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← Back to GamesOct 27, 2018Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 71%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
0103013
Mississippi StateMississippi State
7071428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-1021-1328-13
Mississippi StateTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSPUNT3-1ydTD1279ydMISS1043ydPUNT426ydPUNT742ydPUNT53ydFG941ydDOWNS739ydTD464ydEND12ydTD775ydPUNT935ydPUNT39ydFG55ydTD675ydPUNT616ydPUNT54ydTO951ydTD280ydDOWNS943ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Mississippi State
StatisticTexas A&MMississippi State
Passing23-4614-22
Pass Yards232241
Rush Yards61143
Total Yards293384
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-147-12
Penalties7-4010-96
Possession32:5227:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Kellen Mond
23/46, 232 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jashaun Corbin
3 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Quartney Davis
6 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
14/22, 241 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nick Fitzgerald
16 CAR, 88 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Stephen Guidry
3 REC, 130 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 4 yds to the TexAM 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+54 yds

Braden Mann punt for 54 yds , Deddrick Thomas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for no gain to the MisSt 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 4 yds to the MisSt 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.87

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 22 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the TexAM 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.76

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 46

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.60

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 10 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 36

1st & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.79

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Justin Madubuike and Antonio Howard for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 41

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the TexAM 37

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.60

Nick Fitzgerald run for 14 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 25

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.94

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 25 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the TexAM 33

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 6 yds to the TexAM 44

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.62

Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 13 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 3 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Kellen Mond run for 8 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 2 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon Williams

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Seth Small 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Aeris Williams run for 17 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 9 yds to the TexAM 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the TexAM 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 41 yds, downed at the TexAM 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 3

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 8

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Trayveon Williams run for 12 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 21 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Keytaon Thompson run for 1 yd to the MisSt 27

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.61

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 23

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Madubuike) to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Devonta Jason

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Landis Durham and Connor Blumrick for a loss of 9 yards to the MisSt 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 27 yds, downed at the TexAM 44

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the TexAM 49

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the MisSt 47

2nd & 1Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.51

Jashaun Corbin run for 28 yds to the MisSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the MisSt 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 2 yds to the MisSt 14

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 5 yds to the MisSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the MisSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 3

3rd & 3Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.87

Kellen Mond sacked by Jaquarius Landrews for a loss of 13 yards to the MisSt 16 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (0 Yards) to the MisSt 16

4th & 16Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA +0.47

Seth Small 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Nick Gibson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Nick Gibson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 21 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the TexAM 36

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 36

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the TexAM 36

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace Sternberger

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace Sternberger

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Maurice Smitherman) to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.60

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 34 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the MisSt 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 6 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 12 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Aeris Williams run for 12 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 38

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +4.99

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 38 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 7 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 36

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the TexAM 42

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Leo Lewis) to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.28

Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 18 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 5 yds to the MisSt 31

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.54

Kellen Mond sacked by Jaquarius Landrews for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 28 yds, downed at the MisSt 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the MisSt 11

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 9 yds to the MisSt 20

4th & 1Punt+33 yds

Tucker Day punt for 41 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 33 yds to the MisSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 11 yds to the MisSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 18

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Carson Green) to the MisSt 23

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +1.13

Seth Small 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.26

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 12 yards to the MisSt 13

2nd & 22Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the MisSt 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+84 ydsPPA +6.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 84 yds to the TexAM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the TexAM 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 3 yds to the TexAM 25

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.49

Kellen Mond run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 7 yds to the TexAM 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace Sternberger

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Deddrick Thomas at the MisSt 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nick Gibson run for 7 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Nick Gibson run for 4 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 3 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darryl Williams) to the MisSt 24

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jesse Jackson

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kody Schexnayder punt for 38 yds, downed at the TexAM 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Carson Green) to the TexAM 33

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.55

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 11 yds to the TexAM 44

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.85

Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 7 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.25

Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 38 yds to the MisSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 15

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.17

Kellen Mond sacked by Cory Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 23

2nd & 23Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 12 yds to the MisSt 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

4th & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.36

Kellen Mond pass intercepted, touchback. Erroll Thompson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.47

Nick Fitzgerald run for 76 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 8 yds to the TexAM 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 48

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Montez Sweat) to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the MisSt 25

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.24

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 22

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
24 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
14 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
21 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
13%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play