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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 15.6

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 88%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UC Davis
3001417
San Diego StateSan Diego State
101414038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-317-324-331-338-338-1038-17
San Diego StateUC Davis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UDSDSUDSDSUDSDSUDSDSUDSDSUDSDSUDSDSSDSUDSDSUDSDSUDSDSUDSDSTO452ydFG1257ydPUNT34ydTD161ydFG1061ydPUNT416ydTO10ydTD526ydPUNT33ydTO1130ydDOWNS649ydTD689ydPUNT3-11ydTO10ydTD867ydPUNT526ydTD999ydPUNT33ydPUNT629ydTD995ydPUNT3-1ydTD550ydEND1042yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UC Davis and San Diego State
StatisticUC DavisSan Diego State
Passing19-2417-23
Pass Yards258237
Rush Yards57276
Total Yards315513
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-118-13
Penalties9-7910-87
Possession20:5439:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UC Davis
passing
Jake Maier
19/24, 258 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Namane Modise
10 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Keelan Doss
8 REC, 181 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San Diego State
passing
Christian Chapman
16/21, 220 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rashaad Penny
21 CAR, 197 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kahale Warring
5 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 41 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Namane Modise run for 1 yd to the SDSt 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Jake Maier pass complete to Marcus Cummins for 10 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.34

Jake Maier pass intercepted Tariq Thompson return for no gain to the SDSt 21

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENNY, Rashaad rush for 3 yards to the SDSU24 (BUA, Ryan;HOLMER, Erik), PENALTY UCD offside 5 yards to the SDSU26, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 6 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Rashaad Penny run for 17 yds to the UCDav 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 12 yds to the UCDav 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the UCDav 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 5 yds to the UCDav 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the UCDav 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.76

Christian Chapman run for a loss of 9 yards to the UCDav 33

2nd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 11 yds to the UCDav 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Quest Truxton

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.16

John Baron II 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mitchell Layton run for 6 yds to the UCDav 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Aaron Moore run for 3 yds to the UCDav 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitchell Layton run for no gain to the UCDav 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

UC DAVIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCDav 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Blair punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 39

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Rashaad Penny run for 61 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Namane Modise run for 2 yds to the UCDav 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Namane Modise run for 5 yds to the UCDav 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.58

Jake Maier run for 4 yds to the UCDav 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Namane Modise run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCDav 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Jake Maier pass complete to Marcus Cummins for 10 yds to the SDSt 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.79

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 11 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SPENCER, C.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY SDSU pass interference 15 yards to the SDSU6, 1ST DOWN UCD, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

MAIER, Jake pass incomplete to CUMMINS, Marcus (SMITH, Ron), PENALTY UCD ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SDSU11, NO PLAY.

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Maier pass incomplete to Marcus Cummins

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Maier pass complete to C.J. Spencer for 3 yds to the SDSt 8

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

C.J. Spencer run for 2 yds to the SDSt 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Max O'Rourke 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST down UC DAVIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.68

Christian Chapman sacked by Erik Holmer for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 41

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

B Hecklein punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Jake Maier pass intercepted Ron Smith return for 5 yds to the UCDav 26

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.54

Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the UCDav 23 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UCDav 38

2nd & 22Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.87

Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 15 yds to the UCDav 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 14 yds to the UCDav 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the UCDav 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 7 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Namane Modise run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCDav 19

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Maier sacked by Ronley Lakalaka for a loss of 5 yards to the UCDav 14

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.08

Namane Modise run for 9 yds to the UCDav 23

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Matt Blair punt for 39 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 25 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SDSt 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the SDSt 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Rashaad Penny

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.75

Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 5 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 7 yds to the SDSt 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the UCDav 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the UCDav 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the UCDav 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the UCDav 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Kahale Warring

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -3.20

Fred Trevillion run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 43 Fred Trevillion fumbled, recovered by UCDav Ryan Bua , return for 17 yds to the SDSt 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Justin Williams run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.34

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 30 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Justin Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 14 Justin Williams fumbled, forced by Tariq Thompson,

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jake Maier pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Maier pass incomplete to Marcus Cummins

4th & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.00

Jake Maier run for 3 yds to the SDSt 11

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.81

Rashaad Penny run for 27 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down UC DAVIS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Rashaad Penny run for 15 yds to the UCDav 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 8 yds to the UCDav 39

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the UCDav 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.45

Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 23 yds to the UCDav 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Rashaad Penny run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS, J. rush for no gain to the UCD23 (KELLY, Kameron), PENALTY UCD holding 10 yards to the UCD13, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Williams run for 2 yds to the UCDav 15

2nd & 18Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCDav 10

3rd & 23Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Justin Williams run for 2 yds to the UCDav 12

4th & 21Punt+7 yds

Matt Blair punt for 40 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 7 yds to the UCDav 45

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-56 ydsPPA -3.52

Christian Chapman pass intercepted Keelan Doss return for 56 yds to the UCDav 33 Keelan Doss fumbled, recovered by SDSt Isiah Macklin

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.44

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the UCDav 43 for a 1ST down UC DAVIS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UCDav 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 5 yds to the UCDav 37

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the UCDav 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Juwan Washington run for 9 yds to the UCDav 23

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the UCDav 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCDav 25

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the UCDav 21

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.08

Christian Chapman pass complete to Darryl Richardson for 21 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Aaron Moore run for 12 yds to the UCDav 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Namane Modise run for 10 yds to the UCDav 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jake Maier pass complete to Namane Modise for no gain to the UCDav 38

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jake Maier run for no gain to the UCDav 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 9 yds to the UCDav 47

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

UC DAVIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCDav 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Blair punt for 57 yds, downed at the SDSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 3

2nd & 8Penalty-2 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the SDSt 1

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start ( Yards) to the SDSt 1

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the SDSt 6

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.77

Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 36 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the UCDav 46

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 49

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.24

Rashaad Penny run for 21 yds to the UCDav 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.39

Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 21 yds to the UCDav 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the UCDav 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jake Maier pass complete to Wesley Preece for 4 yds to the UCDav 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Maier pass complete to C.J. Spencer for 3 yds to the UCDav 32

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.73

C.J. Spencer run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCDav 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Blair punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.35

Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 24 yds to the UCDav 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the UCDav 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Darryl Richardson

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the UCDav 41

4th & 9Punt0 yds

B Hecklein punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Thomas at the UCDav 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Logan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the UCDav 6

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.18

Namane Modise run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCDav 4

3rd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.82

Jake Maier pass complete to Wesley Preece for 28 yds to the UCDav 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UC DAVIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCDav 27

1st & 15Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.52

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 38 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jake Maier pass complete to Logan Montgomery for 3 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Jake Maier pass complete to Logan Montgomery for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 8 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.44

C.J. Spencer run for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 32

2nd & 17Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.14

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 32 yds for a TD, (Max O'Rourke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 16

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Agnew sacked by Mason Moe for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 14

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 13

4th & 11Punt0 yds

B Hecklein punt for 37 yds , Isaiah Thomas returns for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Jake Maier pass complete to Keelan Doss for 12 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Namane Modise run for 5 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.43

Namane Modise run for 16 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jake Maier pass complete to Marcus Cummins for 10 yds to the SDSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jake Maier pass complete to Logan Montgomery for 7 yds for a TD, (Max O'Rourke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Wormhoudt run for 5 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Wormhoudt run for 4 yds to the SDSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Tyler Wormhoudt run for 3 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Wormhoudt run for 2 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.25

Tyler Wormhoudt run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 35

3rd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.11

Tyler Wormhoudt run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down UC DAVIS Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isiah Macklin for 17 yds to the SANDIEGOST 33 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the UCDav 43

1st & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -1.01

Chad Woolsey run for 4 yds to the UCDav 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WOOLSEY, Chad rush for 3 yards to the UCD36 (MOE, Mason), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the UCD49, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.50

Chad Woolsey run for 12 yds to the UCDav 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chad Woolsey run for 4 yds to the UCDav 33

Situational Analysis

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
33 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play