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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2017Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

New Mexico by 1.6

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 55%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 30, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
02131438
New MexicoNew Mexico
77212156

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-714-1414-2128-2442-3149-3156-38
New MexicoAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFPUNT49ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-2ydTD1370ydTD1275ydTD375ydTD670ydPUNT419ydTD1172ydPUNT34ydEND10ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-11ydTD149ydTO4-4ydTD321ydFG1559ydTD475ydTO00ydTD317ydTD975ydTD687ydTD975ydTD165ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydEND24yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and New Mexico
StatisticAir ForceNew Mexico
Passing9-184-9
Pass Yards158146
Rush Yards238363
Total Yards396509
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-154-9
Penalties2-157-65
Possession35:1724:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Arion Worthman
9/17, 158 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Arion Worthman
30 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Geraud Sanders
4 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD
defense
New Mexico
passing
Lamar Jordan
4/9, 146 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Richard McQuarley
11 CAR, 179 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Jay Griffin IV
2 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Arion Worthman pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the AFA 39

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WORTHMAN, Arion pass complete to BENNETT, Marcus for 18 yards to the NM43, out-of-bounds (ROSS, D'Angelo), PENALTY AF IR (LANDRUM, G.) 5 yards to the AF34, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Arion Worthman pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 24 Lamar Jordan fumbled,

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 20

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the AFA 25

3rd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 21

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 49 yds, downed at the NMex 30

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.56

Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 35 NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal block (Tyrone Owens) to the NMex 20

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 22

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.94

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Romell Jordan for 22 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jay Griffin IV run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 35

2nd & 13Penalty+10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive holding (Robert Bullard) to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyrone Owens run for 15 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Parker Wilson run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.92

Arion Worthman sacked by Alex Hart for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.24

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 17 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Timothy McVey run for 9 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the NMex 44

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Parker Wilson run for 6 yds to the NMex 32

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Parker Wilson run for no gain to the NMex 32

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +1.07

Timothy McVey run for 17 yds to the NMex 16 Timothy McVey fumbled, forced by Alex Hart, for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the NMex 15

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Timothy McVey run for 15 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.84

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 71 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.77

Arion Worthman run for 32 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Timothy McVey run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 28

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.51

Arion Worthman pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 28 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Richard McQuarley run for 18 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the NMex 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Arion Worthman run for 7 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.13

Arion Worthman run for 36 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Taven Birdow run for 11 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the NMex 8

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacob Stafford run for 3 yds to the NMex 5

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the NMex 4

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Jacob Stafford run for 3 yds to the NMex 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Patrick Reed, broken up by Jack Flor

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the AFA 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 4 yds to the NMex 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 52 yds, downed at the AFA 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Arion Worthman pass incomplete

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.09

Arion Worthman sacked by Garrett Hughes for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 3

4th & 21Punt+9 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 55 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 9 yds to the AFA 49

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 49 yds for a TD AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Jermane Conyers) to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Arion Worthman sacked by Bijon Parker for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 31

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -0.06

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 21 Arion Worthman fumbled, forced by Garrett Hughes, recovered by NMex Jake Rothschiller

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Aaron Jenkins) to the AFA 26

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyrone Owens run for 10 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Lamar Jordan run for 10 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Timothy McVey run for 10 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Arion Worthman run for 7 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the NMex 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Malik Miller run for 4 yds to the NMex 44

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.64

Jacob Stafford run for 5 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the NMex 36

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the NMex 31

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Taven Birdow run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 32

4th & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.89

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the NMex 31 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jalin Burrell) to the NMex 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the NMex 13

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Timothy McVey run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 16

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Strebel 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Lamar Jordan run for 39 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.75

Romell Jordan run for 24 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Romell Jordan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Arion Worthman run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the NMex 47

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jalin Burrell) to the NMex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the NMex 26

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the NMex 25

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the NMex 23

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 21 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 15

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the NMex 21

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the NMex 27

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Tyrone Owens run for 10 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Richard McQuarley run for 63 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 33 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the NMex 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.33

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 16 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett, broken up by Bijon Parker

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the NMex 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Arion Worthman pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 12 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.63

Arion Worthman sacked by Cody Baker for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 17

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.16

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 17 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Richard McQuarley run for 65 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett, broken up by Kimmie Carson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Arion Worthman pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 4 yds to the AFA 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Romell Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 29

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 71 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nate Romine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
34 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
14 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
50%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th