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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2017Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Air Force 47%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 23, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
0771428
Air ForceAir Force
6301524

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-09-79-1424-2124-28
Air ForceSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSPUNT34ydPUNT717ydPUNT310ydTD1079ydPUNT735ydPUNT39ydPUNT31ydFG48ydTD775ydDOWNS7-1ydMISS40ydEND28ydPUNT414ydTO757ydPUNT3-2ydTD1173ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydTD24ydTD375ydTD1175ydTD275ydPUNT518ydPUNT37ydTO612ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Air Force
StatisticSan Diego StateAir Force
Passing10-162-6
Pass Yards18033
Rush Yards187220
Total Yards367253
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-116-15
Penalties0-05-52
Possession28:0131:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Christian Chapman
10/16, 180 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rashaad Penny
20 CAR, 128 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Mikah Holder
2 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Tyler Williams
1/1, 31 YDS
rushing
Parker Wilson
20 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Geraud Sanders
1 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Christian Chapman run for 2 yds to the SDSt 32

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Christian Chapman run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 29

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 44 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 2 yds to the AFA 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Parker Wilson run for 8 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Parker Wilson run for 5 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Parker Wilson run for 7 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Parker Wilson run for 3 yds to the SDSt 43

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.75

Malik Miller run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 46

3rd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.51

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 46

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 18

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 28

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 51 yds, downed at the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Parker Wilson run for 9 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Parker Wilson run for 4 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Parker Wilson run for 3 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the AFA 48

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Parker Wilson run for 9 yds to the SDSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Parker Wilson run for 7 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the SDSt 29

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.33

Ronald Cleveland run for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Rashaad Penny run for 15 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.81

Juwan Washington run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the AFA 39

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the AFA 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Parker Wilson run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 24

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the AFA 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 54 yds, downed at the SDSt 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 17

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 18

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 18

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Parker Wilson run for 5 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.71

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the SDSt 30 Arion Worthman fumbled,

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the SDSt 27

4th & 2Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Strebel 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Christian Chapman run for no gain to the SDSt 31

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

HEICKLEN, B. punt 25 yards to the AF44, downed, PENALTY AF personal foul (COPPOLA, Santo) 15 yards to the SDSU46, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.65

Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 42 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the AFA 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 1 yd to the AFA 9

3rd & 7Penalty+7 yds

CHAPMAN, C. pass incomplete to HOLDER, Mikah (GRIFFIN, M.), PENALTY AF pass interference (GRIFFIN, M.) 7 yards to the AF2, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Parker Wilson run for 7 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 30

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.31

Parker Wilson run for 6 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Parker Wilson run for 5 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.09

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the AFA 41 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by AFA Arion Worthman

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 44

4th & 2Rush-23 ydsPPA -0.59

Charlie Scott run for a loss of 23 yards to the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.11

Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 21

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+39 yds

John Baron II 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Parker Wilson run for 6 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Parker Wilson run for 2 yds to the AFA 30

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Arion Worthman run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 39 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by AFA James Rast

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 42 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 20

2nd & 11Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.07

Juwan Washington run for 29 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 14 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.93

Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 24 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the AFA 10

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.47

Christian Chapman sacked by Mosese Fifita for a loss of 10 yards to the AFA 22 Christian Chapman fumbled, recovered by AFA Danny Highland , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Timothy McVey

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 17

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.18

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 12

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the AFA 20

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Rashaad Penny run for 11 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Rashaad Penny, broken up by Kyle Floyd

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 12 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Christian Chapman run for 6 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.56

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 9 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Rashaad Penny run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Parker Wilson run for no gain to the AFA 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Parker Wilson run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 32

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 43 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 6 yds to the SDSt 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Juwan Washington

4th & 6Blocked Punt+21 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt blocked by Garrett Kauppila blocked by Garrett Kauppila Lesley Dalger return for 21 yds to the SDSt 4 Lesley Dalger fumbled, recovered by AFA Mosese Fifita

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the SDSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Arion Worthman pass to Marcus Bennett for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 31 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the AFA 43

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Shaquille Vereen) to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 28 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Timothy McVey run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Arion Worthman pass complete to Tyler Williams for 2 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Parker Wilson run for 4 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Williams run for no gain to the AFA 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.70

Tyler Williams pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 31 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the SDSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the SDSt 20

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.15

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the SDSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Timothy McVey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 12

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.29

Timothy McVey run for 12 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 22 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Rashaad Penny run for 53 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Jacob Stafford run for 6 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the AFA 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Timothy McVey

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 59 yds, downed at the SDSt 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 7

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 11

4th & 3Punt+3 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 43 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 3 yds to the AFA 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Parker Wilson run for 2 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Timothy McVey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 42

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

4th & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.15

Arion Worthman pass intercepted Trey Lomax return for no gain to the SDSt 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 27

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 26

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
24 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play