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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2017Week 11
ToledoToledo
10
-Final
38
OhioOhio
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 3

Home Win Probability

Ohio 41%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 9, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
073010
OhioOhio
73141438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-717-731-1038-10
OhioToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITO867ydTO870ydPUNT67ydTD649ydPUNT3-2ydTO722ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT38ydPUNT530ydTO668ydTD479ydPUNT3-14ydTO535ydFG43ydEND1-4ydTD973ydPUNT3-1ydTD268ydFG751ydTD1268ydDOWNS521ydTD542ydDOWNS935ydEND766yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Ohio
StatisticToledoOhio
Passing24-357-15
Pass Yards263139
Rush Yards53393
Total Yards316532
Turnovers23
3rd Down3-138-13
Penalties6-485-45
Possession26:4333:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
24/35, 263 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shakif Seymour
11 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Diontae Johnson
9 REC, 144 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ohio
passing
Nathan Rourke
7/15, 139 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dorian Brown
17 CAR, 142 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Papi White
3 REC, 91 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Michael Farkas kickoff for 63 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 23 yds to the Toled 25

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Logan Woodside sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 19

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Toled 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 18 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 23 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Ohio 38

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Ohio 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.26

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 19 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -4.40

Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 11 yds Art Thompkins fumbled, forced by Cody Grilliot, recovered by Ohio Quentin Poling

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 12

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +4.13

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 58 yds to the Toled 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Toled 22

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Toled 22

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.51

Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the Toled 15 Nathan Rourke fumbled, forced by Tyler Taafe, recovered by Toled Olasunkanmi Adeniyi

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jordan Fisher

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 12 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 4 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 33

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.61

Logan Woodside sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 27

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 22

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Toled 40

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.82

A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 17 yds to the Toled 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

A.J. Ouellette run for 12 yds to the Toled 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Michael Farkas kickoff for 57 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 37 yds to the Toled 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 46

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Woodside, Logan pass complete to Richards, Darryl for 6 yards to the OHIO48, PENALTY TOLEDO ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TOLEDO41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Toled 43

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jordan Fisher

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 20

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dorian Brown run for 9 yds to the Ohio 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Dorian Brown

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 36

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.01

Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Tycen Anderson return for no gain to the Toled 43

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Swanson, Terry rush for loss of 4 yards to the TOLEDO39, PENALTY TOLEDO holding 10 yards to the TOLEDO33, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.69

Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 28

2nd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 8 yds to the Toled 36

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 32 yds, downed at the Ohio 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 8 yds to the Ohio 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Michael Farkas punt for 44 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for no gain to the Toled 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.70

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 18 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 2 yds to the Toled 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Logan Woodside pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 6 yds to the Toled 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ohio 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 15

2nd & 6Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.44

Nathan Rourke run for 29 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 42

2nd & 12Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.27

Nathan Rourke run for 34 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.88

A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Toled 21 A.J. Ouellette fumbled, forced by Jack Linch, recovered by Toled Ja'Wuan Woodley

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 7Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.39

Shakif Seymour run for 36 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 6 yds to the Ohio 34

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.92

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 34 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Jameson Vest kickoff for 63 yds , Dorian Brown return for 33 yds to the Ohio 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 37

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.30

Nathan Rourke sacked by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi and Richard Olekanma for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 30

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.22

Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 21 Nathan Rourke fumbled, forced by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi, recovered by Ohio

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Michael Farkas punt for 50 yds, downed at the Toled 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 31

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

OHIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Toled 36

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Shakif Seymour run for 10 yds to the Toled 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

4th & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.91

Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.52

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 9 yds Diontae Johnson fumbled, forced by Bradd Ellis, recovered by Ohio Javon Hagan , return for 34 yds to the Toled 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Dorian Brown

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the Toled 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Troy Mangen

4th & 7Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.48

Louie Zervos 44 yd FG GOOD

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Michael Farkas kickoff for 48 yds , Desmond Phillips return for 13 yds to the Toled 30

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.28

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Jameson Vest kickoff for 60 yds , Dorian Brown return for 22 yds to the Ohio 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 31

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, Face Mask (15 Yards) to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Dorian Brown run for 11 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 yds

Dorian Brown run for 9 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, Personal Foul (8 Yards) to the Toled 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

2nd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Michael Farkas kickoff for 57 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 13 yds to the Toled 21

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Logan Woodside sacked by Tony Porter for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 14

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 6 yds to the Toled 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 38

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +5.13

Dorian Brown run for 62 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Michael Farkas kickoff for 39 yds , Andrew Boczar return for 2 yds to the Toled 28 Andrew Boczar fumbled, recovered by Toled

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 11 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 21 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Ohio 21

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Ohio 16

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 21

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.12

Jameson Vest 38 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Jameson Vest kickoff for 65 yds , Dorian Brown return for 32 yds to the Ohio 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 40

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.25

A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 43

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.85

Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the Toled 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.11

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 5 yds to the Toled 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.39

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 23 yds to the Toled 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Toled 8

2nd & 0Penalty-10 yds

Ouellette, A.J. rush for 4 yards to the TOLEDO4, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the TOLEDO18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 0Rush+6 yds

A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Toled 12

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 12 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

3rd & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Michael Farkas kickoff for 58 yds , Desmond Phillips return for 14 yds to the Toled 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 13 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 33

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Woodside run for 2 yds to the Toled 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 7 yds to the Toled 42

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Dorian Brown run for 7 yds to the Toled 35

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dorian Brown run for 7 yds to the Toled 17

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 16 yds to the Toled 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dorian Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+50 yds

Michael Farkas kickoff for 63 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 50 yds to the Ohio 48

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.16

Logan Woodside sacked by Quentin Poling and Eric Popp for a loss of 12 yards to the Toled 40

2nd & 22Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 41

3rd & 21Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.15

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 15 yds to the Ohio 44

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.90

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 7 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 15 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Ohio 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 4 yds to the Ohio 13

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.94

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Shakif Seymour

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

David Burroughs run for 3 yds to the Ohio 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

David Burroughs run for 3 yds to the Ohio 19

3rd & 4Rush+51 ydsPPA +4.18

David Burroughs run for 51 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Dylan Wears run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 33

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Dylan Wears run for 10 yds to the Toled 23

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

David Burroughs run for 4 yds to the Toled 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 21

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
86%
7 plays
22%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play