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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2018Week 10

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 13.6

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 82%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
30003
Mississippi StateMississippi State
21107745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-324-331-338-345-3
Mississippi StateLouisiana Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTLTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSTD470ydPUNT35ydTD859ydFG935ydTD675ydPUNT633ydFG1558ydPUNT625ydTD1285ydEND29ydPUNT940ydPUNT526ydPUNT3-4ydTD237ydPUNT27ydPUNT415ydPUNT520ydTD281ydDOWNS1558ydPUNT429ydTO415ydEND47yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana Tech and Mississippi State
StatisticLouisiana TechMississippi State
Passing14-3117-29
Pass Yards98243
Rush Yards140289
Total Yards238532
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-145-10
Penalties5-353-25
Possession29:4930:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana Tech
passing
J'Mar Smith
14/30, 98 YDS
rushing
Kam McKnight
13 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Kam McKnight
2 REC, 32 YDS
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
17/28, 243 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Nick Fitzgerald
18 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Deddrick Thomas
3 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.79

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 37 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for 4 yds to the LaTch 29

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Nick Fitzgerald sacked for loss of 5 yards to the LATECH34 (BRADFORD, Jordan), PENALTY LATECH holding (SNEED, L'Jarius) 10 yards to the LATECH19, 1ST DOWN MS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the LaTch 11

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 11 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+14 yds

Davan Dyer punt for 43 yds , Deddrick Thomas returns for 14 yds to the MisSt 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the MisSt 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell (LEWIS, Darryl), PENALTY LATECH offside defense (FERGUSON, Jaylon) 5 yards to the MS46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.43

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 36 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Kam McKnight run for 11 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kam McKnight run for 4 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Kam McKnight run for 7 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MCKNIGHT, Kameron rush for 1 yard to the MS41 (Erroll Thompson;Kobe Jones), PENALTY MS substitution infraction 5 yards to the MS37, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 2 yds to the MisSt 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for no gain to the MisSt 29

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +0.79

Bailey Hale 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for 9 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 10 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.24

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 24 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the LaTch 23

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.69

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for 23 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the LaTch 24

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kam McKnight run for 3 yds to the LaTch 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.09

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 25 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kam McKnight run for 2 yds to the MisSt 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Davan Dyer punt for 34 yds, downed at the MisSt 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry, broken up by L'Jarius Sneed

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the MisSt 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Austin Williams for 13 yds to the MisSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Gibson run for 2 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 13 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Justin Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 9 yds to the LaTch 44

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Austin Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for 7 yds to the LaTch 31

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Justin Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Justin Johnson

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.26

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Jordan Baldwin for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 30

4th & 17Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.90

Jace Christmann 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Jaqwis Dancy run for 12 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Kam McKnight run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Kam McKnight run for 4 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Jamal Peters

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Davan Dyer punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Deddrick Thomas at the MisSt 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 15 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaylon Ferguson) to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 26

2nd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Nick Gibson for no gain to the MisSt 26

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.94

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 19 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas, broken up by Amik Robertson

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.79

Nick Fitzgerald run for 33 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.19

Dontavian Lee run for 1 yd to the LaTch 21 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 31

2nd & 19Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.75

Nick Fitzgerald run for 21 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 10 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kam McKnight run for 3 yds to the LaTch 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 6 yds to the LaTch 25

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the LaTch 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 13 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kam McKnight run for 4 yds to the LaTch 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.62

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 13 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the MisSt 47

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Justin Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy

4th & 7Punt+34 yds

Davan Dyer punt for 39 yds, downed at the MisSt 9 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 14

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Nick Fitzgerald run for 14 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 15 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 36

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the MisSt 37

3rd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Nick Fitzgerald rush for no gain to the MS37 (KITCHEN, Ephraim;SCOTT, Collin), PENALTY MS holding (Elgton Jenkins) 10 yards to the MS27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.20

Aeris Williams run for 13 yds to the MisSt 40

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to George Scott, broken up by Chris Rayford

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kam McKnight run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.25

J'Mar Smith sacked by Montez Sweat for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 16

4th & 14Punt+27 yds

Davan Dyer punt for 48 yds , Deddrick Thomas returns for 27 yds to the LaTch 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the LaTch 29

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.46

Aeris Williams run for 29 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to MCKNIGHT, Kameron for 17 yards to the LATECH42, out-of-bounds (Leo Lewis), PENALTY LATECH illegal touching (MCKNIGHT, Kameron) 0 yards to the LATECH25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 7 yds to the LaTch 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Mark McLaurin

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Davan Dyer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Deddrick Thomas at the MisSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Devonta Jason for 17 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Devonta Jason

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 45

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 20

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Justin Henderson run for 6 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Davan Dyer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Deddrick Thomas at the MisSt 19

1st & 10Rush+62 ydsPPA +3.83

Nick Gibson run for 62 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Keytaon Thompson run for 19 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kam McKnight run for 5 yds to the LaTch 40

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Kam McKnight run for 6 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 3 yds to the LaTch 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jake Norris for 5 yds to the MisSt 46

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.26

Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the MisSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 9 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Justin Henderson run for 11 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jake Norris

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 10 yds to the MisSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin Hebert

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.28

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for no gain to the MisSt 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.02

Keytaon Thompson run for 21 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Keytaon Thompson run for 2 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Dontavian Lee run for 6 yds to the MisSt 36

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Dear

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaTch 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

DeAndre Marcus run for 6 yds to the LaTch 28

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

DeAndre Marcus run for 6 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DeAndre Marcus run for 3 yds to the LaTch 37

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-29 ydsPPA -1.27

Aaron Allen pass intercepted Stephen Adegoke return for 29 yds to the LaTch 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Robert Rivers run for 5 yds to the LaTch 33

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Robert Rivers run for 5 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the LaTch 26

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 31

Situational Analysis

Louisiana Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
43%
14 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
32 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play