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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2018Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 56%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
0106723
KentuckyKentucky
1777334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-017-017-724-731-1031-1631-2334-23
KentuckyMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTMTKENMTKENMTKENMTKENMTKENKENMTKENMTKENMTKENMTKENTD426ydTO425ydTD850ydPUNT3-5ydFG1034ydTD1175ydTD575ydPUNT836ydPUNT36ydFG519ydEND39ydTD983ydTD1175ydPUNT3-3ydTD1165ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS42ydFG1047ydDOWNS1154ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Kentucky
StatisticMiddle TennesseeKentucky
Passing30-3310-14
Pass Yards293121
Rush Yards99203
Total Yards392324
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-124-10
Penalties6-576-51
Possession33:2226:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Brent Stockstill
30/33, 293 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chaton Mobley
19 CAR, 98 YDS
receiving
Ty Lee
7 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
10/14, 121 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Benny Snell Jr.
25 CAR, 115 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
C.J. Conrad
4 REC, 51 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Chaton Mobley run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the MTnSt 41

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Chaton Mobley run for 10 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-66 ydsPPA -10.24

Brent Stockstill pass intercepted for a TD Mike Edwards return for 66 yds for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Chaton Mobley run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 7 yds to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -2.90

Zack Dobson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line Zack Dobson fumbled, forced by Mike Edwards, recovered by Kent Davonte Robinson , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 8 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Khalil Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 31

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.61

Benny Snell Jr. run for 17 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Brent Stockstill sacked by Phil Hoskins for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 19 Brent Stockstill fumbled, , return for 0 yards

3rd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 34 yds, downed at the Kent 46

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 8 yds Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Rakavian Poydras, recovered by Kent Lynn Bowden Jr.

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.26

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Benny Snell Jr. run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 11

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 10

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.95

Terry Wilson sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 10 yards to the MTnSt 20

4th & 16Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.84

Miles Butler 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

[SHOT], MOBLEY, Chaton rush for 1 yard to the MT26, fumble forced by D. Robinson, fumble by MOBLEY, Chaton recovered by MT MOBLEY, Chaton at MT22, PENALTY MT clipping (OWENS, Angelo) 12 yards to the MT13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 4 yds to the MTnSt 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.49

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Zack Dobson for 34 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Terelle West run for 4 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Chaton Mobley run for 11 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the Kent 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.33

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 16 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Terelle West run for no gain to the Kent 15

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Chaton Mobley run for 8 yds to the Kent 7

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the Kent 6

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.87

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 6 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 3Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.60

Terry Wilson run for 36 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.93

Asim Rose run for 31 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 11 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.92

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 26 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Penalty+5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY UK offside defense (Quinton Bohanna) 5 yards to the UK45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the Kent 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 4 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the Kent 35

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.55

Brent Stockstill sacked by Quinton Bohanna for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 43

3rd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Terelle West run for 4 yds to the Kent 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 13

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 14 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Chaton Mobley

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete, PENALTY MT holding (LUCKETT, Amir) 10 yards to the UK31, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 11 yds to the Kent 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.52

Crews Holt 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 34

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the Kent 40

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.35

Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 29 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 8 yds to the KENTUCKY 43 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Rigg) to the Kent 47

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.30

Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 14 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 15 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 18

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Chaton Mobley run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Chaton Mobley run for 9 yds to the Kent 47

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Brent Stockstill sacked by Adrian Middleton for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 12 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Terelle West run for 8 yds to the Kent 20

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.28

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 6 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 4 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 10 yds for a TD (Crews Holt PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 22 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by Kent Terry Wilson

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

Max Duffy punt for 47 yds , Ty Lee returns for 4 yds to the MTnSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Zack Dobson for 12 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 20 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to LEE, Ty for 1 yard to the UK47 (Lonnie Johnson), PENALTY MT holding (CASEY, Gatlin) 10 yards to the MT42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavares Thomas, broken up by T.J. Carter

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 9 yds to the Kent 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 10 yds to the Kent 39

4th & 1Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.29

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 24 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the Kent 7

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Kash Daniel) to the Kent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 39

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Asim Rose run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 36

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 41

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Kent 41

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 11 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the Kent 32

4th & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.80

Brent Stockstill sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 7 yds to the Kent 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 17 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.53

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 18

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

[SHOT], Benny Snell rush for 1 yard to the MT17 (JONES, Jahmal), PENALTY MT offside defense (COLLINS, R.) 5 yards to the MT13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.83

Miles Butler 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

[SHOT], STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to CASEY, Gatlin, PENALTY UK holding (Chris Westry) 10 yards to the MT35, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Isiah Upton for 9 yds to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 1 yd to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.73

Brent Stockstill sacked by Chris Westry for a loss of 11 yards to the MTnSt 34

2nd & 21Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Terelle West run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 43

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

[SHOT], STOCKSTILL, B. sacked for loss of 5 yards to the MT43 (Phil Hoskins), PENALTY UK personal foul (Phil Hoskins) 15 yards to the UK37, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 8 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA -0.05

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 19 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for no gain to the Kent 10

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Brent Stockstill sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 10

4th & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.49

Brent Stockstill sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 11 yards to the Kent 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Team run for no gain to the Kent 21

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
23 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play