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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2017Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 13

Home Win Probability

Ball State 16%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 26, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
32127758
Ball StateBall State
737017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-37-37-1710-2410-3710-4410-5117-58
Ball StateToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLTOLBSTOLBSBSTOLBSTOLBSBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLPUNT510ydPUNT37ydFG4-4ydPUNT828ydPUNT39ydTD249ydPUNT635ydPUNT532ydTD483ydPUNT39ydTD348ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT717ydTD370ydFG80ydPUNT33ydTD188ydTD33ydPUNT3-1ydTD450ydDOWNS845ydTD163ydPUNT522ydTD47ydTD375ydPUNT526ydPUNT739ydDOWNS717ydDOWNS48ydDOWNS727ydEND29yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Ball State
StatisticToledoBall State
Passing8-1818-37
Pass Yards267105
Rush Yards335204
Total Yards602309
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-83-19
Penalties8-903-25
Possession20:5939:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
8/17, 267 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Terry Swanson
11 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Diontae Johnson
4 REC, 170 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
15/34, 97 YDS
rushing
Caleb Huntley
24 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Justin Hall
7 REC, 39 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Toled 25

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Danzel McKinley-Lewis run for 11 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 2 yds to the Toled 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 57 yds, downed at the BalSt 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Zack Blair pass complete to Riley Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 9

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Zack Blair run for 6 yds to the BalSt 15

4th & 3Punt+10 yds

TEAM punt , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 10 yds to the BalSt 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the BalSt 11

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.66

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Toled Terry Swanson

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA +0.18

Jameson Vest 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zack Blair pass complete to Nolan Givan for 5 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Zack Blair pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Zack Blair run for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 30

2nd & 15Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.12

Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, personal foul (Nate Childress) to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for no gain to the Toled 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the Toled 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 47 yds, downed at the Toled 2

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Terry Swanson run for 9 yds to the Toled 11

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Toled 11

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the Toled 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 8 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +2.95

Malik Dunner run for 41 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.72

Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 23 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Logan Woodside run for 9 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Reggie Gilliam, broken up by Romero Wade

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

THOMPKINS, Art rush for 9 yards to the BALL37, out-of-bounds (WADE, Romero), PENALTY TOL holding (HARRIS, Bryce) 10 yards to the TOL44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the Toled 49

3rd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the BalSt 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 26

2nd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.09

Justin Hall run for 22 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the Toled 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

4th & 6Penalty0 yds

SNYDER, Nathan punt 34 yards to the TOL14, out-of-bounds, PENALTY BALL kick catching interference off-setting, PENALTY TOL face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Danzel McKinley-Lewis at the Toled 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Terry Swanson run for 11 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 29

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.52

Terry Swanson run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 2 yds to the BalSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 13 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Shakif Seymour

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.66

Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 35 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson, broken up by Jacob White

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 44 yds, downed at the BalSt 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 17

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Neru N'Shaka

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 23 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the BalSt 39

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.86

Drew Plitt sacked by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi for a loss of 9 yards to the BalSt 30

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, downed at the Toled 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Logan Woodside pass incomplete, broken up by Christian Albright

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Toled 33

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.76

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 67 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.37

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Willie Ross Jr.) to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan Givan, broken up by Kahlil Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, roughing passer (Olasunkanmi Adeniyi) to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Zach Quinn

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.45

Drew Plitt sacked by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 26

4th & 13Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +1.08

Morgan Hagee 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Drew Plitt sacked by Zach Quinn for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 38

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller

4th & 7Punt+15 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 50 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 15 yds to the BALLST 42 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive holding (Jack Linch) to the Toled 12

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+88 ydsPPA +6.73

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 88 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for 8 yards to the BALL38 (BLUE, Dedarallo;OLEKANMA, R.), PENALTY BALL holding (GIVAN, Nolan) 10 yards to the BALL20, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.21

Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for no gain to the BalSt 25

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Drew Plitt run for 8 yds to the BalSt 33

4th & 7Punt+87 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 54 yds , Diontae Johnson returns for 87 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 21

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the BalSt 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan Davis

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Drew Rosi) to the Toled 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.43

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 37 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the BalSt 18

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.00

Terry Swanson run for 17 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyrone Chambers) to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Caleb Huntley run for 8 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Malik Dunner run for 12 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the Toled 37

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Malik Dunner run for no gain to the Toled 37

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.56

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Shakif Seymour run for 63 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Drew Plitt pass complete to Markice Hurt for 10 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan Davis

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Markice Hurt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan Davis

4th & 7Punt-4 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 42 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 7 Danzel McKinley-Lewis fumbled, recovered by BalSt Marc Walton

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Kyle Schrank

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the Toled 4

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Plitt run for no gain to the Toled 4

4th & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Drew Plitt run for 4 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Rush+73 ydsPPA +4.86

Nevone McCrimmon run for 73 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brad Smith run for no gain to the BalSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Michael Julian run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Justin Hall run for 18 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan Givan, broken up by Tycen Anderson

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the Toled 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 41 yds, downed at the Toled 8

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Mitchell Guadagni run for 14 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Mitchell Guadagni run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 20

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.89

Mitchell Guadagni run for 16 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Mitchell Guadagni run for 11 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the BalSt 48

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Darryl Richards

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 43 yds, downed at the BalSt 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 16

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.73

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan Givan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Markice Hurt

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 9 yds to the BalSt 29

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.05

Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nevone McCrimmon run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nevone McCrimmon run for 4 yds to the BalSt 22

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Nevone McCrimmon run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21

4th & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -3.31

Nevone McCrimmon run for 2 yds to the BalSt 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Markice Hurt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 20

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Markice Hurt run for no gain to the BalSt 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.32

Drew Plitt pass complete to Devin Reece for 19 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Markice Hurt run for 6 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Devin Reece, broken up by Tycen Anderson

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Markice Hurt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 46

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the BalSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Brad Smith run for 6 yds to the BalSt 37

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
14%
14 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play