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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 23.1

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 93%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
300710
Mississippi StateMississippi State
142114756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-37-314-321-328-342-349-349-1056-10
Mississippi StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSLOUMSFG954ydTD1374ydDOWNS646ydTD662ydPUNT34ydTD767ydDOWNS623ydTD548ydDOWNS839ydTD564ydEND1-1ydTD465ydPUNT728ydTD985ydTO418ydTO419ydPUNT424ydTO66ydTD1047ydTD775ydPUNT33ydUncategorized527yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Mississippi State
StatisticLouisianaMississippi State
Passing23-3416-24
Pass Yards245276
Rush Yards65331
Total Yards310607
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-138-11
Penalties4-253-15
Possession27:0132:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Andre Nunez
21/29, 224 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Trey Ragas
7 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Keenan Barnes
4 REC, 76 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
14/21, 243 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nick Fitzgerald
15 CAR, 107 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Keith Mixon
4 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 14 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Andre Nunez run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.14

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 19 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 7 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 7 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the MisSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Andre Nunez pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 1 yd to the MisSt 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 3 yds to the MisSt 21

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyle Pfau 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 6 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 36

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Nick Fitzgerald run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 12 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.67

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Austin Williams for 25 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Austin Williams

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the LaLaf 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 12

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14

2nd & 13Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.71

Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 41 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the MisSt 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 37

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 33

1st & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.96

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 44 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Kylin Hill

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 10

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.72

Nick Fitzgerald run for 10 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ryheem Malone run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Andre Nunez run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 3 yds to the LaLaf 22

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds , Keith Mixon returns for 6 yds to the MisSt 33

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.29

Aeris Williams run for 28 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 44

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40

2nd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.66

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Chaiziere Malbrue for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 21Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +4.07

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 23 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.05

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 23 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Levi Lewis run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39

3rd & 1Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.25

Nick Fitzgerald run for 36 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaLaf 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.17

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 19 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.28

Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 20 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Andre Nunez run for no gain to the MisSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Raymond Calais run for 9 yds to the MisSt 31

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jamal Bell

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 36

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.77

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.70

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Aeris Williams run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.95

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 39 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Kylin Hill run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.60

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 25 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Nick Fitzgerald run for 26 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Trey Ragas run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Andre Nunez pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.48

Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Andre Nunez sacked by Gerri Green and Braxton Hoyett for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 48

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Andre Nunez pass complete to Raymond Calais for 4 yds to the MisSt 48

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Andre Nunez run for 1 yd to the MisSt 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Aeris Williams run for 15 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 36

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Nick Gibson run for 10 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Nick Gibson for 6 yds to the LaLaf 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 25 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 17

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 28

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.95

Andre Nunez pass intercepted Johnathan Abram return for no gain to the MisSt 12

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.88

Aeris Williams run for 16 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.28

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 22

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 43 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for no gain to the LaLaf 24 Ryheem Malone fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Ryheem Malone , return for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.14

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 24 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Andre Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 14

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Keytaon Thompson run for 6 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Keytaon Thompson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 23

2nd & 7Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Nick Gibson run for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 16

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.31

Keytaon Thompson pass intercepted Eric Garror return for no gain to the MisSt 47

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the MisSt 40

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.58

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 9 yds to the MisSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MisSt 31

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.24

Andre Nunez sacked by Willie Gay Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 38

3rd & 16Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.26

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 30 yds to the MisSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Andre Nunez run for 6 yds to the MisSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Keytaon Thompson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Dontavian Lee run for 2 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Brad Cumbest for 21 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Dontavian Lee run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Keytaon Thompson run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Malik Dear for 12 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Keytaon Thompson run for 16 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Levi Lewis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Wright run for no gain to the LaLaf 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (Rhys Byrns) to the LaLaf 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Robert Rivers run for 7 yds to the MisSt 35

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Robert Rivers run for 9 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Robert Rivers run for 5 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jalen Mayden run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 45

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
68%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play