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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 39.9

Home Win Probability

Alabama 99%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
0001414
AlabamaAlabama
28217056

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-035-042-049-056-756-14
AlabamaLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALOUALALOULOUALALOUALALOUALALOUALALOULOUALALOUALALOUALALOUALATD872ydPUNT36ydTD214ydTD3-1ydPUNT611ydTD569ydPUNT411ydTD580ydPUNT35ydTD1070ydPUNT35ydTD762ydTO522ydTO728ydMISS1270ydPUNT728ydTD189ydTD678ydMISS737ydTD1180ydUncategorized750yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Alabama
StatisticLouisianaAlabama
Passing11-2013-16
Pass Yards88340
Rush Yards200268
Total Yards288608
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-127-9
Penalties4-303-15
Possession29:5829:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Andre Nunez
9/15, 75 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Trey Ragas
16 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Marcus Bradley
3 REC, 24 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
8/8, 128 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Najee Harris
11 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Waddle
3 REC, 138 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 6 yds to the Alab 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.53

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 34 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 9 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Josh Jacobs run for 9 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ja'Marcus Bradley run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Trey Ragas

4th & 4Blocked Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt blocked by Derek Kief, Derek Kief return for no gain to the LaLaf 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 8

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Ross Pierschbacher) to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 13 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Andre Nunez run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

4th & 11Punt+63 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 63 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jalen Williams for 8 yds Jalen Williams fumbled, forced by Trevon Diggs, recovered by LaLaf Ja'Marcus Bradley for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.57

Andre Nunez sacked by Dylan Moses and Xavier McKinney for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 31

3rd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 31

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Josh Jacobs run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Corey Turner) to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.75

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 24 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Josh Jacobs run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 11

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.21

Tua Tagovailoa run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Patrick Surtain II

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Shyheim Carter

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Byrns, Rhys punt 39 yards to the ALABAMA15, fair catch by Waddle, Jaylen, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE illegal formation (Carter, Kaleb) 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE41, NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Najee Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 18

3rd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 24 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.73

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 54 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ragas, Trey rush for 3 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE26, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE illegal formation 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE18, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for no gain to the Alab 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Jalen Hurts sacked by Bennie Higgins and Kris Moncrief for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.88

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 31 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Josh Jacobs run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 10

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Najee Harris run for 5 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Max Mitchell) to the LaLaf 22

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Raymond Calais run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 7 yds to the LaLaf 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Josh Jacobs run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.01

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 13 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 20

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.32

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 20 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Trey Ragas run for 26 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Andre Nunez sacked by Christian Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley

3rd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47

4th & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.00

Andre Nunez pass intercepted Trevon Diggs return for no gain to the LaLaf 7

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Jamal Bell run for 8 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -2.62

Andre Nunez pass intercepted Xavier McKinney return for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 3Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.42

Najee Harris run for 30 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 16

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.05

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 20

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 9

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 6

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy, broken up by Michael Jacquet III

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Joseph Bulovas 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 13 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Levi Lewis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for no gain to the LaLaf 46

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 10

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Robinson Jr., Brian rush for 11 yards to the ALABAMA22, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Forristall, Miller) 5 yards to the ALABAMA6, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+94 ydsPPA +7.15

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 94 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.00

Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 23 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.14

Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 6Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.65

Elijah Mitchell run for 40 yds to the Alab 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.05

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ronnie Clark run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 13

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Derek Kief

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Joseph Bulovas 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Trey Ragas run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 45

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Raymond Calais run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 47

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Trey Ragas run for 12 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Elijah Mitchell run for 10 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 9 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.83

Raymond Calais run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 18

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 18 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Jerome Ford run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Jerome Ford run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ronnie Clark run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 15

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ronnie Clark run for no gain to the LaLaf 15

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
62%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th