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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Florida 84%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
037010
FloridaFlorida
62102148

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-06-013-027-027-1034-1041-1048-10
FloridaColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOCSFLOCSFLOCSFLOCSFLOCSFLOCSCSCSFLOCSFLOCSCSFLOCSFLOCSFLOPUNT36ydTO4-9ydFG44ydMISS1252ydTO414ydTO1-3ydFG4-2ydMISS940ydTD565ydPUNT3-5ydTD644ydTD63ydFG913ydTD775ydPUNT517ydPUNT32ydPUNT835ydTD721ydTO638ydTD454ydDOWNS1043ydTD168ydDOWNS957ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Florida
StatisticColorado StateFlorida
Passing23-418-15
Pass Yards240119
Rush Yards70222
Total Yards310341
Turnovers31
3rd Down8-203-8
Penalties6-338-75
Possession38:3321:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
K.J. Carta-Samuels
21/33, 217 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marvin Kinsey Jr.
15 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Preston Williams
9 REC, 106 YDS
defense
Florida
passing
Feleipe Franks
8/15, 119 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dameon Pierce
5 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Van Jefferson
2 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Jordan Scarlett

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tommy Townsend punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Izzy Matthews, broken up by Kylan Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 3 yds to the ColSt 24

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-13 ydsPPA +0.23

Ryan Stonehouse run for a loss of 13 yards to the ColSt 11 Ryan Stonehouse fumbled, forced by James Houston IV, recovered by Fla Josh Hammond

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the ColSt 6

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 11

2nd & 10Rush+4 yds

Feleipe Franks run for 4 yds to the ColSt 7 COLORADO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the ColSt 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.84

Evan McPherson 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 21 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 47

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Rashaad Boddie run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 8 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 4 yds to the Fla 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 5 yds to the Fla 33

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.41

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the Fla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Izzy Matthews for no gain to the Fla 32

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 7 yds to the Fla 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 2 yds to the Fla 23

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Wyatt Bryan 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Feleipe Franks run for 11 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 37

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.27

Feleipe Franks pass intercepted V.J. Banks return for no gain to the ColSt 32

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -1.48

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Elijah Conliffe

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +1.45

Evan McPherson 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CARTA-SAMUELS rush up middle for no gain to the CSU25 (Polite,J.), PENALTY UF personal foul (Dunlap,M.) 15 yards to the CSU40, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Preston Williams run for 7 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the Fla 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Adam Prentice for 9 yds to the Fla 40

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Marcus McElroy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Wyatt Bryan 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 8 yds to the Fla 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 24 yds to the ColSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the ColSt 30

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.37

Jordan Scarlett run for 30 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-13 yds

CARTA-SAMUELS DL pass complete to JOHNSON, O. for 14 yards to the CSU40 (Stiner,D.), PENALTY CSU pass interference (WISE, D.) 13 yards to the CSU13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.09

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 12 yds to the ColSt 25

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

STONEHOUSE, R. punt 60 yards to the UF15, Swain,F. return to the UF20 (FRANCIS, T.;WATSON, J.), PENALTY CSU illegal shift 5 yards to the CSU20, NO PLAY.

4th & 15Punt+22 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 46 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 22 yds to the ColSt 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Kadarius Toney run for 9 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 18 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Rashaad Boddie run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 16 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.23

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Jeremiah Moon and Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 35

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Rashaad Boddie

3rd & 17Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 28

4th & 24Blocked Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt blocked by blocked by Tyrie Cleveland return for no gain for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 7 yds to the Fla 41

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 36

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 6 yds to the Fla 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.58

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 6 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Preston Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25

2nd & 11Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.39

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 15 yards to the Fla 40

3rd & 26Penalty0 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, intentional grounding (K.J. Carta-Samuels) to the Fla 40

3rd & 26Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Trey McBride for 5 yds to the Fla 35

4th & 21Field Goal Good+53 ydsPPA +2.58

Wyatt Bryan 53 yd FG GOOD

0th & 21End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ColSt 30

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 1 yd to the ColSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Tyler Bjorklund) to the ColSt 33

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 9 yds to the ColSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.08

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 8 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Trey McBride for 48 yds for a TD (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 6 yds to the Fla 31

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Jordan Scarlett run for 14 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Feleipe Franks sacked by Rashad Ajayi for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 42

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tommy Townsend punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the ColSt 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the ColSt 28

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.08

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by CJ Henderson for a loss of 11 yards to the ColSt 17 K.J. Carta-Samuels fumbled, recovered by ColSt Marcus McElroy , return for 0 yards

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.09

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 9 yds to the ColSt 26

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 19

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Perine,L. rush left for 10 yards to the UF29, out-of-bounds (BANKS, V.J.), PENALTY UF personal foul (Stephens,M.) 10 yards to the UF9, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.79

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 17 yds to the Fla 26

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Fla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.50

Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 38

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.09

Lamical Perine run for 10 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Franks,F. rush over left end for 5 yards to the CSU42, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UF holding (Buchanan,N.) 10 yards to the UF43, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 6 yds to the ColSt 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tommy Townsend punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the ColSt 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.73

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 23

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 3 yds to the ColSt 26

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

CARTA-SAMUELS sideline pass intercepted by Stewart,B. at the CSU35, Stewart,B. return to the CSU0, clock 13:58, PENALTY UF holding (Dean,T.) 10 yards to the CSU36, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Trey McBride, broken up by Vosean Joseph

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Ross Reiter) to the ColSt 31

4th & 15Punt+85 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 54 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 85 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Darius Wise for 3 yds to the ColSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 12 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.11

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 20 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+20 ydsPPA +0.36

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Jachai Polite for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 46 K.J. Carta-Samuels fumbled, recovered by Fla Vosean Joseph , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds to the Fla 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 49

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the ColSt 46

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 38 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Cameron Butler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.37

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 16 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Trey Dean III) to the Fla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Marcus McElroy run for 7 yds to the Fla 37

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Marcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the Fla 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Marcus McElroy run for no gain to the Fla 35

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.53

Collin Hill run for 1 yd to the Fla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Marcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams, broken up by Trey Dean III

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.92

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Dameon Pierce run for 68 yds for a TD (Jorge Powell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 28 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 12 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Collin Hill pass complete to EJ Scott for 7 yds to the Fla 17

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Collin Hill pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.49

Collin Hill pass incomplete to EJ Scott, broken up by Brian Edwards

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Dameon Pierce run for 8 yds to the Fla 25

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
15 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
20 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play