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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2018Week 10
AlabamaAlabama
29
-Final
0
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 10.1

Home Win Probability

LSU 20%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
6106729
LSULSU
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-60-90-160-220-29
LSUAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALAPUNT1141ydPUNT510ydTD578ydPUNT33ydPUNT625ydPUNT640ydFG1575ydPUNT918ydTO424ydTO31ydTD254ydPUNT35ydEND523ydPUNT34ydPUNT742ydPUNT511ydTD772ydPUNT32ydPUNT532ydMISS1264ydTD880ydTO963ydUncategorized525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and LSU
StatisticAlabamaLSU
Passing25-4218-35
Pass Yards295184
Rush Yards28112
Total Yards576196
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-145-16
Penalties6-603-15
Possession35:1824:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
25/42, 295 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Damien Harris
19 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerry Jeudy
8 REC, 103 YDS
defense
LSU
passing
Joe Burrow
18/35, 184 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
receiving
Justin Jefferson
6 REC, 81 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 14 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 9 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.04

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 5 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 12 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III, broken up by Kristian Fulton

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the LSU 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 10 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.00

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 22

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Josh Jacobs, broken up by Rashard Lawrence

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jonah Williams) to the LSU 27

3rd & 23Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jerry Jeudy) to the LSU 32

3rd & 28Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Damien Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 34

4th & 30Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 34 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 7 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Joe Burrow pass complete to Nick Brossette for 6 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin Jefferson, broken up by Anfernee Jennings

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Nick Brossette run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 30

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin Jefferson, broken up by Saivion Smith

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 17 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 14 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.01

Najee Harris run for 28 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 4 yds to the LSU 15

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 15 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Joe Burrow sacked by Quinnen Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 19

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 8 yds to the LSU 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Nick Brossette

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Damien Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.29

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 28 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 18

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 17

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen Sullivan, broken up by Saivion Smith

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Burrow, Joe pass incomplete to Anderson, Dee, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Smith, Saivion) 15 yards to the LSU32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin Jefferson, broken up by Patrick Surtain II

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 8 yds to the Alab 42

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nick Brossette run for no gain to the Alab 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Tua Tagovailoa run for 10 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.71

Damien Harris run for 18 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 4 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 3 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 5 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the LSU 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Damien Harris, broken up by Michael Divinity Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 6 yds to the LSU 16

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.64

Josh Jacobs run for 4 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 3 yds to the LSU 9

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Jacobs run for 4 yds to the LSU 5

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.04

Joseph Bulovas 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joe Burrow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 8 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 8 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Nick Brossette run for 1 yd to the Alab 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Joe Burrow run for 1 yd to the Alab 42

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Saahdiq Charles) to the Alab 47

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Derrick Dillon

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Foster Moreau

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 13 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.24

Tua Tagovailoa pass intercepted Todd Harris Jr. return for no gain to the LSU 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 4 yds to the LSU 8

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.39

Joe Burrow sacked by Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 1

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 4 yds to the LSU 5

4th & 9Punt-3 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 46 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 46 Jaylen Waddle fumbled, recovered by Alab

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 29 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Breiden Fehoko) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Alab 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 5 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr Chase

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Joe Burrow pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 19

3rd & 11Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Damien Harris run for 17 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Josh Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 43

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.90

Joe Burrow sacked by Quinnen Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 8 yds to the LSU 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 53 yds, downed at the Alab 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.48

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 30 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Joe Burrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 10

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.17

Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 16 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Jonathan Giles, broken up by Shyheim Carter

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.52

Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 22

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Joe Burrow run for no gain to the LSU 22

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 28

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.61

Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Ed Alexander for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 23

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.41

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 16 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 15 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the LSU 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.20

Tua Tagovailoa run for 44 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Nick Brossette run for 1 yd to the Alab 39

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Joe Burrow run for 1 yd to the Alab 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Foster Moreau

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 17

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.59

Damien Harris run for 21 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 5 yds to the Alab 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 1 yd to the LSU 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.55

Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 23 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Burrow, Joe pass sacked for loss of 7 yards to the LSU38 (Buggs, Isaiah), PENALTY ALABAMA face mask (Davis, Raekwon) 15 yards to the ALABAMA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the Alab 40

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Joe Burrow run for 8 yds to the Alab 32

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 6 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Joe Burrow sacked by Quinnen Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 34

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Joe Burrow run for 11 yds to the Alab 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Joe Burrow pass complete to Dee Anderson for 9 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Brossette run for no gain to the Alab 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Joe Burrow pass complete to Nick Brossette for 1 yd to the Alab 13

3rd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Joe Burrow sacked by Christian Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 15

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Cole Tracy 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.46

Najee Harris run for 29 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the LSU 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.70

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 24 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the LSU 12

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Damien Harris run for no gain to the LSU 12

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the LSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the LSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Damien Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 30 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen Sullivan

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Joe Burrow pass complete to Nick Brossette for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.97

Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 12 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen Sullivan

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Burrow, Joe pass incomplete to Sullivan, Stephen, PENALTY ALABAMA offside 5 yards to the ALABAMA30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.69

Joe Burrow pass complete to Dee Anderson for 23 yds to the Alab 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen Sullivan

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Chasen Hines) to the Alab 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.77

Joe Burrow pass intercepted, touchback. Mack Wilson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 19

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 16 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 45

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
38 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
23%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
4th