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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2018Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 0.2

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 45%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
3147731
Kansas StateKansas State
307010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-33-103-173-2410-31
Kansas StateMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSKSMSKSMSKSMSKSMSKSKSMSKSMSKSMSKSMSKSMSPUNT35ydPUNT37ydFG1070ydFG1154ydTD955ydPUNT730ydDOWNS742ydTO722ydTD365ydDOWNS828ydPUNT533ydTD595ydPUNT819ydTO627ydTD123ydTD876ydPUNT511ydMISS1552ydPUNT31ydEND212yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Kansas State
StatisticMississippi StateKansas State
Passing11-279-21
Pass Yards154100
Rush Yards384113
Total Yards538213
Turnovers11
3rd Down0-00-0
Penalties0-00-0
Possession--

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
11/27, 154 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kylin Hill
17 CAR, 211 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Stephen Guidry
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Skylar John Thompson
7/17, 86 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Alex Barnes
17 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Dalton Schoen
2 REC, 34 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 5 yds to the MisSt 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Darryl Williams) to the MisSt 21

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Nick Fitzgerald run for 9 yds to the MisSt 30

4th & 1Penalty-4 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Tucker Day) to the MisSt 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 34 yds, downed at the KanSt 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Andrew Hicks punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 17

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Nick Fitzgerald run for 10 yds to the MisSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Austin Williams

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Nick Fitzgerald run for 9 yds to the MisSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Johnson, Justin, PENALTY KANSASST offside (Walker, Reggie) off-setting, PENALTY MISSSTATE Illegal Formation off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.33

Kylin Hill run for 47 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Kylin Hill

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Austin Williams

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.07

Jace Christmann 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 43

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.37

Skylar Thompson run for 12 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 3 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the MisSt 41

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 36

4th & 1Penalty+6 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jeffery Simmons) to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 18 yds to the MisSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the MisSt 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Alex Barnes

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.72

Blake Lynch 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the KanSt 35

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Hill, Kylin, PENALTY MISSSTATE holding 10 yards to the KANSASST42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Gibson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 39

3rd & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 19 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the KanSt 16

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Kylin Hill 16 Yd pass from Nick Fitzgerald (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29

3rd & 6Penalty+9 yds

Thompson, Skylar pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY MISSSTATE holding (Cole, Brian) 9 yards to the KANSASST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 4 yds to the MisSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the MisSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah Harris

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Andrew Hicks punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Austin Williams

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the MisSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.34

Nick Fitzgerald run for 30 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 5 yds to the KanSt 38

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.70

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Alex Barnes run for no gain to the MisSt 44

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Alex Delton run for no gain to the MisSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.97

Alex Delton pass intercepted Erroll Thompson return for no gain to the MisSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 5 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 32 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Kylin Hill 28 Yd Run (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Alex Delton pass complete to Alex Barnes for 15 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 42

2nd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Alex Delton sacked by Erroll Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 43

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Delton, Alex pass complete to Barnes, Alex for loss of 4 yards to the MISSSTATE47, PENALTY MISSSTATE roughing passer (Lewis, Leo) 15 yards to the MISSSTATE28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Alex Delton pass incomplete to Alex Barnes

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Alex Delton sacked by Brian Cole for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 29

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Alex Delton sacked by Montez Sweat for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 35

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Blake Lynch 52 yd FG MISSED

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Alex Barnes run for 15 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Alex Barnes run for 12 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Alex Barnes run for 9 yds to the MisSt 35

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 33 yds, downed at the MisSt 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.06

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 23 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the MisSt 35

2nd & 3Rush+52 ydsPPA +2.67

Kylin Hill run for 52 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Austin Williams 13 Yd pass from Nick Fitzgerald (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 11 yds to the KanSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 15 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Alex Barnes run for no gain to the MisSt 44

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.36

Skylar Thompson sacked by Fletcher Adams for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 48

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt+45 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 45 yds , Keith Mixon returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the MisSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the MisSt 15

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Greg Eiland) to the MisSt 10

3rd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.35

Kylin Hill run for 18 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Wyatt Hubert return for 11 yds to the MisSt 23

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Dalton Schoen 23 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Blake Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Nick Fitzgerald run for 19 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Nick Fitzgerald run for 9 yds to the KanSt 38

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 11 yds to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Kylin Hill run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Scott Goodman kickoff for 62 yds for a 1ST down , Duke Shelley return for 18 yds to the KANSASST 21 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Johnathan Abram) to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Skylar Thompson run for 8 yds to the KanSt 44

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 45

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah Harris

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 32 yds, downed at the MisSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 6 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 22

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the MisSt 24

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Nick Fitzgerald run for 13 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Nick Gibson for 9 yds to the MisSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Nick Fitzgerald run for 9 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the KanSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.12

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Dontea Jones for 21 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.96

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 22

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Kody Schexnayder) to the KanSt 27

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Jace Christmann 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Thompson, Skylar rush for 3 yards to the KANSASST30, PENALTY KANSASST holding (Frantz, Scott) 10 yards to the KANSASST17, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Skylar Thompson) to the KanSt 12

2nd & 25Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.33

Skylar Thompson run for 16 yds to the KanSt 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Andrew Hicks punt for 47 yds, downed at the MisSt 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Gibson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Nick Gibson run for 9 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
75%
8 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play