & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+80 yds

TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Stanf Joey Alfieri , return for 80 yds, (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 4 yds to the Oregn 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by Paulson Adebo

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 11 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.54

K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 32 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Bryce Love run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 6 yds to the Oregn 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 32

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Herbert sacked by Jordan Fox and Dylan Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.26

K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 22 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Oregn 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Bryce Love

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.97

Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Oregn 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 21 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Stanf 47

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Dye, Travis rush for 2 yards to the STANFORD37, PENALTY OREGON holding (Hanson, Jake) 10 yards to the STANFORD49, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Stanf 47

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 13 yds to the Stanf 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.17

Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 8 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Travis Dye run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 29

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 9 yds to the Stanf 20

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Stanf 17

4th & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.28

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 16 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.52

K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 49 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.30

K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 20 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (A.T. Hall) to the Oregn 15

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 15 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Johnny Johnson III) to the Oregn 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.55

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 23 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 3 yds to the Oregn 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 43

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.87

Justin Herbert run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Stanf 43

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.75

CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40 CJ Verdell fumbled, forced by Noah Williams, recovered by Stanf Sean Barton

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Thomas Graham Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.23

K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 16 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 16 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 9 yds to the Oregn 19

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

OREGON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -1.45

Jet Toner 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Colby Parkinson 23 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell, broken up by Paulson Adebo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 15 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob Breeland

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell, broken up by Paulson Adebo

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.49

Justin Herbert pass intercepted, touchback. Alameen Murphy return for no gain

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
47%
15 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play