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← Back to GamesDec 24, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 4

Home Win Probability

Toledo 62%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 24, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
7137734
ToledoToledo
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-170-200-270-34
ToledoApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTO519ydPUNT828ydPUNT44ydTO10ydTD536ydPUNT32ydTD864ydPUNT34ydTO757ydFG48ydPUNT1036ydDOWNS774ydTO638ydTD761ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-7ydTD755ydPUNT727ydDOWNS852ydTO33ydDOWNS517ydTO3-1ydEND3-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Toledo
StatisticApp StateToledo
Passing8-1716-29
Pass Yards131124
Rush Yards32722
Total Yards458146
Turnovers04
3rd Down3-132-12
Penalties4-255-35
Possession35:5024:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Taylor Lamb
8/16, 131 YDS
rushing
Jalin Moore
22 CAR, 125 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Ike Lewis
4 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
16/29, 124 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Terry Swanson
11 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Jordan Fisher
2 REC, 29 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jameson Vest kickoff for 61 yds , Thomas Hennigan return for 23 yds to the AppSt 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 26

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Taylor Lamb run for 12 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the AppSt 47

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 37 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for no gain to the Toled 17 Danzel McKinley-Lewis fumbled, recovered by Toled Danzel McKinley-Lewis

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Toled 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.42

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 14 yds to the Toled 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 4 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.23

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 9 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Diontae Johnson) to the Toled 42

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Drew Rosi

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Terry Swanson

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Sami Kassem) to the Toled 37

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Terry Swanson run for 8 yds to the Toled 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Ike Lewis run for 10 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Beau Nunn) to the AppSt 28

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Austin Exford) to the AppSt 24

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 5 yds to the Toled 38

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -2.05

Logan Woodside pass intercepted Anthony Flory return for 19 yds to the Toled 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the Toled 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Jalin Moore run for 15 yds to the Toled 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jalin Moore run for 10 yds to the Toled 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Michael Rubino kickoff for 65 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 15 yds to the Toled 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 16

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 13

3rd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 4 yds to the Toled 17

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Lamb, Taylor rush for 7 yards to the TOLEDO48, PENALTY APPALCHAN holding (Duffield, Levi) 10 yards to the APPALCHAN35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.59

Daetrich Harrington run for 16 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Toled 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.47

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 23 yds to the Toled 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the Toled 7

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jordan Fisher

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Toled 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 4 yds to the Toled 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 40 yds, downed at the AppSt 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.66

Daetrich Harrington run for 35 yds to the Toled 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the Toled 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the Toled 12

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the Toled 12

4th & 2Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.90

Chandler Staton 29 yd FG GOOD

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Michael Rubino kickoff for 60 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 9 yds to the Toled 14 Diontae Johnson fumbled, forced by Austin Exford, recovered by AppSt Austin Exford

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 15

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 7 yds to the Toled 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 2 yds to the Toled 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.07

Chandler Staton 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Terry Swanson

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Diontae Johnson) to the Toled 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.46

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 20 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 4 yds to the Toled 44

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Woodside run for 3 yds to the Toled 47

4th & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 18 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Darryl Richards

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.74

Logan Woodside sacked by Caleb Fuller for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 19

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.96

Daetrich Harrington run for 19 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.03

Taylor Lamb run for 10 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.34

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 29 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Hennigan, Thomas, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (Mathis, Trevon) 15 yards to the TOLEDO8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Williams pass incomplete to Taylor Lamb

2nd & 0Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Chandler Staton 25 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 8Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.77

Terry Swanson run for 24 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 8 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return-35 ydsPPA -3.31

Logan Woodside pass intercepted Desmond Franklin return for 35 yds to the AppSt 39

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the AppSt 48

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.41

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 16 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Jalin Moore run for 31 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for no gain to the Toled 25 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sami Kassem) declined

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 1 yd to the Toled 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 30

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 25

2nd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.28

Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 22

3rd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 15 yds to the AppSt 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Danzel McKinley-Lewis at the Toled 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 22

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Woodside sacked by Eric Boggs and Caleb Fuller for a loss of 9 yards to the Toled 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 42 yds, downed at the AppSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 13 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the Toled 35

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass complete to Lewis, Ike for 2 yards to the TOLEDO33, PENALTY TOLEDO substitution infraction 5 yards to the TOLEDO30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.13

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 26 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the Toled 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Malik Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Rubino kickoff for 56 yds , Desmond Phillips return for no gain to the Toled 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Art Thompkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 17 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 8 yds to the Toled 34

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Art Thompkins run for 8 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 5 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell

3rd & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.62

Logan Woodside sacked by Okon Godwin for a loss of 11 yards to the Toled 36

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 22

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.69

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Toled 38

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Toled 35

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Toled 31

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.63

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Toled 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Darryl Richards

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Woodside pass intercepted Clifton Duck return for no gain to the Toled 37

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the Toled 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Toled 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Toled 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to T.J. Watkins

4th & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.39

Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 20

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.95

Logan Woodside sacked by Devan Stringer for a loss of 10 yards to the Toled 10

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips

3rd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 9 yds to the Toled 19

4th & 11Punt+44 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 44 yds , Clifton Duck returns for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 36 Clifton Duck fumbled, forced by Justin Clark, recovered by AppSt Tim Frizzell

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

DeMarcus Harper run for no gain to the AppSt 36

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

DeMarcus Harper run for 7 yds to the AppSt 43

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.17

DeMarcus Harper run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 40

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Zac Thomas) to the AppSt 35

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
53%
32 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
11%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play