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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 17

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 13%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
282110362
Ole MissOle Miss
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-77-147-287-357-427-527-62
Ole MissAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMOMALAOMALAOMALAOMTD175ydTD372ydPUNT34ydTO312ydPUNT35ydTD380ydTO728ydTD662ydTO10ydTD315ydPUNT734ydMISS1060ydDOWNS732ydTD452ydPUNT35ydTD330ydPUNT3-1ydTD750ydEND39ydFG721ydPUNT35ydTO731ydTD420ydPUNT3-1ydFG1346ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT514ydPUNT31ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Ole Miss
StatisticAlabamaOle Miss
Passing19-287-22
Pass Yards306133
Rush Yards210115
Total Yards516248
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-134-16
Penalties8-608-67
Possession34:2125:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
11/15, 191 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Harris
5 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerry Jeudy
3 REC, 136 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Ole Miss
passing
Jordan Ta'amu
7/22, 133 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Scottie Phillips
12 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
D.K. Metcalf
2 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 75 yds for a TD, (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 17 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 12 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Damien Harris run for 43 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds to the Miss 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.82

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 1 yd Henry Ruggs III fumbled, forced by Jalen Julius, recovered by Miss C.J. Moore

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the Alab 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Quinnen Williams) to the Alab 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tua Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the Alab 21

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +7.16

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 79 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Scottie Phillips run for 9 yds to the Miss 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Scottie Phillips run for 11 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 13 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -2.34

Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the Alab 38 Jordan Ta'amu fumbled, recovered by Alab Phidarian Mathis

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Tua Tagovailoa run for 13 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Miss 43

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

Tua Tagovailoa run for 15 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.25

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 18 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Najee Harris run for 10 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-40 ydsPPA -0.92

Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted Deionte Thompson return for 40 yds to the Miss 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tua Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Miss 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.99

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 33

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Scottie Phillips run for 12 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 17 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (D.K. Metcalf) to the Alab 43

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Isaiah Woullard run for no gain to the Alab 43

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 47

2nd & 25Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Christian Miller for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 44

3rd & 28Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Miss 49

3rd & 23Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 10 yds to the Alab 41

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Tua Tagovailoa run for 15 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Hale Hentges for 4 yds to the Miss 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.77

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Miss 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 6 yds to the Miss 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Josh Jacobs run for 6 yds to the Miss 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for no gain to the Miss 20

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Joseph Bulovas 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson Knox

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

3rd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Jordan Ta'amu run for 21 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Alab 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

4th & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.19

Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Anfernee Jennings and Christian Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 48

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Josh Jacobs run for 10 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.10

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 35 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Miss 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Josh Jacobs run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 7 yds to the Miss 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the Miss 34

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 30

4th & 5Punt+37 yds

Mac Brown punt for 37 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 37 yds to the Miss 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the Miss 22

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.92

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 22 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 14

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the Miss 14

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Christian Miller for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 10

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 5 yds to the Miss 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 4 yds to the Miss 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 13 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Miss 13

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 13 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaiah Woullard run for no gain to the Miss 3

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds to the Miss 10

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the Miss 12

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Najee Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 25

2nd & 12Penalty+6 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the Miss 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Miss 10

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.03

Josh Jacobs run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 15

3rd & 6Penalty+8 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Holding (8 Yards) to the Miss 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Josh Jacobs run for no gain to the Miss 7

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Miss 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.15

Joseph Bulovas 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the Miss 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Miss 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.02

Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 17 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 11 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Miss 33

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Miss 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Miss 35

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.42

Jalen Hurts pass intercepted C.J. Moore return for no gain to the Miss 4

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds to the Miss 11

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the Miss 12

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Isaiah Woullard run for 12 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-30 ydsPPA -7.85

Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted for a TD Xavier McKinney return for 30 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd to the Miss 26

3rd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Jamey Mosley for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Derek Kief

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

3rd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.56

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 30 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Miss 25

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Miss 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Miss 18

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.69

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 17

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 19

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.22

Mac Jones sacked by Markel Winters and Austrian Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 26

4th & 20Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +1.85

Joseph Bulovas 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tylan Knight run for 4 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Tylan Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 6 yds to the Miss 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Scott Lashley) to the Alab 18

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 18

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 19

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 14

3rd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 21

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tylan Knight run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Tylan Knight run for 5 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tylan Knight run for no gain to the Alab 45

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tylan Knight run for 2 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tylan Knight run for 1 yd to the Alab 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jerome Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 19

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Alab 20

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Ronnie Clark run for 1 yd to the Alab 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Armani Linton run for 3 yds to the Miss 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tylan Knight run for 3 yds to the Miss 46

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Armani Linton run for no gain to the Miss 46

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
9%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play