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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2017Week 7
UNLVUNLV
30
-Final
34
Air ForceAir Force
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Air Force 72%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 14, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UNLVUNLV
17103030
Air ForceAir Force
07131434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-170-207-2714-3027-3034-30
Air ForceUNLV

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UNLAFUNLAFUNLUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFTD675ydMISS730ydTO522ydPUNT3-3ydTD1167ydFG44ydDOWNS1030ydFG745ydTO718ydTD635ydTD1075ydEND256ydTO115ydPUNT34ydTO110ydFG43ydTD1061ydPUNT522ydTD527ydPUNT35ydTD1156ydPUNT33ydTO1055ydTO242ydTD1080ydDOWNS828ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UNLV and Air Force
StatisticUNLVAir Force
Passing12-274-8
Pass Yards14572
Rush Yards266401
Total Yards411473
Turnovers24
3rd Down5-146-12
Penalties2-205-56
Possession26:4733:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UNLV
passing
Armani Rogers
12/27, 145 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Armani Rogers
16 CAR, 148 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lexington Thomas
1 REC, 47 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Arion Worthman
4/8, 72 YDS
rushing
Arion Worthman
30 CAR, 166 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Ryan Reffitt
2 REC, 38 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the UNLV 44

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 45

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.20

Lexington Thomas run for 55 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ronald Cleveland run for 2 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for no gain to the AFA 31

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

WORTHMAN, Arion pass incomplete to BENNETT, Marcus, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (FLOWERS, Jerich) 15 yards to the AF46, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Ronald Cleveland run for 12 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Timothy McVey

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the UNLV 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Arion Worthman pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+58 yds

Luke Strebel 58 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.99

Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 9 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.00

Armani Rogers pass intercepted Lakota Wills return for no gain to the AFA 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Parker Wilson run for no gain to the AFA 28

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Timothy McVey run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 25

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 33

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Armani Rogers run for 16 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the AFA 44

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.38

Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Armani Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo for 13 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the AFA 15

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Armani Rogers run for 9 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Armani Rogers pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 3 yds to the AFA 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Ryan Darby

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.03

Evan Pantels 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Arion Worthman run for 13 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the AFA 39

2nd & 9Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.14

Ronald Cleveland run for 36 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 27

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Arion Worthman run for 9 yds to the UNLV 18

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (Jason Fao) to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ronald Cleveland run for 2 yds to the UNLV 11

2nd & 8Rush-14 ydsPPA -2.29

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the UNLV 10 AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UNLV 25

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Arion Worthman pass incomplete

3rd & 22Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Amy run for no gain to the UNLV 25

4th & 22Rush-20 ydsPPA -1.04

Team run for a loss of 20 yards to the UNLV 45

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.51

Armani Rogers run for 27 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Xzaviar Campbell run for 9 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.46

Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the AFA 10

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the AFA 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.79

Evan Pantels 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Ronald Cleveland run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Parker Wilson run for 3 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Nolan Eriksen run for 2 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Nolan Eriksen run for 3 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Arion Worthman run for 9 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, intentional grounding (Geraud Sanders) to the UNLV 49

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -1.38

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 35 Ronald Cleveland fumbled, forced by Jocquez Kalili, recovered by UNLV Farrell Hester II , return for 8 yds to the AFA 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 19 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the AFA 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Armani Rogers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 11 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Arion Worthman run for 14 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the UNLV 36

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Garrett Amy run for 14 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Nolan Eriksen run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the UNLV 14

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ronald Cleveland run for no gain to the UNLV 14

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.17

Arion Worthman run for 14 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Armani Rogers run for 9 yds to the UNLV 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +1.61

Armani Rogers pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 47 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.14

Nolan Eriksen run for 5 yds to the AFA 43 Nolan Eriksen fumbled, forced by Farrell Hester II, recovered by UNLV Jocquez Kalili

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the AFA 43

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Erickson punt for 29 yds, downed at the AFA 10

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.21

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the AFA 20 Arion Worthman fumbled, forced by Jericho Flowers, recovered by UNLV Brian Keyes

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Armani Rogers run for no gain to the AFA 17

4th & 7Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.30

Evan Pantels 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Nolan Eriksen run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Nolan Eriksen run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Benton Washington run for 5 yds to the UNLV 10

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the UNLV 7

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Armani Rogers run for 19 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 47

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Kendal Keys

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Erickson punt, downed at the UNLV 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the UNLV 21

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Parker Wilson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Arion Worthman run for 7 yds to the UNLV 10

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon Presley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Riley Erickson punt for 26 yds, downed at the AFA 44

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Arion Worthman run for 9 yds to the UNLV 47

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Timothy McVey run for 17 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.57

Garrett Amy run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 36

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 37

3rd & 17Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.48

Ronald Cleveland run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (Marcus Bennett) to the UNLV 44

3rd & 24Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +4.12

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 27 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 21

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Garrett Amy run for 13 yds to the UNLV 8

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the UNLV 8

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.87

Parker Wilson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.23

Armani Rogers sacked by Cody Gessler for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 35

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 10 yds to the UNLV 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Riley Erickson punt for 45 yds, downed at the AFA 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 14

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Garrett Amy run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 17 Garrett Amy fumbled, recovered by AFA Garrett Amy

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.20

Timothy McVey run for 12 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the AFA 35

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Garrett Amy run for 2 yds to the AFA 37

4th & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.57

Jacob Stafford run for 9 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Parker Wilson run for 1 yd to the AFA 47

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.97

Ronald Cleveland run for 14 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.86

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 Arion Worthman fumbled, forced by Jocquez Kalili, recovered by UNLV Farrell Hester II , return for 15 yds to the AFA 42 Farrell Hester II fumbled, forced by Jocquez Kalili, recovered by UNLV

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+21 ydsPPA -3.01

Armani Rogers run for 21 yds Armani Rogers fumbled, forced by Grant Ross, recovered by AFA Shaquille Vereen

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Timothy McVey run for 11 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Garrett Amy run for 14 yds to the AIRFORCE 42 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (Ja'Mel Sanders) to the AFA 48

1st & 6Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +0.69

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 34 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +1.65

Ronald Cleveland run for 17 yds to the UNLV 1 Ronald Cleveland fumbled, forced by Dalton Baker, recovered by AFA for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the UNLV 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the UNLV 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 5 yds to the UNLV 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 7 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon Presley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.02

Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 10 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon Presley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Lexington Thomas

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd

4th & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.18

Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 6 yds to the AFA 47

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 45

Situational Analysis

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
46%
37 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play