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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2018Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 28.9

Home Win Probability

Alabama 95%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
763723
AlabamaAlabama
141714045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-714-1021-1331-1338-1645-1645-23
AlabamaTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TAALATAALATAALATAALATAALATAALATAALAALATAALATAALATAALATAALATAALATATO20ydTD130ydPUNT34ydPUNT537ydTD899ydTD975ydPUNT510ydPUNT3-14ydFG422ydTD675ydFG860ydTD675ydTO317ydEND317ydPUNT614ydPUNT3-10ydTD780ydFG1067ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-8ydTD292ydPUNT35ydPUNT519ydTD1188ydPUNT627ydUncategorized1269yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Alabama
StatisticTexas A&MAlabama
Passing23-4425-33
Pass Yards263415
Rush Yards130109
Total Yards393524
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-124-10
Penalties4-509-82
Possession32:3627:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Kellen Mond
16/33, 196 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kellen Mond
18 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jace Sternberger
3 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
22/30, 387 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Damien Harris
7 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Henry Ruggs III
3 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 25

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kellen Mond pass intercepted Mack Wilson return for no gain to the TexAM 30

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

DeVonta Smith 30 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 13

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 6 yds to the TexAM 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 5 yds to the TexAM 24

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kellen Mond sacked by Isaiah Buggs for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 22

4th & 6Punt+15 yds

Braden Mann punt for 56 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 15 yds to the Alab 37 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Jamey Mosley) to the Alab 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Harris, Damien rush for no gain to the ALABAMA32, PENALTY TEXASAM face mask (Madubuike, Justin) 15 yards to the ALABAMA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 17 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 37

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Josh Jacobs run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 35 yds, downed at the TexAM 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the TexAM 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.53

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 12 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 11 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.35

Kellen Mond run for 54 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the Alab 15

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Jace Sternberger 15 Yd pass from Kellen Mond (Seth Small Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Hale Hentges

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Josh Jacobs run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the TexAM 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.66

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 10 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Donovan Wilson) to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 5 yds to the TexAM 16

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tua Tagovailoa run for 5 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tua Tagovailoa 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Trayveon Williams run for 13 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.30

Kellen Mond sacked by Isaiah Buggs for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 35

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 35

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ross Pierschbacher) to the Alab 10

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 10

3rd & 20Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 6

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 51 yds, downed at the TexAM 43

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Rogers, Kendrick, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Diggs, Trevon) 15 yards to the ALABAMA42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 43

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Kellen Mond sacked by Christian Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 35

4th & 3Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA +0.74

Seth Small 52 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 20 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 21 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the TexAM 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 5 yds to the TexAM 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Hale Hentges 23 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Kellen Mond run for 34 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 6 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Alab 34

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Trayveon Williams run for 16 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers, broken up by Patrick Surtain II

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the Alab 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.42

Seth Small 32 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 4 yds to the Alab 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.32

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 52 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 12 yds to the TexAM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the TexAM 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Hale Hentges 6 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the TexAM 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Kellen Mond run for 11 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -3.81

Kellen Mond pass intercepted Patrick Surtain II return for 20 yds to the ALABAMA 38 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 17 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA -0.72

Joseph Bulovas 47 Yd Field Goal

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 16 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.47

Damien Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 39

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.15

Kellen Mond sacked by Xavier McKinney for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 38

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 62 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.29

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 21 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.22

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 42 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 12 yds to the TexAM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the TexAM 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Josh Jacobs 3 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 24 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 6 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Jashaun Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.42

Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 21 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace Sternberger

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds to the Alab 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.91

Seth Small 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Alab 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 42

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Kellen Mond sacked by Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 38

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

3rd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.36

Kellen Mond sacked by Isaiah Buggs and Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 34

4th & 18Punt+10 yds

Braden Mann punt for 61 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 10 yds to the Alab 44 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the Alab 8

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.38

Damien Harris run for 35 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Henry Ruggs III 57 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kellen Mond pass complete to Cullen Gillaspia for 5 yds to the TexAM 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 10 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hurts, Jalen pass complete to Smith, DeVonta for 12 yards to the ALABAMA45, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the ALABAMA23, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 14 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 4 yds to the Alab 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 50 yds, downed at the TexAM 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.98

Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 12 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kellen Mond sacked by Isaiah Buggs and Johnny Dwight for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.00

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 26 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 10 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon Williams

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Mond, Kellen pass sacked for loss of 7 yards to the 50 yardline (Anoma, Eyabi), PENALTY ALABAMA horse collar tackle (Anoma, Eyabi) 15 yards to the ALABAMA28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.98

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 20 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Kellen Mond run for 9 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Najee Harris run for 19 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Najee Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 48

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the TexAM 40

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.28

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 48 Jalen Hurts fumbled, recovered by Alab Najee Harris

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Starkel pass complete to Camron Buckley for 5 yds to the TexAM 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 8 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Glenn Beal

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 10 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Glenn Beal

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kwame Etwi for 16 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 10 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 15 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Starkel pass complete to Camron Buckley for 3 yds to the Alab 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
61%
18 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
54%
28 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th