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← Back to GamesOct 13, 2018Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 10.1

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 23%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 13, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
31471337
ArkansasArkansas
17106033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-310-317-324-1027-1030-1733-2433-3133-37
ArkansasOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMARKOMARKOMARKOMARKOMARKOMARKARKOMARKOMARKOMARKOMARKFG656ydFG1150ydPUNT418ydTD778ydTO540ydTD380ydTD975ydTD575ydMISS933ydFG952ydTD1077ydEND1-2ydFG1055ydTD579ydFG1157ydMISS1064ydPUNT1033ydTD1084ydPUNT623ydTD797ydTO1-15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and Arkansas
StatisticOle MissArkansas
Passing26-3515-22
Pass Yards387177
Rush Yards226299
Total Yards613476
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-102-9
Penalties4-504-50
Possession24:1335:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Jordan Ta'amu
26/35, 387 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Ta'amu
17 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Octavious Cooley
2 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arkansas
passing
Ty Storey
12/16, 122 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rakeem Boyd
7 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
La'Michael Pettway
3 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Ta'amu run for 2 yds to the Miss 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.85

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 49 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 27

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 7 yds to the Ark 20

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd to the Ark 19

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Logan 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Storey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.04

Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 38 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Miss 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for no gain to the Miss 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 5 yds to the Miss 26

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.04

Cole Kelley run for 2 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for no gain to the Miss 24

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the Miss 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 25

4th & 11Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.76

Connor Limpert 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Scottie Phillips run for 10 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete, broken up by Ryan Pulley

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Deon Stewart at the Ark 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.72

Rakeem Boyd run for 19 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Devwah Whaley run for 6 yds to the Miss 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 39

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +4.31

Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 39 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 5 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.19

Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Randy Ramsey for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 19 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.49

Jordan Ta'amu run for 22 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.03

Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted, touchback. Ryan Pulley return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 2 yds to the Ark 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 9 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Rakeem Boyd run for 69 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 9 yds to the Miss 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.35

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 13 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, PENALTY AR pass interference (J. McClellion) 15 yards to the AR37, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Ark 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jordan Ta'amu run for 6 yds to the Ark 18

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Jordan Ta'amu run for 18 yds for a TD, (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Ty Storey run for 23 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Miss 49

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.48

Ty Storey run for no gain to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY AR unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY OM unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.60

Jared Cornelius pass complete to Ty Storey for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 39

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +4.54

Cole Kelley pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 39 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the Miss 49

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 9 yds to the Ark 37

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 10 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Ta'amu run for 2 yds to the Ark 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, broken up by Jarques McClellion

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 27 Jordan Ta'amu fumbled, forced by Jamario Bell, recovered by Miss Scottie Phillips

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Luke Logan 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Ty Storey run for 17 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Devwah Whaley run for 8 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ty Storey pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 5 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Miss 39

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Chase Hayden run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 41

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Qaadir Sheppard) to the Miss 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Miss 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'Grady

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 5 yds to the Miss 20

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Limpert 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd to the Miss 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.55

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 18 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Scottie Phillips for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.49

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 13 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 11 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.41

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 17 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Jordan Ta'amu run for 13 yds to the Ark 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 6 yds for a TD, (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Devwah Whaley run for 16 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Miss 46

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Chase Hayden run for 17 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Chase Hayden run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 21

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.98

Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 24

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Storey pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 4 yds to the Miss 20

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.20

Connor Limpert 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 8 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 6 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Jordan Ta'amu sacked by De'Jon Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 33

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the Miss 34

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.94

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 66 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Storey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Devwah Whaley run for 13 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Ty Storey run for 13 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Miss 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.78

Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 17 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Chase Hayden run for 7 yds to the Miss 24

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Ty Storey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 23

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the Miss 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'Grady

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Limpert 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 22

2nd & 13Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.03

Jordan Ta'amu run for 26 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Scottie Phillips run for 16 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jordan Ta'amu run for 6 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, broken up by D'Vone McClure

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the Ark 16

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, false start (A.J. Brown) to the Ark 21

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Ark 17

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Ta'amu run for 6 yds to the Ark 11

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Luke Logan 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Hayden run for no gain to the Ark 20

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Ty Storey run for 10 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Cole Kelley run for 11 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ark 29

2nd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the Ark 31

3rd & 20Penalty+15 yds

Cole Kelley pass incomplete to Mike Woods, PENALTY OM pass interference (Jalen Julius) 15 yards to the AR46, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Cole Kelley run for 9 yds to the Miss 45

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Kelley run for 4 yds to the Miss 38

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Chase Hayden run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 43

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Cole Kelley sacked by Tariqious Tisdale for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Braylon Sanders at the Miss 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 8 yds to the Miss 24

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 8 yds to the Miss 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 4 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Scottie Phillips run for 13 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 7 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Isaiah Woullard for 11 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.58

Jordan Ta'amu run for 27 yds to the Ark 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cole Kelley pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Kelley run for 2 yds to the Ark 12

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (Johnny Gibson Jr.) to the Ark 7

3rd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.49

Cole Kelley pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 21 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Cole Kelley run for 1 yd to the Ark 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Kelley pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by Willie Hibbler

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 64 yds, downed at the Miss 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.01

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 20 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders, broken up by Jarques McClellion

2nd & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.06

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 48 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Jordan Ta'amu run for 15 yds to the Ark 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Scottie Phillips run for 9 yds to the Ark 5

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds for a TD Timeout OLE MISS, clock 00:42 (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Terrell Collins) to the Ark 28

1st & 25Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.02

Cole Kelley pass intercepted Zedrick Woods return for no gain to the Miss 42

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
66%
35 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play