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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 5.8

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 65%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
3170020
KentuckyKentucky
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-37-1014-1721-2035-20
KentuckyCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENCMKENCMKENCMKENCMKENCMKENKENCMKENCMKENCMCMKENCMKENCMKENCMKENCMKENCMKENPUNT35ydPUNT36ydPUNT615ydPUNT35ydTO25ydFG741ydTD476ydPUNT35ydTO34ydTD1480ydTD1-6ydTD676ydPUNT36ydTO311ydFG46ydTD671ydEND14ydPUNT622ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydPUNT631ydPUNT3-4ydTD340ydPUNT30ydTD658ydPUNT616ydDOWNS1249ydDOWNS941ydUncategorized626yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and Kentucky
StatisticCentral MichiganKentucky
Passing17-2715-27
Pass Yards137128
Rush Yards118299
Total Yards255427
Turnovers04
3rd Down6-187-13
Penalties12-1063-40
Possession31:5225:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Tony Poljan
17/27, 137 YDS
rushing
Tony Poljan
16 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Cameron Cole
4 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
11/18, 78 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Benny Snell Jr.
20 CAR, 125 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
David Bouvier
3 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 50 yds, downed at the CMich 19

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 15 Jonathan Ward fumbled,

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 5 yds to the CMich 25

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 64 yds, downed at the Kent 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 1 yd to the Kent 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 7 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 25

2nd & 9Penalty-11 yds

[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, PENALTY UK holding 11 yards to the UK14, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 15

3rd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.11

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 26

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 54 yds, downed at the CMich 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 22

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 19

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 25

4th & 5Punt+21 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 44 , David Bouvier returns for 21 yds to the Kent 46 KENTUCKY Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the Kent 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -2.74

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 49 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by CMich Sean Adesanya

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tony Poljan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], POLJAN, Tony rush for 17 yards to the UK32 (Josh Allen;Mike Edwards), PENALTY CMU illegal motion 5 yards to the CMU46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tony Poljan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.51

Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 34 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 17

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the Kent 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 3 yds to the Kent 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.02

Michael Armstrong 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad, PENALTY CMU pass interference 7 yards to the UK31, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 31 Benny Snell Jr. fumbled,

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.49

Terry Wilson sacked by N/A for 0 yards to the Kent 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Asim Rose run for 55 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-1 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY CMU delay of game 1 yards to the CMU1, NO PLAY.

1st & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 1

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 7

3rd & 5Penalty-3 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY CMU false start 3 yards to the CMU4, NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Tony Poljan run for 3 yds to the CMich 7

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 39 yds , David Bouvier returns for 10 yds to the CMich 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 32

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the CMich 32

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.14

Terry Wilson pass intercepted, touchback. Xavier Crawford return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 5 yds to the CMich 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tony Poljan pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 3 yds to the CMich 28

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tony Poljan pass complete to Keegan Cossou for 7 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Tony Poljan run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Tony Poljan run for 2 yds to the Kent 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tony Poljan pass complete to Keegan Cossou for 3 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jamil Sabbagh run for 6 yds to the Kent 36

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY CMU false start (EIPPER, Steve) 5 yards to the UK41, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY CMU false start (NEERING, Alex) 5 yards to the UK46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Penalty+14 yds

[SHOT], POLJAN, Tony pass incomplete to WARD, Jonathan, PENALTY UK personal foul (Chris Westry) 14 yards to the UK32, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 17 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 5 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.80

Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Armstrong KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -0.99

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 4 yards for a TD Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Nate Brisson-Fast, recovered by CMich Devonni Reed , return for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to David Bouvier

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Terry Wilson run for 13 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.15

Benny Snell Jr. run for 52 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tony Poljan pass complete to Jamil Sabbagh for 5 yds to the CMich 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tony Poljan pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 2 yds to the CMich 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 46 yds, downed at the Kent 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Kent 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-36 ydsPPA -2.05

Terry Wilson pass intercepted Gage Kreski return for 36 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 9 yds to the Kent 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Cameron Cole

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Michael Armstrong 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 19 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 5 yds to the CMich 47

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Sihiem King run for 8 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to David Bouvier, broken up by Trevor Apsey

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

[SHOT], Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps, PENALTY CMU pass interference (BUNTING, Sean) 15 yards to the CMU24, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the CMich 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Brandon Childress

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the CMich 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.10

Tony Poljan pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 9 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tony Poljan run for 1 yd to the CMich 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Jamil Sabbagh

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 6 yds to the Kent 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 34 yds, downed at the Kent 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Max Duffy punt for 50 yds , Jamil Sabbagh returns for 1 yd to the CMich 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 5 yds to the CMich 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the CMich 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 47 yds, downed at the Kent 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Asim Rose run for 10 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Asim Rose run for 10 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sihiem King run for 4 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to David Bouvier, broken up by Sean Bunting

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 46 yds , Xavier Crawford returns for no gain to the CMich 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Cameron Cole

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the CMich 16

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.21

Tony Poljan sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 9 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 14Punt+2 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 38 yds , David Bouvier returns for 2 yds to the CMich 40 David Bouvier fumbled, forced by Troy Hairston,

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden, PENALTY CMU pass interference (McCOY, Alonzo) 15 yards to the CMU25, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 21

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Terry Wilson run for 10 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the CMich 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Kobe Lewis

3rd & 4Penalty-13 yds

[SHOT], POLJAN, Tony pass complete to CHILDRESS, B. for 34 yards to the UK40, out-of-bounds (Mike Edwards), PENALTY CMU pass interference (CHILDRESS, B.) 13 yards to the CMU13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Tony Poljan pass complete to Damon Terry for 7 yds to the CMich 20

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 56 yds , David Bouvier returns for 3 yds to the Kent 23 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Tyjuan Swain) to the Kent 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 3 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 48

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.93

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.95

Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 21 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Trevor Apsey) to the CMich 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the CMich 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Asim Rose run for 4 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tony Poljan pass complete to Jamil Sabbagh for 6 yds to the CMich 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 3 yds to the CMich 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Jamil Sabbagh

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tony Poljan run for 4 yds to the CMich 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tony Poljan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Sihiem King run for 10 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Sihiem King run for 1 yd to the Kent 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Terry Wilson pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 12 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Sihiem King run for 8 yds to the CMich 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Sihiem King run for 1 yd to the CMich 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Devonni Reed

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 31

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.02

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Sihiem King, broken up by Malik Fountain

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 36

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Tony Poljan run for 3 yds to the Kent 49

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.93

Jonathan Ward run for 17 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.33

Tony Poljan sacked by Jordan Jones and Tymere Dubose for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 41

2nd & 19Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.62

Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 13 yds to the Kent 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Marcus Griffin, broken up by Jamar Watson

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.54

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Brandon Childress

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 46

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
86%
7 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
33 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play