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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Vanderbilt by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 58%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tennessee State
0137727
VanderbiltVanderbilt
01014731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1317-1324-2024-2731-27
VanderbiltTennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSVANTSVANTSVANTSVANTSVANVANTSVANTSVANTSVANTSVANTSVANPUNT514ydTO619ydMISS830ydTO866ydTD635ydTD775ydTD975ydMISS1364ydPUNT3-4ydFG654ydTD776ydPUNT58ydTD278ydTD773ydPUNT521ydPUNT36ydMISS737ydTD1072ydTD373ydDOWNS1140ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee State and Vanderbilt
StatisticTennessee StateVanderbilt
Passing22-3122-30
Pass Yards269297
Rush Yards104256
Total Yards373553
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-146-12
Penalties8-442-15
Possession29:5630:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee State
passing
Demry Croft
22/31, 269 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Demry Croft
9 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Treon Harris
8 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Dajour Nesbeth
1 TFL, 1 PD
Vanderbilt
passing
Kyle Shurmur
22/29, 297 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
17 CAR, 146 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kalija Lipscomb
9 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 10 yds to the TenSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Te'kendrick Roberson run for 3 yds to the TenSt 49

2nd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.43

Demry Croft run for 4 yds to the VANDERBILT 47 TENNESSEE ST Penalty, illegal block (Te'kendrick Roberson) to the TenSt 39

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Demry Croft pass complete to Miles Cavitt for 7 yds to the TenSt 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Demry Croft pass complete to DeVon Johnson for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt+33 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 34 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 33 yds to the Vandy 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TenSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 6 yds to the TenSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 4 yds to the TenSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the TenSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the TenSt 32

4th & 2Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA -2.67

Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted Terry Straughter return for 10 yds to the TenSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Demry Croft pass complete to Aaron Cauthen for 5 yds to the TenSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Te'kendrick Roberson run for 5 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Te'kendrick Roberson run for 4 yds to the Vandy 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.20

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 20 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Treon Harris, broken up by Dimitri Moore

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Demry Croft run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 29

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Demry Croft pass incomplete to DeVon Johnson

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Antonio Zita 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyle Shurmur run for 6 yds to the Vandy 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 9 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 yds

Donaven Tennyson run for 18 yds to the VANDERBILT 37 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the TenSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.53

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 16 yds to the TenSt 21 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE ST Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the TenSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the TenSt 7

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the TenSt 4

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return-65 ydsPPA -4.36

Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted Dajour Nesbeth return for 65 yds to the Vandy 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

DeMarco Corbin run for 8 yds to the Vandy 27

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.17

Demry Croft run for 10 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Demry Croft pass complete to Steven Newbold for 12 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

DeMarco Corbin run for no gain to the Vandy 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Steven Newbold

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Demry Croft pass complete to Steven Newbold for 5 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ja'Veon Marlow run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Khari Blasingame run for 10 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.90

Khari Blasingame run for 35 yds to the TenSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.98

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 19 yds to the TenSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the TenSt 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the TenSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the TenSt 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

DeMarco Corbin run for 1 yd to the TenSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Demry Croft pass complete to Steven Newbold for 12 yds to the TenSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Demry Croft run for 12 yds to the TenSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DeMarco Corbin run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

DeMarco Corbin run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 12 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 7 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Te'kendrick Roberson run for no gain to the Vandy 31

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.44

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 31 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Khari Blasingame run for 9 yds to the Vandy 36

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Khari Blasingame run for 7 yds to the Vandy 47

3rd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.56

Khari Blasingame run for 24 yds to the TenSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. Bolar

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the TenSt 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.51

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 15 yds to the TenSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.13

Donaven Tennyson run for 1 yd to the TenSt 13 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding (Jared Pinkney) to the TenSt 23

1st & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the TenSt 23

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds to the TenSt 15

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TenSt 20

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Chris Pierce for 11 yds to the TenSt 9

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Ryley Guay 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.56

TEAM run for no gain to the TenSt 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TenSt Te'kendrick Roberson

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Te'kendrick Roberson run for 4 yds to the TenSt 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Demry Croft pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+2 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 42 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 2 yds to the Vandy 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trey Ellis for 7 yds to the TenSt 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 4 yds to the TenSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 14 yds to the TenSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.23

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 24 yds to the TenSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty+5 yds

[SH], Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, PENALTY TSU pass interference (NESBETH, Dajour) 5 yards to the TSU2, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -2.79

Ryley Guay 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Vandy 33

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 15 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the TenSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 9 yds to the TenSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds to the TenSt 37

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 38

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +4.74

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 38 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Demry Croft pass complete to Kyle Oliver for 9 yds to the TenSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Te'kendrick Roberson run for 2 yds to the TenSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 8 yds to the TenSt 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Demry Croft pass incomplete

3rd & 2Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.78

Demry Croft sacked by Caleb Peart for a loss of 11 yards to the TenSt 33 TENNESSEE ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Demry Croft) to the TenSt 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.89

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 78 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Te'kendrick Roberson run for 6 yds to the TenSt 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 10 yds to the TenSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Treon Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.57

Demry Croft pass complete to Steven Newbold for 20 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Demry Croft pass complete to Steven Newbold for 15 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.43

Demry Croft pass complete to DeVon Johnson for 20 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

DeMarco Corbin run for 2 yds for a TD (Antonio Zita KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 10 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the Vandy 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds to the Vandy 40

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Parker Thome punt for 37 yds , DeVon Johnson returns for 3 yds to the TenSt 26

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Te'kendrick Roberson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TenSt 23

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Shawn McColley run for 6 yds to the TenSt 29

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Demry Croft run for 3 yds to the TenSt 32

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 21 yds to the TenSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 13 yds to the TenSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Dajour Nesbeth

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the TenSt 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Josh Crawford for no gain to the TenSt 28

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Ryley Guay 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Andrew Knox

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

DeMarco Corbin run for 3 yds to the TenSt 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.56

Demry Croft pass complete to DeVon Johnson for 14 yds to the TenSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shawn McColley run for 4 yds to the TenSt 49

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

[SH], CROFT, Demry pass complete to NEWBOLD, Steven for 11 yards to the VANDY40, out-of-bounds (J. Williams), PENALTY TSU illegal formation 5 yards to the TSU44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Shawn McColley run for 1 yd to the TenSt 45

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.25

Demry Croft run for 17 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Shawn McColley run for 11 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Shawn McColley run for 2 yds to the Vandy 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.07

Demry Croft pass complete to DeVon Johnson for 24 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Demry Croft pass complete to Andrew Knox for 1 yd for a TD (Antonio Zita KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Vandy 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the Vandy 32

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.65

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 68 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Te'kendrick Roberson run for 1 yd to the TenSt 46

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

[SH], CROFT, Demry pass complete to ROWLAND, Chris for 28 yards to the VANDY26, PENALTY TSU illegal touching (ROWLAND, Chris) 0 yards to the TSU46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.89

Demry Croft pass complete to Kyle Oliver for 12 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Steven Newbold

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Demry Croft run for 9 yds to the Vandy 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Te'kendrick Roberson run for no gain to the Vandy 33

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.41

Demry Croft run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Demry Croft pass complete to Treon Harris for 11 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

DeMarco Corbin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 18

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

DeMarco Corbin run for 2 yds to the Vandy 16

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Shawn McColley run for 1 yd to the Vandy 15

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.65

Demry Croft pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Vandy 21

1st & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.58

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 16

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.28

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 13

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.06

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 11

Situational Analysis

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
52%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play