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← Back to GamesDec 29, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 7.8

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 29, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
707923
NorthwesternNorthwestern
3140724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-710-717-717-1424-1724-23
NorthwesternKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENNORKENKENNORKENNORTD567ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT33ydFG1155ydPUNT419ydTD780ydPUNT54ydDOWNS840ydTO22ydTD552ydPUNT621ydPUNT39ydEND314ydDOWNS1246ydTD674ydMISS1140ydPUNT419ydPUNT513ydPUNT512ydDOWNS573ydTD214ydFG1044ydDOWNS522ydTD439ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Northwestern
StatisticKentuckyNorthwestern
Passing21-399-21
Pass Yards273109
Rush Yards65333
Total Yards338442
Turnovers20
3rd Down1-106-18
Penalties5-657-70
Possession24:0835:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Stephen Johnson
19/36, 257 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Sihiem King
7 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Tavin Richardson
5 REC, 89 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Matt Alviti
4/11, 50 YDS
rushing
Justin Jackson
32 CAR, 157 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Charlie Fessler
1 REC, 28 YDS
defense
Joe Gaziano
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.19

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 26 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.45

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 37 yds to the Nwest 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Nwest 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.20

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the Nwest 12

2nd & 23Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 10 yds to the Nwest 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 10 yds to the Nwest 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Kayaune Ross

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.67

Clayton Thorson sacked by Joshua Paschal for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 26

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 25

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sihiem King run for 5 yds to the Kent 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Tavin Richardson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 30

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.40

Jeremy Larkin run for 28 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 6 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the Kent 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jeremy Larkin run for no gain to the Kent 33

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Jelani Roberts run for 12 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the Kent 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.42

Charlie Kuhbander 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Benny Snell Jr. run for 18 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Josh Ali for 5 yds to the Nwest 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.56

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 9 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Kent 43

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.26

Justin Jackson run for 14 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Jeremy Larkin pass complete to Clayton Thorson for 24 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Justin Rigg

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.83

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 23 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-22 ydsPPA -3.85

Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 44 KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Benny Snell Jr.) to the Kent 41. Snell ejected for contacting official.

2nd & 32Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

3rd & 32Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 3 yds to the Kent 44

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 18

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Justin Jackson run for 14 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Matt Alviti run for 3 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 35

3rd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.91

Matt Alviti run for 16 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Flynn Nagel run for 4 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Kent 45

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Kent 42

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Jace James

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.75

Stephen Johnson pass intercepted Montre Hartage return for no gain to the Nwest 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.33

Matt Alviti pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 28 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Kent 23

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Kent 20

3rd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.97

Justin Jackson run for 18 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 6 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Stephen Johnson run for no gain to the Kent 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.03

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 25 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Nwest 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Nwest 43

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 26 yds, downed at the Nwest 17

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Matt Alviti sacked by Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 15

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Justin Jackson run for 10 yds to the Nwest 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 41 yds , Charles Walker returns for 5 yds to the Kent 38

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Targeting ( Paddy Fisher ), KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul, offsetting. Fisher ejected.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drew Barker pass complete to Sihiem King for no gain to the Kent 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Drew Barker pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 16 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Drew Barker sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 48 Drew Barker fumbled, recovered by Kent

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Matt Alviti pass complete to Jace James for 5 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jelani Roberts run for 1 yd to the Nwest 41

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Matt Alviti run for 3 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Matt Alviti pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Kent 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.22

Matt Alviti pass complete to Jace James for 11 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Matt Alviti pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeremy Larkin run for 2 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Matt Alviti run for 6 yds to the Kent 26

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.17

Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Sihiem King run for 12 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 6 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.95

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 37 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 2 yds to the Nwest 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.34

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 14 yds to the Nwest 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Matt Alviti pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 6 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Matt Alviti run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Justin Jackson run for 15 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Larkin, Jeremy rush for 11 yards to the KENTUCKY24, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN personal foul 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.32

Matt Alviti run for 16 yds to the Kent 34

3rd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.13

Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 26

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Matt Alviti pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Kent 23

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 28

3rd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Kent 26

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Charlie Kuhbander 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 18 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Asim Rose for 1 yd to the Kent 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Drew Barker pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 19

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Matt Alviti run for 9 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 25

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Alviti pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 47 yds , Charles Walker returns for 3 yds to the Kent 29

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Sihiem King run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.17

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 14 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Matt Panton punt for 36 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for 2 yds to the Nwest 25

1st & 10Rush+64 ydsPPA +3.56

Jeremy Larkin run for 64 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Riley Lees

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Jeremy Larkin run for 7 yds to the Kent 4

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeremy Larkin run for 2 yds to the Kent 2

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.20

Riley Lees pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.40

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 14 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-26 ydsPPA -7.42

Stephen Johnson pass intercepted by Kyle Queiro return for 26 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Johnson, Stephen pass incomplete to Ross, Kayaune, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference 14 yards to the KENTUCKY40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Sihiem King run for 11 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 8 yds to the Nwest 41

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.14

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 4 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sihiem King run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Johnson, Stephen pass incomplete to Ross, Kayaune, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN offside 5 yards to the NORTHWSTRN29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Sihiem King run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 30

4th & 3Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.28

Austin MacGinnis 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Justin Jackson run for 13 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 36

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 39

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt Alviti run for no gain to the Nwest 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 16 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Stephen Johnson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 17

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Stephen Johnson sacked by Warren Long for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 19

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Johnson, Stephen pass incomplete, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Stephen Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
28 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
45%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play