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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2017Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 13

Home Win Probability

Boise State 84%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
730919
Boise StateBoise State
171010744

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-720-727-734-1037-1037-1344-19
Boise StateAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFTO22ydFG622ydPUNT425ydTD187ydTO5-2ydTD623ydTD876ydFG1062ydTD3-3ydPUNT510ydMISS851ydEND638ydTD775ydPUNT614ydFG1067ydFG1151ydPUNT48ydTD1179ydTD744ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Boise State
StatisticAir ForceBoise State
Passing7-1318-26
Pass Yards115338
Rush Yards18190
Total Yards296428
Turnovers30
3rd Down5-126-12
Penalties6-636-53
Possession30:3429:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
7/10, 115 YDS
rushing
Nate Romine
16 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus Bennett
3 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Grant Ross
1 TFL, 1 PD
Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
16/22, 300 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Alexander Mattison
17 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
A.J. Richardson
3 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.47

TEAM run for no gain to the AFA 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Sonatane Lui

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the AFA 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.01

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 9 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the AFA 11

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the AFA 5

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.04

Haden Hoggarth 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Nate Romine run for 17 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jacob Stafford run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 13

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +6.70

A.J. Richardson 87 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -1.21

Nate Romine run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 23 Nate Romine fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Gabe Perez

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 6 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the AFA 8

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

Sean Modster 8 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the AFA 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.21

Nate Romine pass complete to Jacob Stafford for 18 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronald Cleveland run for 3 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.90

Nate Romine pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 20 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.78

Nate Romine pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 28 yds to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nate Romine 1 Yd Run (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.88

Montell Cozart pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 36 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Montell Cozart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Ryan Wolpin run for 11 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Ryan Wolpin run for 8 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ryan Wolpin run for 1 yd to the AFA 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.12

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 25

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the AFA 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 8 yds to the AFA 12

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the AFA 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.69

Haden Hoggarth 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ronald Cleveland run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 27

3rd & 8Fumble Return Touchdown-21 ydsPPA -6.99

Tyler Horton 21 Yd Fumble Return (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacob Stafford run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Nate Romine pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 14 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 30

1st & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Timothy McVey run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 27 Timothy McVey fumbled, recovered by AFA Geraud Sanders

2nd & 23Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Nolan Eriksen run for 2 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the AFA 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.61

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 33 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 43

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 41

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.17

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 11 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 15 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Ryan Wolpin

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Haden Hoggarth 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Timothy McVey run for 8 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Nate Romine run for 4 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Nate Romine sacked by Desmond Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.92

Nate Romine pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 29 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA -1.24

Luke Strebel 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 29 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.44

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 39 yds to the AFA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the AFA 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Octavius Evans 7 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nate Romine pass complete to Nolan Eriksen for 5 yds to the AFA 10

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nolan Eriksen run for 2 yds to the AFA 12

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Jacob Stafford run for 6 yds to the AFA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Nate Romine pass complete to Jacob Stafford for 1 yd to the AFA 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Romine pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 52 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 29

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the BoiSt 22

1st & 17Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.18

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 30 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the AFA 47

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Rypien, Brett pass incomplete to Wilson, Cedrick, PENALTY AIRFORCE pass interference 15 yards to the AIRFORCE32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the AFA 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.79

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 6 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 13 yds to the AFA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the AFA 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the AFA 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 2 yds to the AFA 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Haden Hoggarth 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.80

Nate Romine run for 33 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Nate Romine run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jacob Stafford run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Nate Romine sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 34

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 29

4th & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.92

Timothy McVey run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nate Romine run for no gain to the BoiSt 29 Nate Romine fumbled, recovered by AFA

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Romine pass incomplete

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 26

4th & 15Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +1.31

Matthew Philichi 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Alexander Mattison run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Montell Cozart pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Cedrick Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 47

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 39 lat. to Ryan Wolpin for no gain to the BoiSt 39

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Nate Romine run for 12 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jacob Stafford run for 7 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Jacob Stafford run for 5 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacob Stafford run for 3 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Isaiah Sanders run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (16 Yards) to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Ronald Cleveland run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the AFA 42

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Penalty+13 yds

Cozart, Montell pass incomplete, PENALTY AIRFORCE personal foul 13 yards to the AIRFORCE13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 23

1st & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Ryan Wolpin run for 15 yds to the AFA 8

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ryan Wolpin run for 4 yds to the AFA 4

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.54

Jake Roh run for 3 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ryan Wolpin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Miller run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Cole Fagan run for 11 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Isaiah Sanders sacked by Kayode Rufai for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 31

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the AFA 38

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
21 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays