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← Back to GamesOct 13, 2018Week 7
MissouriMissouri
10
-Final
39
AlabamaAlabama
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 28.5

Home Win Probability

Alabama 95%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 13, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
1000010
AlabamaAlabama
13172739

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-013-320-1027-1030-1039-10
AlabamaMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALATD281ydTO27ydFG42ydPUNT623ydTO737ydFG723ydFG967ydTD673ydTD975ydTO3-12ydTD113ydPUNT628ydFG1083ydPUNT423ydEND23ydPUNT33ydPUNT420ydPUNT3-5ydMISS921ydTO32ydDOWNS881ydSAF1-6ydTD540ydDOWNS1750ydDOWNS934yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Alabama
StatisticMissouriAlabama
Passing13-2619-30
Pass Yards142380
Rush Yards70184
Total Yards212564
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-166-13
Penalties5-535-60
Possession24:2632:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Drew Lock
13/26, 142 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Larry Rountree III
17 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Jalen Knox
3 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
12/22, 265 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Damien Harris
14 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerry Jeudy
3 REC, 147 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.97

Jerry Jeudy 81 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 32

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return-33 ydsPPA -1.53

Drew Lock pass intercepted Saivion Smith return for 33 yds to the Misso 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.52

Joseph Bulovas 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 16

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 17

3rd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.52

Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 23 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Drew Lock pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Josh Jacobs run for 6 yds to the Alab 17

2nd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.89

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 6 yds to the Alab 23 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (DeVonta Smith) to the Alab 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Hale Hentges

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.99

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 22 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Josh Jacobs run for 18 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the Misso 38

2nd & 1Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.95

Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Kobie Whiteside for a loss of 14 yards to the Alab 48 Tua Tagovailoa fumbled, forced by Kobie Whiteside, recovered by Misso Akial Byers , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Alab 39

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Alab 32

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.87

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 37

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.49

Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 12 yds to the Alab 25

4th & 2Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA -0.24

Tucker McCann 43 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Josh Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.45

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 21 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.92

Damien Harris run for 20 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 11 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jalen Hurts for 7 yds to the Misso 10

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 3Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.91

Joseph Bulovas 28 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Tyler Badie run for 13 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Tyler Badie run for 16 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Mack Wilson) to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Jalen Knox 20 Yd pass from Drew Lock (Tucker McCann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Najee Harris run for 10 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.08

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 14 yds to the ALABAMA 48 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 13 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 15

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Damien Harris run for no gain to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Targeting (Terez Hall) to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down. Terez Hall ejected for Targeting.

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Misso 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Irv Smith Jr. 2 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 31

3rd & 4Sack-18 ydsPPA -0.78

Drew Lock sacked by Isaiah Buggs for a loss of 18 yards to the Misso 13 Drew Lock fumbled, forced by Isaiah Buggs, recovered by Alab Anfernee Jennings , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

DeVonta Smith 13 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Case Cook) to the Misso 20

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.06

Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 24 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 47

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 8 yds to the Alab 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 14

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.43

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 23

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.43

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 57 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Misso 14

2nd & 17Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.90

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 20 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Joseph Bulovas 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 17 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew Lock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 6 yds to the Misso 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 51 yds, downed at the Alab 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 2

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 4

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 6 yds to the Misso 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Paul Adams) to the Misso 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 2 yds to the Misso 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 45 yds, downed at the Alab 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Tua Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the Alab 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 12 yds, downed at the Misso 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen Knox

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 44

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.12

Drew Lock sacked by Isaiah Buggs and Raekwon Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 36

4th & 15Punt+19 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 34 yds, downed at the ALABAMA 30 MISSOURI Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Jalen Knox) to the Alab 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Misso 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.85

Josh Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 7 yds to the Misso 38

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Josh Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.58

Najee Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Derek Kief for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 34

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Joseph Bulovas 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Drew Lock pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 52 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 1 yd to the Alab 13 Jaylen Waddle fumbled, recovered by Alab Jaylen Waddle

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 19

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Najee Harris run for 14 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.10

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 44 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 10

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Irv Smith Jr.) to the Misso 20

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Misso 15

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Misso 6

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.13

Damien Harris run for no gain to the Misso 6

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.10

Team Safety

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 8 yds to the Misso 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

3rd & 2Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.91

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 29 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Misso 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Damien Harris 2 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Misso 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Jalen Knox run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 4 yds to the Misso 47

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Raekwon Davis) to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen Knox

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Alab 33

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Drew Lock sacked by Mack Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 34

4th & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 9 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Larry Rountree III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 6 yds to the Alab 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 5 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Alab 13

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Alab 7

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 8

4th & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.91

Drew Lock pass intercepted, touchback. Saivion Smith return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 19

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Josh Jacobs run for 12 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.95

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Derek Kief for 17 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 46

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 45

4th & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 46

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
43%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
64%
33 plays
2nd
14%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play