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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 32.9

Home Win Probability

Missouri 97%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
00000
MissouriMissouri
72110038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-028-035-038-0
MissouriArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKARKMISARKMISARKMISARKARKARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKTD1175ydPUNT39ydPUNT39ydPUNT4-6ydPUNT38ydTO622ydTD635ydTD2-25ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1036ydDOWNS858ydPUNT34ydTD643ydEND210ydPUNT37ydDOWNS649ydTD996ydDOWNS539ydFG1037ydPUNT30ydPUNT57ydPUNT616ydPUNT36ydPUNT415ydPUNT38ydEND420yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Missouri
StatisticArkansasMissouri
Passing10-2517-27
Pass Yards135227
Rush Yards52181
Total Yards187408
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-168-17
Penalties4-185-49
Possession31:1228:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
Connor Noland
5/17, 98 YDS
rushing
Devwah Whaley
13 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Devwah Whaley
2 REC, 61 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Drew Lock
16/25, 221 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Larry Rountree III
29 CAR, 119 YDS
receiving
Emanuel Hall
6 REC, 153 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Cale Garrett
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 6 yds to the Misso 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Ark 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Ark 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 4 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Larry Rountree III run for 18 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Drew Lock run for 9 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ty Storey pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 3 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 29

4th & 1Punt+41 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 41 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 28

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 36

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 38

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ark 18

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

De'Vion Warren run for 10 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Storey pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon Lee

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.22

Ty Storey sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 9 yards to the Ark 17

4th & 21Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 12

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Drew Lock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the Ark 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Ark 14

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ty Storey pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Ty Storey pass incomplete, PENALTY MU offside (Williams, Tre) 5 yards to the AR19, NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 11 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 42 yards to the MU28, PENALTY AR ineligible downfield on pass (Audry Horn) 5 yards to the AR25, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 9 yds to the Ark 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 1 yd to the Ark 35

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.50

Ty Storey pass intercepted Terez Hall return for no gain to the Ark 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Ark 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.79

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 19 yds to the Ark 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 5

2nd & 5Penalty+3 yds

Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Parker, Daniel, PENALTY AR pass interference (Michael Taylor) 3 yards to the AR2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Drew Lock run for 3 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24

2nd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ty Storey sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 10 yards Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by Misso Akial Byers , return for 0 yards for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Ark 34

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.11

Ty Storey run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 28 Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by Ark Ty Storey

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ty Storey sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 40 yds, downed at the Misso 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 5 yds to the Misso 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall Blanton

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 40 yds , Deon Stewart returns for 3 yds to the Ark 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Connor Noland run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 21 Connor Noland fumbled, recovered by Ark Connor Noland

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Connor Noland pass incomplete to C. O'Grady, dropped pass, PENALTY MU pass interference (Holmes, Christi) 15 yards to the AR36, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 36

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.28

Connor Noland pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 18 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Connor Noland pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 15 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Noland pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the Misso 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Chase Hayden

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'Grady, broken up by Cale Garrett

4th & 5Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.83

Connor Noland sacked by Terez Hall for a loss of 14 yards to the Misso 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 6 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.24

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 38 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kam Scott

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 8

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Drew Lock run for 5 yds to the Ark 3

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.13

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Ark 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 3

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Jordan Jones

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 7

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 36 yds, downed at the Ark 43

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +0.83

Tyler Badie run for 32 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Lock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 9 yds to the Ark 2

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.59

Drew Lock run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 6 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 27

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Connor Noland run for 8 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Deon Stewart, broken up by DeMarkus Acy

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 31 yds , Kendall Blanton returns for no gain to the Ark 47 Kendall Blanton fumbled, recovered by Ark De'Jon Harris

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Connor Noland pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 17 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.50

Devwah Whaley run for 26 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Bumper Pool

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Connor Noland run for 6 yds to the Misso 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'Grady

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Connor Noland pass incomplete, broken up by Cam Hilton ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 8

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 13

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Drew Lock pass complete to Daniel Parker for 9 yds to the Misso 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall Blanton

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 33

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.76

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 67 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.30

Connor Noland pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 43 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Michael Woods

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Misso 35

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Randy Ramsey, PENALTY MU offside (Elliott, Jordan) 5 yards to the MU30, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Chase Hayden run for no gain to the Misso 30

4th & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.48

Connor Noland sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.09

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 18 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Ark 35

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Ark 31

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Larry Rountree III run for 15 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Ark 16

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Ark 9

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -2.76

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall Blanton MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kendall Blanton) to the Ark 24

4th & 18Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +1.46

Tucker McCann 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Connor Noland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24 Connor Noland fumbled, recovered by Ark Connor Noland

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Connor Noland run for 1 yd to the Ark 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Noland pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 8 yds to the Ark 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 4 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Ark 42

2nd & 8Penalty-9 yds

Rountree, Larry rush for 1 yard to the AR41, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MU holding (Colon-Castillo,) 9 yards to the MU49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Larry Rountree III, broken up by Dorian Gerald

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Ark 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Deon Stewart at the Ark 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 15

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.36

Connor Noland run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 11

3rd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Connor Noland run for 15 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Ark 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Randy Ramsey

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Noland pass incomplete to Chase Hayden, broken up by Christian Holmes

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 53 yds, downed at the Misso 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Simi Bakare run for no gain to the Misso 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Taylor Powell pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Misso 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Barrett Banister

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Deon Stewart at the Ark 33

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Maleek Williams run for 14 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Maleek Williams run for 6 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

J.S. Jones run for no gain to the Misso 47

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Connor Noland pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by Christian Holmes

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jalen Knox at the Misso 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the Misso 17

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dawson Downing run for 5 yds to the Misso 22

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ark 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Maleek Williams run for 6 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Maleek Williams run for 1 yd to the Ark 45

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

De'Vion Warren run for no gain to the Ark 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.15

De'Vion Warren pass complete to Matthew Phillips for 13 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play