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← Back to GamesDec 27, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Florida State 70%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 27, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
607013
Florida StateFlorida State
71610942

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-67-613-616-626-633-639-1342-13
Florida StateSouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSSMFSTD878ydTD1275ydPUNT519ydTD980ydPUNT519ydFG858ydPUNT38ydPUNT529ydTO34ydTD424ydEND736ydFG1043ydPUNT724ydTD985ydTD675ydTD530ydDOWNS43ydFG813ydDOWNS720ydEND720yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Florida State
StatisticSouthern MissFlorida State
Passing15-2719-29
Pass Yards129238
Rush Yards131214
Total Yards260452
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-147-13
Penalties7-446-60
Possession22:5237:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Kwadra Griggs
13/25, 86 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ito Smith
16 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Korey Robertson
4 REC, 36 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tarvarius Moore
1 TFL, 1 PD
Florida State
passing
James Blackman
18/26, 233 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Cam Akers
13 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Auden Tate
5 REC, 84 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Allenzae Staggers run for 4 yds to the SoMis 41

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Tez Parks run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Tez Parks for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 38

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Ito Smith for 5 yds to the FlaSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.09

Ito Smith run for 33 yds to the FlaSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Ito Smith for no gain to the FlaSt 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Kwadra Griggs run for 5 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 20

1st & 15Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jacques Patrick run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden Tate

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the FlaSt 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.67

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 11 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SoMis 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SoMis 38

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the SoMis 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.20

James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 13 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

James Blackman run for 3 yds to the SoMis 20

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.79

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 20 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Korey Robertson for 1 yd to the SoMis 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Korey Robertson for 14 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Tez Parks run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 49

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Kwadra Griggs run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 9 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Cam Akers run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the SoMis 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.99

James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 16 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.71

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 26 yds to the SoMis 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 12

1st & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

James Blackman run for 8 yds to the SoMis 4

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Patrick, Jacques rush for 2 yards to the SOUMISS2, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding 10 yards to the SOUMISS14, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.03

James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 14 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Kwadra Griggs run for 10 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Quez Watkins

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the SoMis 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Korey Robertson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 33 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for no gain to the FlaSt 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.77

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 12 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the SoMis 48

2nd & 3Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.05

Cam Akers run for 32 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the SoMis 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.65

Ricky Aguayo 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kwadra Griggs run for 1 yd to the SoMis 14

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Ito Smith run for 7 yds to the SoMis 21

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ito Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 21

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlaSt 33

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

James Blackman run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Blackman, James pass incomplete to Gavin, Keith, PENALTY SOUMISS pass interference 15 yards to the SOUMISS39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the SoMis 39

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

James Blackman run for 1 yd to the SoMis 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden Tate

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA +0.21

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Ito Smith for 4 yds Ito Smith fumbled, forced by Stanford Samuels III, recovered by FlaSt A.J. Westbrook

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the SoMis 18

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

James Blackman run for 2 yds to the SoMis 16

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 6 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 10 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaylond Adams run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the SoMis 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 10 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.51

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Ito Smith for 17 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.29

James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the SoMis 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 4 yds to the SoMis 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 5 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Cam Akers run for 17 yds to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Cam Akers run for no gain to the SoMis 22

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.37

Ricky Aguayo 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kwadra Griggs run for 2 yds to the SoMis 20

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones

4th & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.02

Zac Everett pass complete to Allen Fails for 25 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Korey Robertson

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.30

Ito Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 42

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Korey Robertson

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the FlaSt 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.50

James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 27 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.51

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 21 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 6 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Jacques Patrick run for 14 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jacques Patrick run for 10 yds to the SoMis 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Gabe Nabers run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 10

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the SoMis 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Ito Smith run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kwadra Griggs run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Allenzae Staggers pass complete to Kwadra Griggs for 18 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Ito Smith run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Korey Robertson for 13 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 6 yds to the SoMis 24

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

James Blackman run for 2 yds to the SoMis 18

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the SoMis 17

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.14

Auden Tate 17 Yd pass from Carlos Becker III (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

3rd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Logan Tyler kickoff for 63 yds , Isaiah Jones return for 30 yds to the SoMis 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Korey Robertson for 8 yds to the SoMis 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Ito Smith run for 1 yd to the SoMis 41

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Ito Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 40

4th & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.37

Ito Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the SoMis 32

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the SoMis 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Amir Rasul for 5 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Amir Rasul run for 3 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Amir Rasul run for no gain to the SoMis 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to Justin Motlow

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.05

Ricky Aguayo 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kwadra Griggs run for 3 yds to the SoMis 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Jordan Mitchell

3rd & 7Penalty-4 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the SoMis 4

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 12 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kwadra Griggs run for 5 yds to the SoMis 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 25

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Ito Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.10

Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 1 yd to the SoMis 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Amir Rasul run for 3 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Amir Rasul run for 9 yds to the SoMis 13 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SoMis 23

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Amir Rasul run for 7 yds to the SoMis 16

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.11

J.J. Cosentino run for 2 yds to the SoMis 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Amir Rasul run for 2 yds to the SoMis 12

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the SoMis 11

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Colton Plante run for 6 yds to the SoMis 5

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays