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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2017Week 8
Air ForceAir Force
45
-Final
42
NevadaNevada
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 4.5

Home Win Probability

Nevada 36%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 21, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
72171045
NevadaNevada
14681442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-717-1420-2120-2828-3535-4242-45
NevadaAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFAFNEVAFAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFTD975ydPUNT628ydPUNT436ydTD1071ydTD375ydTD693ydFG629ydPUNT49ydFG734ydTD1575ydTD454ydPUNT56ydEND2-2ydTO412ydTD637ydTD2082ydPUNT34ydTO417ydTD756ydTD1275ydTD782ydFG1262yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Nevada
StatisticAir ForceNevada
Passing4-718-35
Pass Yards41267
Rush Yards550157
Total Yards591424
Turnovers20
3rd Down12-183-9
Penalties5-583-25
Possession41:2018:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Arion Worthman
4/7, 41 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Timothy McVey
18 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus Bennett
2 REC, 28 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Ty Gangi
17/33, 239 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kelton Moore
14 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 5 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.37

Kelton Moore run for 23 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brandon Scott for 11 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 3 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Kelton Moore run for 9 yds to the AFA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the AFA 14

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.99

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 14 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Timothy McVey run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Parker Wilson run for 2 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Ronald Cleveland run for 14 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Parker Wilson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 43

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -2.06

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 48 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by AFA Arion Worthman

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nolan Eriksen run for 5 yds to the Nevad 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 46 yds, downed at the Nevad 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.53

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 42 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty Gangi run for 3 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Andrew Celis

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 6 yds to the AFA 48

4th & 1Penalty-15 yds

MOORE, Kelton rush for 4 yards to the AF44 (WILLS, Lakota), PENALTY NEV personal foul (DAMANHOURY, Z.) 15 yards to the NEV37, NO PLAY.

4th & 16Punt+12 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 46 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 12 yds to the AFA 29

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Ronald Cleveland run for 12 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the Nevad 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Nevad 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.86

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Ronald Cleveland run for 13 yds to the Nevad 19 Ronald Cleveland fumbled, forced by Elijah Moody, for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Taven Birdow run for 12 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Nevad 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Garrett Amy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Ja'Mel Sanders

2nd & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.02

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 47 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Andrew Celis pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 28 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.54

Arion Worthman run for 14 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Nolan Eriksen run for 12 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +2.85

Arion Worthman run for 50 yds to the Nevad 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacob Stafford run for 3 yds to the Nevad 14

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the Nevad 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Kelton Moore run for 14 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

GANGI, Ty pass incomplete to CELIS, Andrew, PENALTY AF pass interference (GRIFFIN, M.) 15 yards to the AF18, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kelton Moore run for no gain to the AFA 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA +0.03

Spencer Pettit 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Timothy McVey run for 11 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Amy run for 5 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 39 Arion Worthman fumbled, forced by Travis Wilson,

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 20 yds, downed at the Nevad 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Russell Booze run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange

3rd & 8Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.31

Kelton Moore run for 32 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Andrew Celis pass incomplete to Ty Gangi

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kelton Moore

4th & 10Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.20

Spencer Pettit 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Timothy McVey run for 9 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Jacob Stafford run for 13 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the Nevad 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Nevad 23

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the Nevad 22

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Garrett Amy run for 10 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the Nevad 9

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the Nevad 4

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Timothy McVey run for 7 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Ronald Cleveland run for 43 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 6 yds to the Nevad 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange, broken up by Marquis Griffin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Andrew Celis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 1 yd to the Nevad 48

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 8

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 7

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Ronald Cleveland run for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.87

Garrett Amy run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 42

3rd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.59

Arion Worthman sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 37 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by Nevad Austin Paulhus , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps, broken up by Marquis Griffin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 9 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Hamilton run for 13 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Ty Gangi run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ty Gangi pass to Wyatt Demps for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Arion Worthman pass complete to Andrew Smith for 6 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the Nevad 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the Nevad 39

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Nolan Eriksen run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.10

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Arion Worthman sacked by Chris Green for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 36

2nd & 12Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.40

Timothy McVey run for 22 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the Nevad 8

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Nevad 6

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the Nevad 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the Nevad 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the Nevad 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Nevad 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for no gain to the Nevad 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Timothy McVey run for 9 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -1.62

Arion Worthman pass intercepted Ahki Muhammad return for 12 yds to the Nevad 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 14 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.68

Ty Gangi run for 22 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty Gangi run for 3 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Ty Gangi pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 16 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kelton Moore run for no gain to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kelton Moore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ronald Cleveland run for no gain to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 35

2nd & 13Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.60

Ronald Cleveland run for 14 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 12 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 16 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the Nevad 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Arion Worthman pass complete to Timothy McVey for 7 yds to the Nevad 14

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the Nevad 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 9 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kelton Moore run for no gain to the Nevad 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 17 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GANGI, Ty pass incomplete to DEMPS, Wyatt, PENALTY AF pass interference (GRIFFIN, M.) 15 yards to the AF39, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 8 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.52

Ty Gangi pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 31 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Timothy McVey run for 38 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the Nevad 35

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the Nevad 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.32

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the Nevad 22

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ronald Cleveland run for 1 yd to the Nevad 21

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jacob Stafford run for 7 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacob Stafford run for 5 yds to the Nevad 9

2nd & 5Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.63

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the Nevad 6 AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Jake Barnhorst) to the Nevad 21

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jacob Stafford run for 7 yds to the Nevad 14

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacob Stafford run for 1 yd to the Nevad 13

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.39

Luke Strebel 30 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
44 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
17%
12 plays
70%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
90%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays